17 Nov 2019: Average model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA) for the 2019 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

FBS:
rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  3  15 10.0  6.7 Ohio State              
  2  4  14  9.1  7.2 Clemson                 
  3  4  13  9.4  6.7 Alabama                 
  4  5  11  9.6  6.2 Louisiana State         
  5  5  11  8.5  7.0 Georgia                 
  6  7  11  9.9  5.7 Oklahoma                
  7  9  10  8.8  6.6 Michigan                
  8 11  10  8.7  6.6 Penn State              
  9  8  10  8.4  6.9 Utah                    
 10 13  10  8.6  6.7 Florida                 
 11  8   9  8.5  6.7 Wisconsin               
 12  8   9  8.4  6.7 Auburn                  
 13  9   9  8.9  6.3 Oregon                  
 14 10   9  8.6  6.4 Washington              
 15  9   9  8.5  6.4 Notre Dame              
 16 16   8  8.0  6.9 Iowa                    
 17 19   8  9.3  5.5 Central Florida         
 18 19   8  8.6  6.2 Iowa State              
 19 32   7  8.6  6.0 Minnesota               
 20 26   7  8.8  5.8 Texas                   
 21 22   7  8.5  6.0 Texas A&M               
 22 25   7  9.1  5.5 Washington State        
 23 34   7  8.7  5.7 Southern California     
 24 37   6  8.9  5.4 Memphis                 
 25 26   6  8.8  5.5 Oklahoma State          
 26 20   6  8.2  6.0 Appalachian State       
 27 43   6  8.2  6.0 Missouri                
 28 19   6  8.0  6.2 Kansas State            
 29 18   6  8.4  5.8 Baylor                  
 30 44   6  8.1  6.1 Cincinnati              
 31 29   5  8.1  6.0 Texas Christian         
 32 43   5  8.1  5.9 Mississippi State       
 33 28   5  7.7  6.3 Miami - Florida         
 34 43   5  8.3  5.7 Virginia Tech           
 35 42   5  8.0  5.9 Virginia                
 36 18   5  8.2  5.7 Boise State             
 37 42   5  8.3  5.7 Indiana                 
 38 39   5  7.8  6.1 Pittsburgh              
 39 60   5  8.3  5.6 Navy                    
 40 74   5  9.2  4.6 Southern Methodist      
 41 37   5  8.4  5.5 North Carolina          
 42 56   4  7.5  6.2 Kentucky                
 43 64   4  8.3  5.5 Louisiana - Lafayette   
 44 49   4  8.1  5.7 Air Force               
 45 62   4  7.4  6.3 Michigan State          
 46 58   4  7.8  5.9 South Carolina          
 47 45   4  8.4  5.4 Texas Tech              
 48 48   4  8.1  5.6 Mississippi             
 49 51   4  8.4  5.3 Wake Forest             
 50 62   4  7.9  5.7 Arizona State           
 51 34   4  8.1  5.6 Florida State           
 52 50   4  8.4  5.3 Boston College          
 53 69   4  8.0  5.6 West Virginia           
 54 68   4  8.3  5.4 Tulane                  
 55 41   4  7.9  5.6 Duke                    
 56 30   4  7.7  5.8 Tennessee               
 57 54   4  7.6  5.9 Stanford                
 58 80   3  8.1  5.4 Purdue                  
 59 57   3  7.2  6.3 California              
 60 63   3  8.2  5.3 Nebraska                
 61 25   3  7.8  5.7 Brigham Young           
 62 46   3  8.0  5.4 Syracuse                
 63 55   3  8.1  5.3 Florida Atlantic        
 64 48   3  7.9  5.4 Utah State              
 65 34   3  8.2  5.2 Houston                 
 66 61   3  7.6  5.8 Temple                  
 67 44   3  8.0  5.4 Fresno State            
 68 32   3  8.6  4.8 Louisville              
 69 80   3  8.1  5.2 Illinois                
 70 81   3  8.1  5.2 Maryland                
 71 59   3  8.1  5.2 California - Los Angeles
 72 34   2  7.3  5.9 Army                    
 73 63   2  8.2  5.0 Arizona                 
 74 53   2  8.1  5.1 Ohio                    
 75 76   2  8.3  4.8 Oregon State            
 76 50   2  7.8  5.3 Southern Mississippi    
 77 56   2  7.7  5.4 Buffalo                 
 78 43   2  8.2  4.8 Western Michigan        
 79 61   2  7.6  5.5 Colorado                
 80 58   2  7.5  5.6 North Carolina State    
 81 41   2  8.2  4.9 Troy State              
 82 44   2  7.2  5.8 Wyoming                 
 83 30   2  7.8  5.2 Louisiana Tech          
 84 69   1  7.8  5.2 Kansas                  
