ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
76 Buffalo over 181 Kent State 38.5 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 13 Mississippi State 38.5 to 14.0
39 Army over 231 Lafayette 38.5 to 10.5
11 Central Florida over 145 Navy 49.0 to 17.5
186 Charleston Southern over 240 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 14.0
37 Dartmouth over 183 Cornell 35.0 to 10.5
185 Dayton over 251 Morehead State 52.5 to 24.5
40 Duke over 117 North Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
32 James Madison over 112 Rhode Island 42.0 to 17.5
200 Lamar over 253 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 28.0
42 Colgate over 237 Lehigh 42.0 to 10.5
125 Louisiana Tech over 227 Rice 42.0 to 17.5
55 Memphis over 149 Tulsa 42.0 to 28.0
7 Missouri over 68 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 24.5
12 North Dakota State over 162 Missouri State 38.5 to 7.0
26 Kennesaw State over 154 Monmouth 45.5 to 24.5
99 New Hampshire over 191 Albany 31.5 to 14.0
5 Oklahoma over 48 Oklahoma State 52.5 to 35.0
3 Michigan over 195 Rutgers 45.5 to 3.5
143 San Diego over 246 Davidson 52.5 to 24.5
91 San Diego State over 170 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 17.5
163 Southern over 255 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 56.0 to 21.0
20 South Dakota State over 138 Southern Illinois 45.5 to 24.5
33 Stanford over 142 Oregon State 49.0 to 21.0
35 Appalachian State over 205 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 14.0
9 Utah State over 192 San Jose State 56.0 to 17.5
6 Princeton over 115 Yale 38.5 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
27 North Carolina State over 113 Wake Forest 45.5 to 28.0
38 Syracuse over 155 Louisville 52.5 to 28.0
73 Air Force over 135 New Mexico 38.5 to 24.5
63 Alabama - Birmingham over 139 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 14.0
43 Arizona State over 104 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 24.5
10 Louisiana State over 103 Arkansas 35.0 to 17.5
2 Clemson over 36 Boston College 38.5 to 21.0
221 Bryant over 244 Wagner 45.5 to 35.0
156 Central Michigan over 208 Bowling Green 35.0 to 24.5
111 Southern Methodist over 219 Connecticut 38.5 to 24.5
88 Eastern Michigan over 131 Akron 31.5 to 21.0
102 Florida Atlantic over 189 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
4 Georgia over 30 Auburn 31.5 to 17.5
129 Holy Cross over 236 Fordham 38.5 to 17.5
14 Iowa over 67 Northwestern 31.5 to 17.5
21 Iowa State over 81 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
108 Marshall over 173 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 14.0
136 Montana State over 197 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 24.5
224 Morgan State over 250 Delaware State 35.0 to 21.0
87 Southeast Missouri State over 177 Murray State 42.0 to 28.0
70 Nebraska over 130 Illinois 45.5 to 28.0
110 Nevada - Reno over 160 Colorado State 38.5 to 28.0
159 Nicholls State over 241 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 10.5
84 Brigham Young over 167 Massachusetts 42.0 to 24.5
121 North Dakota over 161 Portland State 35.0 to 21.0
23 Notre Dame over 82 Florida State 35.0 to 21.0
62 North Texas over 179 Old Dominion 42.0 to 24.5
17 Penn State over 56 Wisconsin 38.5 to 24.5
123 North Carolina A&T over 229 Savannah State 31.5 to 10.5
180 Tennessee - Martin over 238 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 24.5
83 Jacksonville State over 166 Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0
28 Texas A&M over 50 Mississippi 42.0 to 31.5
107 Middle Tennessee State over 216 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 14.0
74 Samford over 176 The Citadel 38.5 to 24.5
92 Tulane over 158 East Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
19 Utah over 71 Oregon 38.5 to 24.5
128 Villanova over 188 William & Mary 24.5 to 10.5
61 Virginia over 133 Liberty 38.5 to 21.0
137 Furman over 225 Virginia Military 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
165 Columbia over 233 Brown 28.0 to 17.5
53 Cincinnati over 120 South Florida 35.0 to 21.0
198 Drake over 211 Marist 31.5 to 21.0
207 Eastern Kentucky over 247 Robert Morris 35.0 to 21.0
153 Florida A&M over 214 South Carolina State 24.5 to 14.0
58 Illinois State over 116 Indiana State 38.5 to 24.5
78 Kansas State over 97 Kansas 31.5 to 17.5
98 Louisiana - Lafayette over 187 Georgia State 42.0 to 28.0
18 Purdue over 105 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5
59 Southern California over 89 California 28.0 to 21.0
118 Weber State over 218 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
124 Florida International over 215 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 17.5
114 Wofford over 196 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
8 West Virginia over 52 Texas Christian 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
54 Ohio over 106 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 28.0
204 Alabama A&M over 226 Grambling 24.5 to 21.0
239 Alabama State over 245 Jackson State 21.0 to 14.0
206 Bethune - Cookman over 222 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 24.5
228 Stetson over 248 Butler 28.0 to 28.0
109 Idaho State over 172 California Poly 42.0 to 38.5
178 Central Arkansas over 164 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 31.5
34 Washington State over 72 Colorado 31.5 to 28.0
194 Duquesne over 175 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 28.0
150 Austin Peay over 201 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 31.5
65 Eastern Washington over 51 California - Davis 35.0 to 35.0
85 Elon over 80 Towson 35.0 to 31.5
25 Florida over 47 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
230 Georgetown over 235 Bucknell 21.0 to 17.5
100 Georgia Southern over 101 Troy State 24.5 to 21.0
44 Georgia Tech over 41 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 31.5
57 Houston over 49 Temple 38.5 to 35.0
122 Montana over 171 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
15 Ohio State over 46 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5
234 Hampton over 254 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 24.5
174 Howard over 232 Norfolk State 31.5 to 28.0
94 Harvard over 152 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 21.0
64 Pittsburgh over 93 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
212 Campbell over 252 Presbyterian 21.0 to 10.5
199 Northern Arizona over 220 Sacramento State 31.5 to 31.5
203 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 190 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
182 Sam Houston State over 184 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 31.5
95 Western Illinois over 140 South Dakota 38.5 to 31.5
60 Stony Brook over 79 Delaware 28.0 to 21.0
29 Kentucky over 90 Tennessee 24.5 to 17.5
148 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 151 Mercer 28.0 to 24.5
22 Texas Tech over 31 Texas 38.5 to 35.0
243 Valparaiso over 249 Jacksonville 38.5 to 31.5
66 Northern Iowa over 141 Youngstown State 28.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
96 Northern Illinois over 69 Toledo 31.5 to 31.5
16 Fresno State over 45 Boise State 28.0 to 28.0
119 Arkansas State over 132 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 31.5
86 Indiana over 77 Maryland 31.5 to 28.0
217 McNeese State over 223 Northwestern State 24.5 to 21.0
144 Richmond over 126 Maine 31.5 to 31.5
193 South Alabama over 169 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 31.5
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