2018 Week 13 (20-24 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  74 Air Force                 over  158 Colorado State             42.0 to 21.0
  52 Cincinnati                over  140 East Carolina              38.5 to 17.5
  36 Ohio                      over  175 Akron                      42.0 to 17.5
  75 Toledo                    over  185 Central Michigan           42.0 to 21.0
   1 Alabama                   over   18 Auburn                     38.5 to 14.0
   2 Clemson                   over   34 South Carolina             45.5 to 14.0
  46 Temple                    over  224 Connecticut                49.0 to 17.5
  19 Fresno State              over  187 San Jose State             45.5 to  7.0
  55 Michigan State            over  186 Rutgers                    28.0 to  3.5
   8 Missouri                  over  110 Arkansas                   45.5 to 21.0
  60 Northwestern              over  156 Illinois                   42.0 to 21.0
 195 Prairie View              over  250 Texas Southern             38.5 to 17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  98 Miami - Ohio              over  160 Ball State                 35.0 to 21.0
   9 Mississippi State         over   54 Mississippi                38.5 to 24.5
  13 Iowa                      over   71 Nebraska                   38.5 to 21.0
  22 Texas                     over   86 Kansas                     35.0 to 21.0
  93 Eastern Michigan          over  190 Kent State                 35.0 to 17.5
  61 Oregon                    over  139 Oregon State               45.5 to 31.5
  11 Central Florida           over  125 South Florida              45.5 to 24.5
  49 Appalachian State         over  103 Troy State                 31.5 to 14.0
  42 Duke                      over  114 Wake Forest                38.5 to 24.5
  91 Florida Atlantic          over  154 North Carolina - Charlot   35.0 to 17.5
   4 Georgia                   over   35 Georgia Tech               42.0 to 28.0
  26 Penn State                over   67 Maryland                   38.5 to 24.5
  99 San Diego State           over  146 Hawaii                     35.0 to 21.0
 131 Southern Mississippi      over  215 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 17.5
  79 North Texas               over  221 Texas - San Antonio        35.0 to 14.0
  16 Utah                      over   77 Brigham Young              31.5 to 10.5
  45 Wisconsin                 over   88 Minnesota                  35.0 to 21.0
  32 Iowa State                over  178 Incarnate Word             45.5 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 252 Alabama State             over  254 Mississippi Valley State   38.5 to 28.0
  83 Buffalo                   over  188 Bowling Green              38.5 to 28.0
  30 Stanford                  over   95 California - Los Angeles   31.5 to 24.5
  96 Georgia Southern          over  184 Georgia State              35.0 to 24.5
 148 Liberty                   over  205 New Mexico State           45.5 to 35.0
 132 Louisiana Tech            over  173 Western Kentucky           31.5 to 17.5
  47 Kentucky                  over  180 Louisville                 35.0 to 21.0
  41 Texas Tech                over   82 Baylor                     42.0 to 31.5
 200 South Carolina State      over  236 North Carolina Central     28.0 to 14.0
  12 Notre Dame                over   76 Southern California        31.5 to 21.0
 106 Arkansas State            over  201 Texas State - San Marcos   31.5 to 21.0
 148 Liberty                   over  235 Norfolk State              35.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  92 Northern Illinois         over  130 Western Michigan           28.0 to 24.5
 162 Coastal Carolina          over  209 South Alabama              31.5 to 28.0
  57 Virginia                  over  123 Virginia Tech              28.0 to 24.5
  14 Washington State          over   29 Washington                 31.5 to 24.5
  51 Arizona State             over   85 Arizona                    35.0 to 31.5
  28 Boise State               over   17 Utah State                 38.5 to 35.0
  48 Boston College            over   58 Syracuse                   35.0 to 31.5
  78 California                over   94 Colorado                   24.5 to 21.0
 101 Florida International     over  100 Marshall                   28.0 to 28.0
  27 Florida                   over   84 Florida State              28.0 to 28.0
  38 Purdue                    over   70 Indiana                    35.0 to 31.5
  32 Iowa State                over   65 Kansas State               21.0 to 14.0
  44 Miami - Florida           over   40 Pittsburgh                 28.0 to 21.0
  89 Nevada - Reno             over  152 Nevada - Las Vegas         38.5 to 31.5
 122 Wyoming                   over  144 New Mexico                 28.0 to 21.0
  39 North Carolina State      over  105 North Carolina             38.5 to 28.0
 119 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  153 Northeast Louisiana        38.5 to 35.0
 161 Southern                  over  216 Grambling                  31.5 to 24.5
 133 Old Dominion              over  213 Rice                       38.5 to 31.5
  21 Texas A&M                 over   25 Louisiana State            24.5 to 21.0
 112 Tulane                    over  126 Navy                       28.0 to 24.5
 120 Southern Methodist        over  164 Tulsa                      31.5 to 28.0
  56 Vanderbilt                over   81 Tennessee                  28.0 to 21.0
 134 The Citadel               over  198 Charleston Southern        28.0 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  59 Memphis                   over   50 Houston                    45.5 to 45.5
   6 West Virginia             over    5 Oklahoma                   45.5 to 45.5
  72 Alabama - Birmingham      over   87 Middle Tennessee State     28.0 to 28.0
   3 Michigan                  over   15 Ohio State                 31.5 to 28.0
  62 Texas Christian           over   33 Oklahoma State             31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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