ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
45 California - Davis over 199 Northern Arizona 49.0 to 21.0
2 Clemson over 145 Louisville 52.5 to 10.5
49 Colgate over 233 Fordham 35.0 to 10.5
215 Grambling over 255 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 17.5
18 Utah State over 134 Hawaii 52.5 to 31.5
157 Nicholls State over 253 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 21.0
65 Jacksonville State over 192 Tennessee - Martin 45.5 to 17.5
40 Kennesaw State over 210 Campbell 42.0 to 10.5
17 Mississippi State over 110 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 10.5
20 Fresno State over 164 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 17.5
124 North Carolina A&T over 237 Norfolk State 31.5 to 7.0
6 North Dakota State over 155 Youngstown State 38.5 to 3.5
69 Eastern Washington over 193 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 24.5
5 Ohio State over 81 Nebraska 52.5 to 24.5
28 South Dakota State over 147 Missouri State 45.5 to 21.0
73 Tennessee over 183 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 14.0
103 Weber State over 226 Sacramento State 42.0 to 17.5
47 Wisconsin over 201 Rutgers 42.0 to 7.0
113 Yale over 232 Brown 38.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
76 Toledo over 153 Ball State 45.5 to 28.0
14 Central Florida over 56 Temple 38.5 to 24.5
78 Alabama - Birmingham over 196 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 10.5
206 Alabama A&M over 254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 24.5
122 Arkansas State over 181 South Alabama 38.5 to 24.5
131 Austin Peay over 216 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5
32 Boise State over 93 Brigham Young 35.0 to 21.0
150 Central Arkansas over 217 Lamar 42.0 to 21.0
66 Cincinnati over 137 Navy 35.0 to 21.0
39 Appalachian State over 132 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
60 Memphis over 161 East Carolina 45.5 to 31.5
19 James Madison over 121 New Hampshire 31.5 to 10.5
154 Alcorn State over 203 New Mexico State 42.0 to 24.5
36 Georgia Tech over 109 North Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
84 Georgia Southern over 198 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
55 Southern California over 143 Oregon State 45.5 to 28.0
174 Sacred Heart over 241 Robert Morris 42.0 to 24.5
37 Houston over 126 Southern Methodist 49.0 to 31.5
148 Tulsa over 218 Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
197 Duquesne over 244 Wagner 38.5 to 24.5
24 Washington State over 94 California 38.5 to 21.0
127 Wyoming over 189 San Jose State 28.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
85 Buffalo over 118 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
114 Middle Tennessee State over 176 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
64 Delaware over 195 Albany 38.5 to 21.0
204 Savannah State over 252 Delaware State 35.0 to 21.0
80 Eastern Michigan over 160 Central Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
117 North Dakota over 190 Idaho 31.5 to 17.5
30 Iowa State over 91 Kansas 31.5 to 21.0
219 Marist over 239 Valparaiso 35.0 to 24.5
31 Miami - Florida over 48 Duke 31.5 to 21.0
139 Montana State over 177 California Poly 35.0 to 24.5
67 Oregon over 100 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 28.0
10 Princeton over 46 Dartmouth 35.0 to 21.0
98 Southeast Missouri State over 162 Tennessee State 42.0 to 28.0
96 South Florida over 119 Tulane 35.0 to 24.5
235 Stetson over 248 Morehead State 42.0 to 31.5
171 Murray State over 236 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 28.0
44 Texas Christian over 90 Kansas State 31.5 to 17.5
68 Towson over 152 Maine 38.5 to 24.5
97 Troy State over 107 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
101 Northern Illinois over 133 Akron 24.5 to 17.5
61 Colorado over 87 Arizona 28.0 to 28.0
52 Virginia over 74 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 21.0
194 Abilene Christian over 229 Northwestern State 31.5 to 24.5
240 Alabama State over 238 Texas Southern 28.0 to 21.0
13 Utah over 54 Arizona State 31.5 to 24.5
35 Army over 79 Air Force 31.5 to 21.0
26 Auburn over 27 Texas A&M 28.0 to 21.0
38 Oklahoma State over 88 Baylor 42.0 to 35.0
75 Elon over 116 Rhode Island 35.0 to 24.5
16 Florida over 15 Missouri 35.0 to 31.5
92 Florida International over 128 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 28.0
138 Furman over 141 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 24.5
172 Georgia State over 213 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 21.0
115 Harvard over 165 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
159 Florida A&M over 188 Howard 35.0 to 31.5
86 Minnesota over 156 Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
166 Sam Houston State over 185 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 35.0
120 Indiana State over 140 South Dakota 38.5 to 35.0
207 Prairie View over 250 Jackson State 24.5 to 14.0
246 Butler over 251 Jacksonville 28.0 to 28.0
4 Georgia over 34 Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
136 Holy Cross over 228 Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 8 Louisiana State 31.5 to 21.0
59 Maryland over 58 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5
130 Liberty over 184 Massachusetts 38.5 to 35.0
149 Mercer over 158 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
7 Michigan over 9 Penn State 31.5 to 28.0
50 Mississippi over 51 South Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
209 Bethune - Cookman over 227 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
95 San Diego State over 135 New Mexico 28.0 to 21.0
29 North Carolina State over 72 Florida State 31.5 to 24.5
70 Northern Iowa over 53 Illinois State 24.5 to 24.5
25 Notre Dame over 71 Northwestern 31.5 to 21.0
104 Idaho State over 178 Portland State 42.0 to 31.5
11 Iowa over 23 Purdue 24.5 to 21.0
223 Rice over 224 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 21.0
123 Richmond over 144 Villanova 28.0 to 28.0
202 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 214 Bryant 35.0 to 24.5
77 Samford over 106 Wofford 31.5 to 24.5
99 Western Illinois over 129 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
125 Montana over 208 Southern Utah 35.0 to 24.5
3 Oklahoma over 22 Texas Tech 49.0 to 42.0
42 Boston College over 89 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 31.5
41 Syracuse over 102 Wake Forest 49.0 to 38.5
21 Washington over 43 Stanford 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
186 Kent State over 211 Bowling Green 31.5 to 31.5
108 Western Michigan over 82 Ohio 38.5 to 38.5
170 Pennsylvania over 168 Cornell 24.5 to 24.5
175 Drake over 151 San Diego 31.5 to 28.0
249 Presbyterian over 245 Gardner - Webb 21.0 to 21.0
231 Bucknell over 247 Lehigh 24.5 to 24.5
169 Monmouth over 142 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 31.5
200 McNeese State over 222 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
112 Marshall over 146 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 24.5
33 Texas over 12 West Virginia 28.0 to 28.0
187 Western Carolina over 182 The Citadel 38.5 to 38.5
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