2018 Week 5 (27-29 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  17 Miami - Florida           over  100 North Carolina             38.5 to 17.5
  27 Memphis                   over  145 Tulane                     45.5 to 28.0
   1 Alabama                   over  173 Louisiana - Lafayette      63.0 to  3.5
  45 Arizona State             over  154 Oregon State               45.5 to 24.5
   7 Auburn                    over  134 Southern Mississippi       42.0 to  7.0
 216 Butler                    over  251 Morehead State             42.0 to 24.5
  83 Montana                   over  189 California Poly            38.5 to 24.5
 102 Florida International     over  252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      52.5 to 17.5
 118 Wofford                   over  240 Gardner - Webb             35.0 to 14.0
   4 Georgia                   over  112 Tennessee                  42.0 to 10.5
  54 Georgia Tech              over  208 Bowling Green              52.5 to 21.0
 170 Holy Cross                over  220 Bucknell                   28.0 to 17.5
  60 Jacksonville State        over  147 Austin Peay                42.0 to 24.5
  11 Oklahoma State            over  106 Kansas                     42.0 to 24.5
 105 North Carolina A&T        over  233 South Carolina State       24.5 to  0.0
  21 Texas A&M                 over  137 Arkansas                   45.5 to 21.0
   6 Oklahoma                  over   78 Baylor                     49.0 to 24.5
 128 Southern Methodist        over  255 Houston Baptist            63.0 to 21.0
 135 Mercer                    over  239 Virginia Military          42.0 to 17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  56 Northern Iowa             over  207 Indiana State              45.5 to 17.5
  92 Air Force                 over  142 Nevada - Reno              42.0 to 31.5
  38 Appalachian State         over  159 South Alabama              42.0 to 14.0
  20 Central Florida           over   95 Pittsburgh                 45.5 to 28.0
   5 Clemson                   over   39 Syracuse                   42.0 to 24.5
 110 Cincinnati                over  200 Connecticut                35.0 to 17.5
 133 East Carolina             over  172 Old Dominion               42.0 to 31.5
  71 Kennesaw State            over  129 Samford                    35.0 to 21.0
  10 Louisiana State           over   36 Mississippi                38.5 to 21.0
 164 McNeese State             over  245 Stephen F. Austin          31.5 to 10.5
  41 Michigan State            over  152 Central Michigan           35.0 to 10.5
 162 Nicholls State            over  243 Lamar                      38.5 to 14.0
  98 Ohio                      over  179 Massachusetts              49.0 to 31.5
  14 James Madison             over   94 Richmond                   38.5 to 24.5
  51 Indiana                   over  185 Rutgers                    35.0 to 17.5
  81 Wake Forest               over  182 Rice                       45.5 to 28.0
   9 Washington                over   66 Brigham Young              28.0 to 10.5
  26 Boise State               over  169 Wyoming                    38.5 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 158 Alabama - Birmingham      over  214 North Carolina - Charlot   38.5 to 21.0
 141 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  217 East Tennessee State       31.5 to 21.0
 195 Central Connecticut       over  249 Lafayette                  28.0 to 17.5
  96 Western Michigan          over  175 Miami - Ohio               35.0 to 24.5
 213 Norfolk State             over  250 Delaware State             35.0 to 17.5
   8 Michigan                  over   53 Northwestern               31.5 to 17.5
 116 San Diego                 over  248 Stetson                    42.0 to 14.0
  80 Hawaii                    over  205 San Jose State             45.5 to 28.0
 191 Bethune - Cookman         over  247 Savannah State             35.0 to 21.0
 160 Alcorn State              over  206 Southern                   35.0 to 28.0
  18 Texas Christian           over   33 Iowa State                 31.5 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  55 Colorado                  over   97 California - Los Angeles   35.0 to 24.5
  50 Princeton                 over  140 Columbia                   38.5 to 24.5
 119 Harvard                   over  143 Rhode Island               38.5 to 21.0
 227 Abilene Christian         over  236 Incarnate Word             38.5 to 24.5
  47 Southern California       over   85 Arizona                    35.0 to 31.5
 176 Ball State                over  181 Kent State                 28.0 to 24.5
