ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
156 Alcorn State over 236 Alabama State 35.0 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 130 Arkansas 49.0 to 10.5
179 Bethune - Cookman over 254 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 14.0
5 Washington over 111 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 14.0
137 Central Arkansas over 255 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 10.5
17 Central Florida over 147 Southern Methodist 56.0 to 24.5
105 North Carolina A&T over 251 Delaware State 45.5 to 10.5
4 Georgia over 65 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 14.0
9 James Madison over 83 Elon 38.5 to 14.0
54 South Florida over 182 Massachusetts 52.5 to 31.5
42 Memphis over 207 Connecticut 56.0 to 21.0
11 Michigan over 81 Maryland 38.5 to 14.0
51 Mississippi over 183 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 24.5
71 Montana over 228 Portland State 56.0 to 17.5
133 San Diego over 250 Morehead State 49.0 to 21.0
123 Liberty over 231 New Mexico State 42.0 to 24.5
134 Sam Houston State over 242 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 21.0
2 Ohio State over 63 Indiana 49.0 to 17.5
30 Washington State over 153 Oregon State 45.5 to 28.0
41 Princeton over 190 Lehigh 52.5 to 21.0
84 South Dakota over 143 Missouri State 42.0 to 24.5
14 South Dakota State over 203 Indiana State 59.5 to 17.5
35 North Texas over 240 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 14.0
72 Toledo over 217 Bowling Green 56.0 to 28.0
7 Clemson over 67 Wake Forest 38.5 to 21.0
18 West Virginia over 96 Kansas 42.0 to 21.0
15 Wisconsin over 117 Nebraska 42.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
48 Houston over 115 Tulsa 42.0 to 28.0
95 Troy State over 181 Georgia State 35.0 to 17.5
20 Boise State over 69 San Diego State 35.0 to 21.0
89 Colgate over 218 Bucknell 28.0 to 7.0
163 Columbia over 245 Marist 35.0 to 14.0
209 Dayton over 233 Valparaiso 38.5 to 24.5
104 Florida Atlantic over 155 Old Dominion 42.0 to 31.5
66 Kennesaw State over 224 Presbyterian 45.5 to 10.5
12 Miami - Florida over 59 Florida State 35.0 to 17.5
40 Fresno State over 141 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 24.5
78 Weber State over 191 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
73 California - Davis over 196 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 28.0
6 Oklahoma over 36 Texas 38.5 to 28.0
121 Rhode Island over 215 Brown 35.0 to 21.0
70 Temple over 139 East Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
142 Southeast Missouri State over 232 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
241 Jackson State over 253 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 17.5
60 Jacksonville State over 174 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5
57 Eastern Washington over 171 Southern Utah 42.0 to 24.5
210 East Tennessee State over 244 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
126 Georgia Southern over 176 South Alabama 31.5 to 21.0
88 Hawaii over 157 Wyoming 35.0 to 24.5
98 Ohio over 184 Kent State 38.5 to 28.0
76 Louisiana Tech over 145 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 28.0
188 McNeese State over 227 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 14.0
10 Oklahoma State over 38 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
146 Charleston Southern over 247 Savannah State 38.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
68 Brigham Young over 58 Utah State 28.0 to 24.5
50 Georgia Tech over 86 Louisville 35.0 to 31.5
108 Marshall over 166 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5
75 Yale over 87 Dartmouth 24.5 to 24.5
124 Akron over 175 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
97 Arizona over 85 California 35.0 to 31.5
114 Northern Illinois over 144 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
74 Baylor over 82 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
211 Campbell over 208 Wagner 28.0 to 24.5
102 Buffalo over 150 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
92 Cincinnati over 113 Tulane 28.0 to 17.5
49 Colorado over 43 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
131 Harvard over 169 Cornell 24.5 to 21.0
202 Drake over 220 Butler 28.0 to 17.5
205 Eastern Illinois over 219 Murray State 38.5 to 31.5
8 Louisiana State over 28 Florida 24.5 to 21.0
199 Florida A&M over 201 Norfolk State 28.0 to 21.0
238 Fordham over 230 Georgetown 24.5 to 21.0
180 Idaho State over 194 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
77 Illinois State over 91 Western Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
185 Southeast Louisiana over 223 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 28.0
64 Villanova over 122 Maine 28.0 to 21.0
47 Michigan State over 61 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
23 Iowa over 79 Minnesota 24.5 to 14.0
13 Auburn over 22 Mississippi State 24.5 to 21.0
119 Nevada - Las Vegas over 154 New Mexico 42.0 to 35.0
165 New Hampshire over 168 Holy Cross 24.5 to 21.0
213 North Carolina Central over 198 Howard 31.5 to 31.5
24 North Carolina State over 52 Boston College 35.0 to 24.5
19 North Dakota State over 56 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
34 Syracuse over 112 Pittsburgh 38.5 to 31.5
120 Richmond over 110 Delaware 28.0 to 24.5
206 Central Connecticut over 239 Robert Morris 31.5 to 24.5
140 Illinois over 195 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
138 Sacramento State over 187 California Poly 38.5 to 31.5
127 Samford over 164 Western Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
29 Stanford over 39 Utah 24.5 to 17.5
100 Wofford over 149 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 24.5
31 Texas A&M over 37 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
161 Louisiana - Lafayette over 222 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 31.5
93 Stony Brook over 107 Towson 28.0 to 24.5
27 Virginia Tech over 16 Notre Dame 31.5 to 28.0
103 Western Michigan over 90 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
162 Albany over 204 William & Mary 21.0 to 17.5
118 Youngstown State over 109 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
99 Air Force over 94 Navy 31.5 to 31.5
136 Tennessee State over 152 Austin Peay 31.5 to 31.5
248 Jacksonville over 252 Davidson 31.5 to 28.0
226 Duquesne over 192 Bryant 35.0 to 35.0
214 Morgan State over 216 South Carolina State 21.0 to 21.0
167 Nicholls State over 189 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
197 Rice over 200 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 28.0
158 Sacred Heart over 129 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 28.0
178 Colorado State over 186 San Jose State 31.5 to 31.5
44 South Carolina over 33 Missouri 35.0 to 35.0
243 Texas Southern over 235 Alabama A&M 21.0 to 21.0
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