 85 36   1  7.7  5.3 Georgia Southern        
 86 56   1  7.4  5.5 Marshall                
 87 58   1  7.4  5.5 Georgia Tech            
 88 58   1  8.3  4.5 Hawaii                  
 89 68   1  7.7  5.2 Tulsa                   
 90 25   1  6.6  6.3 San Diego State         
 91 67   1  6.7  6.1 Northwestern            
 92 41   1  7.9  4.9 Arkansas State          
 93 56   1  7.4  5.4 South Florida           
 94 69   1  7.5  5.2 Miami - Ohio            
 95 52   1  7.3  5.4 Alabama - Birmingham    
 96 48   1  7.2  5.6 Western Kentucky        
 97 40   0  7.9  4.7 Toledo                  
 98 58   0  7.6  5.0 Middle Tennessee State  
 99 60   0  7.8  4.8 Ball State              
100 56   0  7.6  5.0 Central Michigan        
101 42   0  7.2  5.3 Northern Illinois       
102 46   0  7.9  4.6 North Texas             
103 49   0  7.5  4.9 Eastern Michigan        
104 28   0  7.4  5.0 Liberty                 
105 58   0  7.2  5.2 Vanderbilt              
106 49   0  7.9  4.5 Georgia State           
107 46   0  7.5  4.8 Arkansas                
108 33   0  7.4  4.9 Coastal Carolina        
109 44   0  7.8  4.5 Colorado State          
110 56   0  7.8  4.5 San Jose State          
111 51   0  7.6  4.6 East Carolina           
112 34   0  7.2  5.1 Florida International   
113 44   0  7.6  4.6 North Carolina - Charlot
114 57   0  7.3  4.8 Kent State              
115 53  -1  7.9  4.1 Northeast Louisiana     
116 64  -1  7.0  5.0 Rutgers                 
117 52  -1  7.3  4.6 Nevada - Las Vegas      
118 46  -1  7.1  4.8 Nevada - Reno           
119 46  -2  6.7  5.0 Rice                    
120 38  -3  7.1  4.5 New Mexico              
121 29  -3  6.8  4.8 Old Dominion            
122 35  -3  6.5  4.9 South Alabama           
123 33  -3  6.8  4.6 Texas - San Antonio     
124 35  -4  6.5  4.8 Texas State - San Marcos
125 33  -4  7.0  4.1 New Mexico State        
126 30  -4  6.8  4.3 Connecticut             
127 21  -5  6.5  4.4 Bowling Green           
128 18  -6  6.3  4.4 Texas - El Paso         
129 10  -8  7.3  2.7 Massachusetts           
130 10  -8  5.6  4.6 Akron                   

FCS:
rnk  u spd  off  def
  1 12   8  8.7  6.1 James Madison           
  2 19   8  8.3  6.4 North Dakota State      
  3 37   5  7.9  5.9 South Dakota State      
  4 35   4  8.1  5.7 Princeton               
  5 43   4  7.5  6.3 Dartmouth               
  6 29   4  8.2  5.4 Montana                 
  7 29   4  8.7  4.9 Eastern Washington      
  8 29   3  7.9  5.5 Towson                  
  9 45   3  8.1  5.4 Kennesaw State          
 10 30   3  7.7  5.7 Weber State             
 11 45   3  8.0  5.3 Villanova               
 12 41   3  8.0  5.3 Yale                    
 13 48   2  7.6  5.5 Wofford                 
 14 46   2  7.5  5.6 Furman                  
 15 49   2  7.7  5.3 Sacramento State        
 16 45   2  7.5  5.5 Montana State           
 17 32   2  8.0  5.1 California - Davis      
 18 37   1  7.8  5.1 Maine                   
 19 54   1  7.4  5.5 North Carolina A&T      
 20 63   1  7.3  5.6 Harvard                 
 21 68   1  7.9  5.0 San Diego               
 22 68   1  7.0  5.8 Northern Iowa           
 23 49   1  7.7  5.0 Austin Peay             
 24 36   0  7.3  5.4 Elon                    
 25 47   0  7.5  5.3 Albany                  
 26 56   0  6.8  5.9 New Hampshire           
 27 77   0  6.8  5.8 Illinois State          
 28 67   0  7.5  5.1 Central Connecticut     
 29 51   0  7.1  5.6 Stony Brook             
 30 55   0  7.9  4.7 Monmouth                
 31 61   0  7.5  5.1 Southern Illinois       
 32 33   0  7.5  5.1 Southeast Missouri State
 33 74   0  7.6  4.9 Youngstown State        
 34 52   0  7.3  5.2 Richmond                
 35 36   0  7.1  5.3 William & Mary          
 36 41   0  7.3  5.1 North Dakota            
 37 56   0  7.1  5.3 Delaware                
 38 46   0  7.1  5.3 Tennessee - Martin      
 39 64   0  7.3  5.1 Jacksonville State      
 40 41   0  7.4  5.0 The Citadel             
 41 52   0  7.7  4.5 South Dakota            
