2018 Week 12 (13-17 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  75 Toledo                    over  191 Kent State                 42.0 to 24.5
  35 Eastern Washington        over  160 Portland State             42.0 to 21.0
   1 Alabama                   over  147 The Citadel                59.5 to  7.0
  44 Appalachian State         over  180 Georgia State              42.0 to 10.5
  30 Auburn                    over  136 Liberty                    45.5 to 17.5
  76 Brigham Young             over  203 New Mexico State           45.5 to 17.5
  68 California - Davis        over  209 Sacramento State           49.0 to 21.0
   2 Clemson                   over   43 Duke                       42.0 to 14.0
   9 Utah State                over  183 Colorado State             52.5 to 24.5
  37 Dartmouth                 over  238 Brown                      45.5 to  3.5
  28 Florida                   over  171 Idaho                      42.0 to 17.5
   4 Georgia                   over  163 Massachusetts              59.5 to 14.0
 194 Sam Houston State         over  255 Houston Baptist            49.0 to 24.5
  20 Iowa                      over  134 Illinois                   42.0 to 17.5
  14 Louisiana State           over  225 Rice                       49.0 to  3.5
 113 Marshall                  over  222 Texas - San Antonio        35.0 to 10.5
   3 Michigan                  over   77 Indiana                    42.0 to 14.0
  11 Mississippi State         over  104 Arkansas                   35.0 to 10.5
 215 Alabama A&M               over  254 Mississippi Valley State   38.5 to 21.0
 199 Drake                     over  251 Morehead State             38.5 to 21.0
   7 North Dakota State        over  126 Southern Illinois          45.5 to 10.5
  86 Northern Iowa             over  173 Missouri State             38.5 to 17.5
   5 Oklahoma                  over   99 Kansas                     52.5 to 21.0
   8 Princeton                 over  179 Pennsylvania               45.5 to 10.5
  17 Penn State                over  190 Rutgers                    45.5 to 14.0
  15 South Dakota State        over  140 South Dakota               52.5 to 24.5
  85 Troy State                over  204 Texas State - San Marcos   38.5 to 14.0
  21 Washington                over  143 Oregon State               49.0 to 17.5
 115 Wofford                   over  252 Presbyterian               42.0 to  7.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  36 Boise State               over  137 New Mexico                 42.0 to 24.5
 142 Akron                     over  201 Bowling Green              35.0 to 24.5
  54 Stony Brook               over  185 Albany                     35.0 to 14.0
 162 Alcorn State              over  242 Jackson State              28.0 to  7.0
 100 Arkansas State            over  150 Northeast Louisiana        38.5 to 24.5
 247 Delaware State            over  255 Houston Baptist            42.0 to 28.0
 146 East Carolina             over  220 Connecticut                38.5 to 21.0
  13 Fresno State              over  105 San Diego State            28.0 to 10.5
 159 Monmouth                  over  239 Gardner - Webb             38.5 to 24.5
 165 Dayton                    over  250 Jacksonville               45.5 to 28.0
  46 Kentucky                  over  103 Middle Tennessee State     31.5 to 17.5
 110 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  214 South Alabama              45.5 to 24.5
  47 North Carolina State      over  164 Louisville                 42.0 to 24.5
  12 Ohio State                over   73 Maryland                   38.5 to 24.5
 106 North Carolina            over  198 Western Carolina           45.5 to 28.0
 122 North Carolina A&T        over  223 North Carolina Central     31.5 to 17.5
 207 Prairie View              over  249 Alabama State              35.0 to 21.0
  88 Nevada - Reno             over  188 San Jose State             38.5 to 24.5
  40 South Carolina            over  154 Tennessee - Chattanooga    31.5 to 14.0
  94 Southeast Missouri State  over  182 Eastern Illinois           49.0 to 31.5
  38 Temple                    over  120 South Florida              42.0 to 28.0
  25 Texas A&M                 over   71 Alabama - Birmingham       35.0 to 17.5
 246 Texas Southern            over  253 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      45.5 to 28.0
  22 Washington State          over   78 Arizona                    42.0 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  80 Northern Illinois         over  112 Miami - Ohio               28.0 to 17.5
 145 Nicholls State            over  205 Southeast Louisiana        35.0 to 21.0
  19 Central Florida           over   50 Cincinnati                 35.0 to 24.5
  16 Utah                      over   87 Colorado                   31.5 to 21.0
  67 Illinois State            over  123 Youngstown State           28.0 to 17.5
 156 Old Dominion              over  236 Virginia Military          49.0 to 35.0
 197 South Carolina State      over  228 Savannah State             24.5 to 14.0
  10 Missouri                  over   72 Tennessee                  35.0 to 28.0
 193 Western Kentucky          over  213 Texas - El Paso            28.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 128 Western Michigan          over  174 Ball State                 35.0 to 28.0
