2018 Week 9 (23-27 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

 135 Austin Peay               over  239 Tennessee Tech             49.0 to 24.5
  66 Colgate                   over  227 Georgetown                 31.5 to  3.5
  48 Colorado                  over  171 Oregon State               49.0 to 21.0
  68 Eastern Washington        over  196 Idaho                      45.5 to 17.5
  22 Fresno State              over  136 Hawaii                     45.5 to 17.5
 203 Grambling                 over  254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      49.0 to 17.5
 241 Hampton                   over  255 Houston Baptist            49.0 to 28.0
  24 Notre Dame                over  142 Navy                       38.5 to 17.5
  54 North Texas               over  236 Rice                       49.0 to 14.0
 215 Northwestern State        over  255 Houston Baptist            56.0 to 24.5
   3 Oklahoma                  over   70 Kansas State               49.0 to 21.0
  17 Princeton                 over  155 Cornell                    49.0 to 14.0
 146 Sam Houston State         over  224 Southeast Louisiana        45.5 to 28.0
 147 San Diego                 over  251 Jacksonville               49.0 to 17.5
 130 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  237 Virginia Military          45.5 to 17.5
  81 Alabama - Birmingham      over  223 Texas - El Paso            35.0 to 14.0
  25 Utah State                over  124 New Mexico                 49.0 to 24.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  20 West Virginia             over   73 Baylor                     42.0 to 28.0
  18 Utah                      over   91 California - Los Angeles   31.5 to 21.0
 158 Pennsylvania              over  234 Brown                      31.5 to 17.5
  10 Washington                over   95 California                 31.5 to 14.0
 175 Campbell                  over  250 Gardner - Webb             35.0 to  7.0
 189 Central Connecticut       over  231 Wagner                     42.0 to 24.5
  49 Dartmouth                 over  123 Harvard                    31.5 to 14.0
 197 North Carolina Central    over  252 Delaware State             42.0 to 24.5
 176 Florida A&M               over  219 Morgan State               31.5 to 17.5
   2 Clemson                   over   62 Florida State              35.0 to 17.5
 181 Holy Cross                over  230 Lehigh                     35.0 to 24.5
  11 James Madison             over   63 Stony Brook                35.0 to 17.5
  77 Maryland                  over  149 Illinois                   38.5 to 21.0
  74 Jacksonville State        over  166 Murray State               38.5 to 24.5
 112 Rhode Island              over  190 William & Mary             31.5 to 21.0
   9 North Dakota State        over  122 South Dakota               35.0 to 17.5
 178 Southern                  over  248 Jackson State              24.5 to  7.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  92 Troy State                over  179 South Alabama              35.0 to 24.5
  94 Ohio                      over  143 Ball State                 38.5 to 28.0
 183 Dayton                    over  244 Butler                     31.5 to 21.0
  51 Kennesaw State            over  157 Charleston Southern        35.0 to 21.0
  44 Houston                   over   88 South Florida              45.5 to 31.5
  38 Texas Christian           over   97 Kansas                     31.5 to 17.5
 152 Maine                     over  180 Albany                     31.5 to 21.0
  86 Nebraska                  over  201 Bethune - Cookman          45.5 to 28.0
 169 Monmouth                  over  247 Presbyterian               35.0 to 24.5
 185 Sacred Heart              over  216 Bryant                     38.5 to 31.5
  65 Cincinnati                over  132 Southern Methodist         35.0 to 24.5
 249 Texas Southern            over  253 Mississippi Valley State   35.0 to 24.5
 186 Drake                     over  238 Valparaiso                 31.5 to 21.0
  98 Villanova                 over  163 New Hampshire              24.5 to 10.5
  41 Virginia                  over  115 North Carolina             31.5 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  26 Appalachian State         over   99 Georgia Southern           31.5 to 21.0
  58 Virginia Tech             over   45 Georgia Tech               35.0 to 31.5
  89 Western Michigan          over   90 Toledo                     42.0 to 38.5
  23 Miami - Florida           over   43 Boston College             31.5 to 28.0
  40 Boise State               over   76 Air Force                  31.5 to 28.0
 125 Akron                     over  160 Central Michigan           28.0 to 21.0
  52 Oregon                    over  113 Arizona                    38.5 to 31.5