 42 50   0  7.1  5.2 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 43 78   0  7.4  4.8 Southeast Louisiana     
 44 40   0  7.1  5.1 Holy Cross              
 45 53   0  7.1  5.1 Pennsylvania            
 46 24  -1  7.9  4.2 Northern Arizona        
 47 32  -1  7.5  4.6 Rhode Island            
 48 55  -1  7.0  5.0 Alcorn State            
 49 46  -1  7.0  5.1 Eastern Kentucky        
 50 73  -1  7.8  4.1 Dayton                  
 51 37  -1  7.3  4.6 California Poly         
 52 51  -1  7.9  4.0 Samford                 
 53 54  -1  7.5  4.4 Prairie View            
 54 38  -1  7.0  4.9 Idaho                   
 55 60  -1  7.1  4.8 Nicholls State          
 56 90  -1  6.9  5.0 Sam Houston State       
 57 61  -2  6.7  5.2 South Carolina State    
 58 79  -2  6.9  5.0 Central Arkansas        
 59 68  -2  6.9  5.0 Grambling               
 60 52  -2  6.7  5.1 Columbia                
 61 54  -2  6.9  4.9 Sacred Heart            
 62 41  -2  7.2  4.6 Florida A&M             
 63 32  -2  7.2  4.6 Portland State          
 64 59  -2  6.5  5.2 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
 65 38  -2  6.5  5.3 Cornell                 
 66 41  -2  6.6  5.2 East Tennessee State    
 67 49  -2  6.5  5.2 Indiana State           
 68 66  -2  6.7  5.0 Duquesne                
 69 54  -2  7.3  4.4 Mercer                  
 70 21  -2  7.4  4.3 Idaho State             
 71 65  -2  6.8  4.9 Southern                
 72 44  -3  7.2  4.3 Southern Utah           
 73 79  -3  6.4  5.1 Drake                   
 74 68  -3  6.6  4.9 McNeese State           
 75 59  -3  6.3  5.1 Colgate                 
 76 24  -3  6.6  4.9 Murray State            
 77 31  -3  6.1  5.4 Georgetown              
 78 42  -3  6.5  5.0 Charleston Southern     
 79 85  -3  7.1  4.2 Davidson                
 80 58  -3  6.8  4.5 Western Illinois        
 81 53  -3  6.6  4.8 Campbell                
 82 55  -4  6.7  4.7 Bethune - Cookman       
 83 33  -4  6.9  4.4 Fordham                 
 84 16  -4  7.2  4.0 Tennessee Tech          
 85 43  -4  6.6  4.7 Missouri State          
 86 19  -4  7.1  4.0 Brown                   
 87 24  -4  6.5  4.7 Lehigh                  
 88 41  -4  6.8  4.3 Norfolk State           
 89 77  -4  6.6  4.6 Abilene Christian       
 90 86  -4  7.1  4.0 North Alabama           
 91 28  -4  7.0  4.1 Tennessee State         
 92 26  -4  6.7  4.4 Northern Colorado       
 93 48  -4  6.7  4.3 Robert Morris           
 94 22  -4  6.2  4.9 Lafayette               
 95 50  -5  7.1  3.9 Northwestern State      
 96 63  -5  7.1  3.9 Incarnate Word          
 97 22  -5  6.4  4.6 Eastern Illinois        
 98 47  -5  6.6  4.3 Hampton                 
 99 22  -5  6.9  4.0 Western Carolina        
100 37  -5  6.7  4.1 Alabama A&M             
101 15  -5  6.3  4.6 Bucknell                
102 25  -6  7.1  3.6 Virginia Military       
103 20  -5  6.1  4.7 Wagner                  
104 21  -6  6.6  4.1 Gardner - Webb          
105 35  -6  6.3  4.5 Morgan State            
106 38  -6  6.5  4.2 Bryant                  
107 45  -6  6.7  3.9 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
108 43  -6  6.6  4.1 Stephen F. Austin       
109 37  -6  6.4  4.2 Jackson State           
110 42  -6  6.1  4.6 Alabama State           
111 **  -7  8.2  2.1 Merrimack               
112 59  -6  6.3  4.2 Stetson                 
113 47  -7  6.2  4.3 Lamar                   
114 37  -7  6.3  4.1 Marist                  
115 25  -6  5.8  4.7 North Carolina Central  
116 40  -8  6.5  3.7 Jacksonville            
117 44  -8  6.1  4.1 Valparaiso              
118 **  -8  6.3  3.8 Long Island             
119 33  -8  6.6  3.4 Morehead State          
120 27  -8  6.0  4.1 Butler                  
121 11  -9  6.6  3.3 Howard                  
122  9  -8  5.9  4.1 Delaware State          
123  9 -10  5.4  4.3 Presbyterian            
124  9 -10  6.4  3.1 Texas Southern          
125 12 -10  5.4  4.0 Mississippi Valley State
126 14 -12  6.4  2.5 Houston Baptist         

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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