ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
41 Boise State over 160 Colorado State 45.5 to 17.5
19 Appalachian State over 127 Louisiana - Lafayette 52.5 to 21.0
32 Army over 126 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 10.5
15 Central Florida over 166 East Carolina 49.0 to 24.5
98 Florida International over 236 Rice 45.5 to 17.5
5 Penn State over 80 Indiana 45.5 to 24.5
86 Louisiana Tech over 230 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 10.5
105 Georgia Southern over 212 New Mexico State 38.5 to 21.0
102 Ohio over 207 Bowling Green 49.0 to 28.0
72 Northwestern over 210 Rutgers 35.0 to 14.0
61 San Diego State over 216 San Jose State 38.5 to 7.0
218 South Carolina State over 254 Delaware State 35.0 to 14.0
71 South Florida over 215 Connecticut 49.0 to 17.5
1 Alabama over 87 Tennessee 45.5 to 14.0
36 Texas Tech over 94 Kansas 45.5 to 28.0
29 Wisconsin over 154 Illinois 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
77 Air Force over 163 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 28.0
152 Central Arkansas over 209 Northwestern State 35.0 to 17.5
167 Charleston Southern over 245 Presbyterian 31.5 to 10.5
2 Clemson over 24 North Carolina State 35.0 to 17.5
60 Florida State over 90 Wake Forest 38.5 to 24.5
16 Princeton over 136 Harvard 38.5 to 21.0
12 Iowa over 70 Maryland 35.0 to 21.0
125 Sam Houston State over 240 Lamar 49.0 to 28.0
130 Middle Tennessee State over 196 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 17.5
30 Fresno State over 123 New Mexico 38.5 to 21.0
173 Southern over 248 Texas Southern 38.5 to 17.5
3 Ohio State over 43 Purdue 42.0 to 24.5
48 Syracuse over 124 North Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
22 Utah State over 153 Wyoming 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
114 Arkansas State over 174 Georgia State 28.0 to 17.5
158 San Diego over 237 Butler 31.5 to 21.0
49 Dartmouth over 165 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0
21 Duke over 65 Virginia 31.5 to 17.5
35 Kentucky over 68 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
235 Marist over 249 Davidson 35.0 to 24.5
150 Mercer over 193 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
10 North Dakota State over 56 Illinois State 28.0 to 14.0
188 Northeast Louisiana over 219 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 28.0
145 Southern Illinois over 155 Indiana State 42.0 to 31.5
128 Southern Mississippi over 203 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 14.0
172 Tennessee State over 234 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 24.5
17 Utah over 58 Southern California 28.0 to 17.5
161 The Citadel over 242 Virginia Military 45.5 to 28.0
11 Washington over 46 Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
116 Wofford over 175 East Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
53 North Texas over 92 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 24.5
84 Towson over 178 Albany 35.0 to 28.0
164 Alcorn State over 200 Grambling 31.5 to 24.5
83 Eastern Michigan over 144 Ball State 31.5 to 21.0
147 North Carolina A&T over 189 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 24.5
157 Cornell over 227 Brown 28.0 to 21.0
232 Bucknell over 238 Lafayette 21.0 to 14.0
91 California - Los Angeles over 106 Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
81 California - Davis over 180 California Poly 42.0 to 31.5
191 Central Connecticut over 183 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 31.5
99 Western Michigan over 143 Central Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
185 Dayton over 197 Drake 31.5 to 24.5
159 Tennessee - Martin over 204 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 35.0
190 Eastern Kentucky over 195 Murray State 35.0 to 28.0
73 Elon over 132 Richmond 35.0 to 24.5
76 Samford over 142 Furman 35.0 to 28.0
228 Georgetown over 226 Lehigh 24.5 to 21.0
112 Hawaii over 129 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 35.0
246 Stephen F. Austin over 250 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 31.5
181 Southern Utah over 201 Idaho 28.0 to 24.5
186 McNeese State over 213 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 24.5
119 Akron over 194 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
8 Louisiana State over 14 Mississippi State 28.0 to 21.0
109 Marshall over 100 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 31.5
146 Coastal Carolina over 168 Massachusetts 45.5 to 42.0
6 Michigan over 57 Michigan State 28.0 to 17.5
253 Mississippi Valley State over 255 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 31.5
33 Missouri over 52 Memphis 45.5 to 42.0
177 Monmouth over 184 Campbell 31.5 to 28.0
229 Valparaiso over 244 Morehead State 42.0 to 38.5
187 Howard over 217 Morgan State 35.0 to 31.5
40 Houston over 137 Navy 38.5 to 24.5
67 Minnesota over 107 Nebraska 28.0 to 28.0
88 Delaware over 149 New Hampshire 21.0 to 17.5
205 Norfolk State over 221 North Carolina Central 24.5 to 21.0
162 Northern Arizona over 206 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
20 South Dakota State over 66 Northern Iowa 38.5 to 31.5
131 California over 151 Oregon State 35.0 to 31.5
118 North Dakota over 192 Sacramento State 35.0 to 28.0
182 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 214 Duquesne 28.0 to 21.0
220 Southeast Louisiana over 211 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 28.0
54 Jacksonville State over 115 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 28.0
247 Stetson over 251 Jacksonville 31.5 to 21.0
85 Stony Brook over 89 Rhode Island 31.5 to 28.0
59 Temple over 75 Cincinnati 28.0 to 21.0
4 Oklahoma over 28 Texas Christian 35.0 to 28.0
79 Toledo over 82 Buffalo 42.0 to 38.5
111 Tulane over 139 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 28.0
34 Washington State over 55 Oregon 38.5 to 35.0
97 Weber State over 148 Montana State 28.0 to 17.5
156 Western Kentucky over 170 Old Dominion 35.0 to 28.0
135 Maine over 199 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5
141 Youngstown State over 103 South Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
47 Arizona State over 37 Stanford 28.0 to 28.0
96 Yale over 140 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 28.0
121 Arkansas over 110 Tulsa 31.5 to 31.5
225 Fordham over 223 Bryant 31.5 to 28.0
243 Jackson State over 222 North Alabama 35.0 to 35.0
134 Liberty over 113 Idaho State 42.0 to 38.5
39 Auburn over 45 Mississippi 31.5 to 31.5
108 Missouri State over 117 Western Illinois 31.5 to 31.5
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