ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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70-80% chance of victory:
2 Ohio State over 159 Oregon State 63.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
155 Alabama - Birmingham over 236 Savannah State 45.5 to 31.5
157 Central Connecticut over 215 Ball State 45.5 to 31.5
193 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 209 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 28.0
17 Central Florida over 180 Connecticut 49.0 to 28.0
114 Delaware over 177 Rhode Island 38.5 to 24.5
188 Eastern Kentucky over 252 Morehead State 52.5 to 31.5
103 Kennesaw State over 173 Georgia State 38.5 to 24.5
85 Minnesota over 204 New Mexico State 42.0 to 14.0
61 Western Illinois over 134 Montana State 38.5 to 31.5
117 Southern Illinois over 213 Murray State 45.5 to 31.5
170 North Dakota over 253 Mississippi Valley State 52.5 to 24.5
9 Oklahoma State over 179 Missouri State 63.0 to 28.0
130 California - Davis over 220 San Jose State 49.0 to 35.0
37 Texas A&M over 212 Northwestern State 56.0 to 24.5
34 Wake Forest over 127 Tulane 42.0 to 31.5
42 Utah over 82 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
68 Colorado over 150 Colorado State 42.0 to 31.5
43 Duke over 75 Army 38.5 to 28.0
39 Michigan State over 111 Utah State 42.0 to 24.5
132 Nevada - Reno over 226 Portland State 52.5 to 35.0
15 Stanford over 62 San Diego State 42.0 to 28.0
10 Wisconsin over 135 Western Kentucky 52.5 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 18 Louisville 45.5 to 28.0
49 Arizona over 140 Brigham Young 45.5 to 31.5
63 Arizona State over 131 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 28.0
79 Arkansas over 197 Eastern Illinois 45.5 to 31.5
94 Arkansas State over 175 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 31.5
87 Baylor over 230 Abilene Christian 49.0 to 24.5
136 Buffalo over 245 Delaware State 49.0 to 24.5
60 California over 65 North Carolina 42.0 to 35.0
3 Clemson over 99 Furman 52.5 to 24.5
122 Colgate over 174 Holy Cross 38.5 to 28.0
202 Dayton over 241 Robert Morris 35.0 to 17.5
105 North Carolina A&T over 163 East Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
59 Florida over 160 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 24.5
50 Indiana over 154 Florida International 45.5 to 31.5
83 Fresno State over 176 Idaho 42.0 to 24.5
6 Georgia over 172 Austin Peay 59.5 to 21.0
153 Georgia Southern over 207 South Carolina State 35.0 to 28.0
31 Georgia Tech over 169 Alcorn State 49.0 to 28.0
141 Illinois over 211 Kent State 35.0 to 21.0
22 Iowa over 95 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0
35 Kansas State over 58 South Dakota 45.5 to 35.0
78 Kentucky over 119 Central Michigan 42.0 to 31.5
151 Liberty over 184 Old Dominion 45.5 to 31.5
142 Grambling over 187 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 31.5
29 Texas over 109 Maryland 42.0 to 28.0
30 Memphis over 133 Mercer 52.5 to 35.0
23 Mississippi State over 234 Stephen F. Austin 56.0 to 17.5
47 Missouri over 162 Tennessee - Martin 45.5 to 28.0
167 Towson over 239 Morgan State 42.0 to 28.0
89 Nebraska over 165 Akron 45.5 to 31.5
168 New Mexico over 248 Incarnate Word 52.5 to 28.0
12 North Dakota State over 199 California Poly 52.5 to 14.0
77 Ohio over 208 Howard 52.5 to 31.5
4 Oklahoma over 67 Florida Atlantic 59.5 to 35.0
41 Oregon over 181 Bowling Green 59.5 to 31.5
5 Penn State over 66 Appalachian State 49.0 to 24.5
55 Pittsburgh over 144 Albany 38.5 to 28.0
64 Houston over 205 Rice 42.0 to 21.0
125 Rutgers over 217 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 24.5
192 Sacred Heart over 235 Lafayette 38.5 to 28.0
92 Louisiana Tech over 182 South Alabama 38.5 to 31.5
52 South Carolina over 149 Coastal Carolina 42.0 to 24.5
45 South Florida over 148 Elon 45.5 to 28.0
25 Southern California over 138 Nevada - Las Vegas 52.5 to 28.0
124 Southern Mississippi over 244 Jackson State 42.0 to 21.0
80 Southern Utah over 242 North Alabama 73.5 to 45.5
11 Texas Christian over 190 Southern 56.0 to 24.5
166 Tennessee State over 191 Bethune - Cookman 38.5 to 31.5
70 Toledo over 249 Virginia Military 56.0 to 21.0
56 California - Los Angeles over 161 Cincinnati 45.5 to 28.0
195 Fordham over 225 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 31.5
118 Northern Arizona over 229 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 28.0
97 Vanderbilt over 137 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 31.5
38 West Virginia over 93 Tennessee 45.5 to 31.5
129 Wofford over 178 The Citadel 38.5 to 28.0
36 Washington State over 73 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
57 Youngstown State over 219 Butler 49.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
156 Southeast Louisiana over 145 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 42.0
107 Maine over 110 New Hampshire 35.0 to 31.5
33 Northwestern over 51 Purdue 31.5 to 31.5
121 Eastern Michigan over 139 Monmouth 38.5 to 38.5
90 Western Michigan over 74 Syracuse 45.5 to 42.0
96 Stony Brook over 102 Air Force 38.5 to 35.0
7 Auburn over 8 Washington 31.5 to 31.5
32 Massachusetts over 46 Boston College 38.5 to 38.5
164 William & Mary over 216 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
48 Navy over 91 Hawaii 42.0 to 38.5
27 South Dakota State over 26 Iowa State 38.5 to 35.0
183 Kansas over 194 Nicholls State 38.5 to 35.0
158 Lehigh over 189 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 38.5
238 Marist over 237 Georgetown 31.5 to 31.5
113 Marshall over 152 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 31.5
53 Northern Iowa over 106 Montana 38.5 to 35.0
20 James Madison over 28 North Carolina State 38.5 to 35.0
100 Southern Methodist over 120 North Texas 49.0 to 45.5
171 McNeese State over 185 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 35.0
13 Notre Dame over 21 Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
86 Villanova over 72 Temple 28.0 to 28.0
44 Texas Tech over 54 Mississippi 49.0 to 49.0
40 Boise State over 71 Troy State 38.5 to 35.0
112 Central Arkansas over 108 Tulsa 38.5 to 38.5
69 Richmond over 101 Virginia 42.0 to 35.0
19 Louisiana State over 16 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 31.5
196 North Carolina Central over 203 Prairie View 35.0 to 28.0
24 Florida State over 14 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 31.5
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