ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 34 Missouri 56.0 to 24.5
24 Auburn over 101 Tennessee 35.0 to 10.5
167 Charleston Southern over 255 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 21.0
48 Kennesaw State over 252 Gardner - Webb 45.5 to 7.0
194 Howard over 251 Delaware State 49.0 to 28.0
46 Jacksonville State over 209 Eastern Illinois 56.0 to 17.5
70 Maryland over 203 Rutgers 42.0 to 17.5
132 Montana State over 208 Idaho 38.5 to 17.5
10 Notre Dame over 107 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 17.5
2 Ohio State over 67 Minnesota 45.5 to 14.0
3 Penn State over 62 Michigan State 45.5 to 17.5
22 Princeton over 230 Brown 52.5 to 7.0
96 Samford over 232 Virginia Military 45.5 to 17.5
21 South Dakota State over 135 Youngstown State 45.5 to 21.0
206 Southeast Louisiana over 255 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
89 Georgia Southern over 229 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 17.5
131 Harvard over 192 Holy Cross 31.5 to 17.5
25 Utah over 100 Arizona 35.0 to 17.5
97 Western Michigan over 214 Bowling Green 45.5 to 31.5
76 California - Davis over 141 Idaho State 49.0 to 35.0
123 Coastal Carolina over 199 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 28.0
78 Colgate over 155 Cornell 28.0 to 10.5
66 Dartmouth over 163 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 21.0
184 Drake over 248 Stetson 31.5 to 14.0
45 Houston over 164 East Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
39 Fresno State over 149 Wyoming 31.5 to 10.5
11 Iowa over 68 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0
238 Jackson State over 253 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 17.5
157 Louisiana - Lafayette over 207 New Mexico State 42.0 to 28.0
177 Monmouth over 231 Bucknell 35.0 to 21.0
37 Mississippi over 133 Arkansas 45.5 to 28.0
29 Boise State over 159 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 24.5
118 North Carolina A&T over 185 Florida A&M 31.5 to 14.0
54 North Texas over 121 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 21.0
151 Prairie View over 212 Southern 38.5 to 24.5
55 Army over 195 San Jose State 38.5 to 17.5
160 Central Arkansas over 243 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 14.0
28 Texas over 74 Baylor 38.5 to 24.5
79 Towson over 204 William & Mary 38.5 to 17.5
35 Utah State over 143 Nevada - Las Vegas 49.0 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
30 Appalachian State over 102 Arkansas State 35.0 to 24.5
19 Texas Christian over 36 Texas Tech 42.0 to 28.0
52 Boston College over 114 Louisville 38.5 to 24.5
84 Brigham Young over 98 Hawaii 35.0 to 24.5
16 Oklahoma State over 81 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
205 Lehigh over 245 Fordham 35.0 to 21.0
130 Western Kentucky over 222 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 17.5
63 Northwestern over 115 Nebraska 35.0 to 24.5
122 Sam Houston State over 200 Northwestern State 38.5 to 28.0
150 San Diego over 196 Dayton 38.5 to 28.0
191 Grambling over 247 Texas Southern 35.0 to 17.5
17 Miami - Florida over 71 Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
13 North Dakota State over 106 Western Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
60 San Diego State over 82 Air Force 28.0 to 21.0
61 South Florida over 113 Tulsa 38.5 to 31.5
158 Nicholls State over 225 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 21.0
175 Alcorn State over 221 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 17.5
198 Bryant over 211 Central Connecticut 42.0 to 35.0
92 Buffalo over 138 Akron 35.0 to 28.0
99 California over 112 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
154 Central Michigan over 137 Ball State 24.5 to 24.5
116 New Mexico over 165 Colorado State 38.5 to 35.0
249 Davidson over 246 Morehead State 42.0 to 35.0
223 Duquesne over 242 Robert Morris 35.0 to 21.0
88 Florida International over 148 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5
95 Wofford over 152 Furman 35.0 to 28.0
57 Purdue over 124 Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
75 Illinois State over 119 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
120 Missouri State over 173 Indiana State 38.5 to 31.5
12 West Virginia over 44 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
234 Marist over 250 Jacksonville 35.0 to 28.0
202 Incarnate Word over 240 Lamar 42.0 to 35.0
87 Troy State over 145 Liberty 35.0 to 31.5
5 Georgia over 9 Louisiana State 28.0 to 24.5
15 Central Florida over 51 Memphis 45.5 to 42.0
144 Miami - Ohio over 176 Kent State 28.0 to 21.0
8 Michigan over 23 Wisconsin 28.0 to 17.5
139 Tennessee State over 217 Murray State 38.5 to 28.0
59 Temple over 129 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
104 Stony Brook over 136 New Hampshire 21.0 to 17.5
50 Virginia Tech over 127 North Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
94 Montana over 166 North Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
110 Northern Illinois over 105 Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
193 Northern Colorado over 219 Portland State 35.0 to 31.5
125 Marshall over 168 Old Dominion 35.0 to 31.5
7 Washington over 53 Oregon 31.5 to 24.5
128 Pennsylvania over 169 Columbia 28.0 to 21.0
86 Rhode Island over 134 Maine 31.5 to 24.5
126 Alabama - Birmingham over 213 Rice 38.5 to 28.0
183 South Alabama over 228 Alabama State 28.0 to 24.5
190 Bethune - Cookman over 210 South Carolina State 21.0 to 21.0
65 Northern Iowa over 90 South Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
117 Southeast Missouri State over 140 Austin Peay 38.5 to 35.0
56 Southern California over 43 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
172 Tennessee - Martin over 189 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
109 Louisiana Tech over 188 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 21.0
161 The Citadel over 187 East Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
226 Butler over 244 Valparaiso 28.0 to 28.0
18 Florida over 64 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 17.5
20 James Madison over 73 Villanova 31.5 to 21.0
181 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 235 Wagner 35.0 to 21.0
49 Eastern Washington over 103 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
142 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 182 Western Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
91 Yale over 146 Mercer 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
147 Richmond over 171 Albany 31.5 to 31.5
93 Delaware over 69 Elon 24.5 to 21.0
80 Eastern Michigan over 77 Toledo 38.5 to 38.5
41 Georgia Tech over 26 Duke 31.5 to 31.5
241 Lafayette over 233 Georgetown 17.5 to 17.5
239 Presbyterian over 237 Hampton 21.0 to 21.0
227 Savannah State over 216 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
33 Texas A&M over 42 South Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
162 Sacramento State over 186 Southern Utah 28.0 to 28.0
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