  55 Ohio                      over   66 Buffalo                    38.5 to 31.5
  60 Houston                   over  102 Tulane                     38.5 to 28.0
 155 Incarnate Word            over  212 North Alabama              49.0 to 38.5
  82 North Texas               over  108 Florida Atlantic           35.0 to 24.5
 217 Northwestern State        over  245 Stephen F. Austin          28.0 to 24.5
  62 Memphis                   over  116 Southern Methodist         45.5 to 42.0
 177 Abilene Christian         over  192 Central Arkansas           31.5 to 28.0
  41 Colgate                   over   45 Army                       21.0 to 17.5
 187 Austin Peay               over  172 Murray State               35.0 to 31.5
  65 Texas Christian           over   84 Baylor                     28.0 to 24.5
  29 Stanford                  over   81 California                 24.5 to 21.0
  64 Southern California       over   98 California - Los Angeles   31.5 to 24.5
 153 California Poly           over  219 Southern Utah              38.5 to 24.5
 169 Central Connecticut       over  186 Duquesne                   31.5 to 28.0
 118 Georgia Southern          over  152 Coastal Carolina           28.0 to 24.5
 157 Columbia                  over  170 Cornell                    28.0 to 21.0
 232 Davidson                  over  248 Butler                     38.5 to 35.0
  93 Delaware                  over  138 Villanova                  28.0 to 17.5
  91 Samford                   over  151 East Tennessee State       31.5 to 24.5
  42 Boston College            over   89 Florida State              31.5 to 28.0
 141 Holy Cross                over  226 Georgetown                 28.0 to 17.5
  39 Georgia Tech              over   58 Virginia                   35.0 to 24.5
  92 Harvard                   over   96 Yale                       31.5 to 24.5
 139 Hawaii                    over  148 Nevada - Las Vegas         42.0 to 38.5
 181 Howard                    over  231 Bryant                     45.5 to 35.0
 121 Weber State               over  131 Idaho State                35.0 to 28.0
  27 Texas Tech                over   79 Kansas State               35.0 to 31.5
 224 Lafayette                 over  237 Lehigh                     31.5 to 21.0
 119 Maine                     over  114 Elon                       24.5 to 21.0
 158 San Diego                 over  210 Marist                     35.0 to 28.0
 216 McNeese State             over  202 Lamar                      28.0 to 21.0
  63 Northwestern              over   83 Minnesota                  28.0 to 24.5
 124 Montana                   over  132 Montana State              35.0 to 28.0
 130 Navy                      over  149 Tulsa                      28.0 to 21.0
 166 Florida A&M               over  208 Bethune - Cookman          31.5 to 24.5
  26 Kennesaw State            over   74 Jacksonville State         31.5 to 24.5
 230 Norfolk State             over  233 Morgan State               21.0 to 17.5
 109 Florida International     over  176 North Carolina - Charlot   28.0 to 21.0
 125 North Dakota              over  195 Northern Arizona           31.5 to 21.0
  18 Notre Dame                over   34 Syracuse                   38.5 to 35.0
   6 West Virginia             over   33 Oklahoma State             42.0 to 35.0
  59 Oregon                    over   52 Arizona State              38.5 to 35.0
  32 Purdue                    over   56 Wisconsin                  31.5 to 24.5
  95 Rhode Island              over  107 New Hampshire              24.5 to 24.5
 178 Sacred Heart              over  211 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   28.0 to 17.5
 229 Stetson                   over  241 Valparaiso                 35.0 to 28.0
 167 Tennessee State           over  184 Tennessee - Martin         31.5 to 28.0
 218 Eastern Kentucky          over  244 Tennessee Tech             31.5 to 24.5
  24 Texas                     over   23 Iowa State                 24.5 to 21.0
  31 James Madison             over   57 Towson                     38.5 to 31.5
  48 Miami - Florida           over  117 Virginia Tech              31.5 to 24.5
  51 Pittsburgh                over  101 Wake Forest                38.5 to 31.5
 111 Western Illinois          over   97 Indiana State              35.0 to 31.5
 161 William & Mary            over  175 Richmond                   28.0 to 24.5
  69 Air Force                 over  129 Wyoming                    24.5 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 243 Bucknell                  over  227 Fordham                    21.0 to 21.0
 206 Campbell                  over  196 Charleston Southern        17.5 to 17.5
 144 Mercer                    over  127 Furman                     28.0 to 28.0
  53 Michigan State            over   70 Nebraska                   28.0 to 28.0
 240 Robert Morris             over  235 Wagner                     38.5 to 38.5
 135 Southern Mississippi      over  133 Louisiana Tech             24.5 to 24.5
  49 Mississippi               over   61 Vanderbilt                 35.0 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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