  64 Vanderbilt                over  102 Arkansas                   24.5 to 24.5
  85 Brigham Young             over  101 Northern Illinois          24.5 to 17.5
 103 Yale                      over  164 Columbia                   28.0 to 21.0
 182 Massachusetts             over  210 Connecticut                38.5 to 38.5
  79 Delaware                  over   69 Towson                     31.5 to 31.5
 213 Eastern Kentucky          over  205 Eastern Illinois           38.5 to 31.5
  42 Army                      over   72 Eastern Michigan           28.0 to 24.5
 165 East Tennessee State      over  198 Western Carolina           35.0 to 28.0
 221 Fordham                   over  233 Lafayette                  24.5 to 21.0
 127 Coastal Carolina          over  170 Georgia State              31.5 to 28.0
 172 Howard                    over  225 South Carolina State       31.5 to 24.5
 104 Idaho State               over  137 Montana State              38.5 to 35.0
  35 South Dakota State        over   55 Illinois State             31.5 to 31.5
 120 Louisville                over  114 Wake Forest                38.5 to 31.5
 144 Central Arkansas          over  211 McNeese State              24.5 to 17.5
  16 Purdue                    over   59 Michigan State             24.5 to 21.0
  19 Mississippi State         over   27 Texas A&M                  28.0 to 21.0
  14 Missouri                  over   34 Kentucky                   35.0 to 28.0
 131 Missouri State            over  151 Southern Illinois          31.5 to 28.0
  61 California - Davis        over  117 Montana                    38.5 to 35.0
 229 Marist                    over  243 Morehead State             38.5 to 35.0
  80 San Diego State           over  119 Nevada - Reno              28.0 to 21.0
   4 Georgia                   over   13 Florida                    31.5 to 21.0
 173 Nicholls State            over  177 Incarnate Word             35.0 to 28.0
 134 Southern Mississippi      over  194 North Carolina - Charlot   28.0 to 17.5
 105 North Dakota              over  108 Weber State                21.0 to 17.5
 187 Northern Arizona          over  191 California Poly            35.0 to 28.0
  28 Wisconsin                 over   82 Northwestern               31.5 to 21.0
  31 Oklahoma State            over   30 Texas                      35.0 to 28.0
   8 Penn State                over   12 Iowa                       35.0 to 24.5
  32 Duke                      over   93 Pittsburgh                 31.5 to 21.0
 193 Saint Francis - Pennsylv  over  242 Robert Morris              35.0 to 24.5
 206 Sacramento State          over  208 Portland State             38.5 to 35.0
 153 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  204 San Jose State             35.0 to 28.0
 226 Norfolk State             over  222 Savannah State             21.0 to 21.0
  47 South Carolina            over   87 Tennessee                  31.5 to 21.0
  60 Southern California       over   57 Arizona State              31.5 to 28.0
 202 Southern Utah             over  192 Northern Colorado          31.5 to 28.0
  39 Stanford                  over   36 Washington State           28.0 to 24.5
 240 Stephen F. Austin         over  228 Lamar                      31.5 to 28.0
  46 Syracuse                  over   29 North Carolina State       35.0 to 35.0
  96 Southeast Missouri State  over  174 Tennessee - Martin         35.0 to 28.0
 218 Texas State - San Marcos  over  207 New Mexico State           38.5 to 35.0
 154 Tulsa                     over  126 Tulane                     24.5 to 21.0
  53 Northern Iowa             over  106 Western Illinois           31.5 to 24.5
 107 Florida International     over  161 Western Kentucky           31.5 to 24.5
 118 Wofford                   over  140 Mercer                     35.0 to 28.0
 139 Youngstown State          over  141 Indiana State              31.5 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 150 Colorado State            over  145 Wyoming                    24.5 to 24.5
 121 Florida Atlantic          over  100 Louisiana Tech             35.0 to 31.5
  84 Minnesota                 over   75 Indiana                    28.0 to 24.5
 245 Stetson                   over  246 Davidson                   31.5 to 28.0
  21 Texas Tech                over   37 Iowa State                 31.5 to 31.5
 116 Arkansas State            over  111 Louisiana - Lafayette      35.0 to 35.0
 217 Alabama A&M               over  232 Alabama State              24.5 to 24.5
 138 Middle Tennessee State    over  156 Old Dominion               35.0 to 35.0
 188 Prairie View              over  167 Alcorn State               31.5 to 28.0
 168 The Citadel               over  148 Furman                     31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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