  48 Boston College            over   59 Temple                     31.5 to 21.0
 224 Brown                     over  230 Georgetown                 17.5 to 17.5
 151 Sacred Heart              over  194 Cornell                    31.5 to 24.5
 114 Dartmouth                 over  123 Pennsylvania               28.0 to 24.5
  24 Duke                      over   28 Virginia Tech              28.0 to 24.5
  93 Eastern Michigan          over  125 Northern Illinois          28.0 to 24.5
 107 Elon                      over  150 New Hampshire              24.5 to 17.5
  49 Fresno State              over   69 Toledo                     38.5 to 31.5
  90 Arkansas State            over  139 Georgia Southern           28.0 to 28.0
 178 Charleston Southern       over  226 Hampton                    28.0 to 21.0
 198 Idaho                     over  228 Portland State             38.5 to 31.5
 177 Northern Arizona          over  196 Idaho State                31.5 to 28.0
 244 Jackson State             over  241 Alabama A&M                21.0 to 10.5
 203 Drake                     over  237 Jacksonville               35.0 to 31.5
  31 Texas                     over   75 Kansas State               24.5 to 24.5
  58 Florida State             over   73 Louisville                 24.5 to 24.5
 202 Dayton                    over  246 Marist                     35.0 to 24.5
  99 Florida Atlantic          over  156 Middle Tennessee State     38.5 to 31.5
  19 Mississippi State         over   35 Florida                    31.5 to 21.0
  65 Illinois State            over  166 Missouri State             38.5 to 21.0
 174 Monmouth                  over  211 Wagner                     38.5 to 28.0
  72 Eastern Washington        over  122 Montana State              38.5 to 35.0
 163 Tennessee - Martin        over  229 Murray State               31.5 to 21.0
  64 Purdue                    over  108 Nebraska                   31.5 to 28.0
 197 North Carolina Central    over  219 Florida A&M                28.0 to 17.5
  29 North Carolina State      over   68 Virginia                   31.5 to 21.0
  15 North Dakota State        over   12 South Dakota State         31.5 to 28.0
 171 Northern Colorado         over  186 North Dakota               28.0 to 24.5
  42 North Texas               over   84 Louisiana Tech             38.5 to 31.5
 127 Prairie View              over  192 Grambling                  35.0 to 28.0
   2 Penn State                over    3 Ohio State                 42.0 to 38.5
 130 Sam Houston State         over  136 Central Arkansas           35.0 to 31.5
 180 Southeast Louisiana       over  201 Northwestern State         35.0 to 24.5
  77 South Dakota              over  113 Southern Illinois          38.5 to 35.0
  86 Stony Brook               over   70 Villanova                  24.5 to 21.0
 193 Texas - San Antonio       over  238 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 14.0
  23 West Virginia             over   32 Texas Tech                 42.0 to 38.5
 131 Towson                    over  155 The Citadel                31.5 to 24.5
 103 Troy State                over  126 Coastal Carolina           35.0 to 28.0
 223 Valparaiso                over  253 Davidson                   38.5 to 24.5
  63 Vanderbilt                over  148 Tennessee State            31.5 to 21.0
  30 Washington State          over   44 Utah                       28.0 to 21.0
  88 Western Illinois          over  101 Youngstown State           28.0 to 24.5
 121 Western Kentucky          over  115 Marshall                   28.0 to 24.5
 109 Colgate                   over  183 William & Mary             24.5 to 14.0
  89 Yale                      over  104 Maine                      28.0 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  62 Army                      over   79 Buffalo                    28.0 to 28.0
  61 California                over   46 Oregon                     35.0 to 35.0
 218 Campbell                  over  212 North Alabama              45.5 to 42.0
 149 Furman                    over  146 Western Carolina           38.5 to 35.0
 188 Georgia State             over  161 Northeast Louisiana        28.0 to 28.0
  43 Kentucky                  over   34 South Carolina             24.5 to 24.5
 157 New Mexico                over  153 Liberty                    31.5 to 31.5
  13 Stanford                  over   25 Notre Dame                 24.5 to 24.5
 209 Eastern Illinois          over  225 Tennessee Tech             31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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