17 Nov 2019: Current model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA) for the 2019 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  3  16 10.1  6.9 Ohio State               129 68   0  8.1  4.4 San Jose State          
  2  4  14  9.1  7.3 Clemson                  130 83   0  6.9  5.6 Northern Iowa           
  3  7  13  9.9  6.1 Louisiana State          131 34   0  7.4  5.0 Liberty                 
  4  5  12  9.3  6.7 Alabama                  132 45   0  7.1  5.4 Alabama - Birmingham    
  5  8  11  9.0  6.7 Michigan                 133 53   0  7.0  5.5 Georgia Tech            
  6 10  11  8.6  7.1 Utah                     134 47   0  7.9  4.5 Colorado State          
  7  7  11  8.3  7.3 Georgia                  135 33   0  7.2  5.2 Southeast Missouri State
  8  7  11  9.0  6.6 Oregon                   136 64   0  7.8  4.6 East Carolina           
  9  8  11  9.8  5.8 Oklahoma                 137 40   0  7.1  5.4 Tennessee - Martin      
 10  8  10  8.6  6.8 Florida                  138 37   0  7.5  4.9 North Dakota            
 11 11  10  8.7  6.7 Penn State               139 70   0  7.5  4.9 Kent State              
 12  9  10  8.6  6.8 Wisconsin                140 36   0  7.4  5.0 The Citadel             
 13  9   9  8.4  6.8 Auburn                   141 40   0  7.3  5.0 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 14 16   9  8.7  6.4 Washington               142 33   0  7.3  5.1 Northern Illinois       
 15  9   9  8.6  6.4 Notre Dame               143 35   0  7.4  5.0 Coastal Carolina        
 16 33   9  8.9  6.1 Minnesota                144 41   0  7.9  4.4 North Texas             
 17 12   9  8.9  6.1 James Madison            145 38   0  7.1  5.2 Eastern Kentucky        
 18 18   8  7.8  7.1 Iowa                     146 49   0  6.2  6.2 Northwestern            
 19 19   8  8.7  6.1 Iowa State               147 33   0  7.6  4.7 Toledo                  
 20 20   8  9.4  5.4 Central Florida          148 58   0  6.9  5.4 Stony Brook             
 21 51   8  9.0  5.7 Southern California      149 36   0  7.1  5.2 Holy Cross              
 22 26   7  9.2  5.4 Washington State         150 24   0  8.2  4.0 Northern Arizona        
 23 29   7  8.9  5.6 Texas                    151 48   0  7.7  4.5 North Carolina - Charlot
 24 37   7  9.0  5.5 Memphis                  152 40   0  7.5  4.7 Eastern Michigan        
 25 20   7  8.4  6.0 Baylor                   153 98   0  6.5  5.7 Illinois State          
 26 20   7  8.4  5.9 Texas A&M                154 73   0  7.3  4.9 Rutgers                 
 27 20   6  8.1  6.3 Kansas State             155 51   0  7.4  4.7 Pennsylvania            
 28 18   6  8.2  6.1 Appalachian State        156 55   0  6.9  5.3 South Carolina State    
 29 32   6  8.2  6.1 North Dakota State       157 62  -1  7.7  4.4 South Dakota            
 30 34   6  8.4  5.9 Virginia Tech            158 59  -1  6.9  5.2 Delaware                
 31 46   6  8.2  6.0 Cincinnati               159 39  -1  7.5  4.6 Arkansas                
 32 62   6  8.6  5.6 Navy                     160 58  -1  6.9  5.2 Grambling               
 33 44   6  8.4  5.8 Indiana                  161 69  -1  8.2  3.8 Dayton                  
 34 23   6  8.7  5.5 Oklahoma State           162 53  -1  8.1  4.0 Northeast Louisiana     
 35 66   6  8.3  5.8 Louisiana - Lafayette    163 47  -1  6.9  5.1 Idaho                   
 36 77   6  9.6  4.6 Southern Methodist       164 89  -1  7.4  4.6 Youngstown State        
 37 26   5  7.8  6.3 Miami - Florida          165 75  -1  6.9  5.1 Jacksonville State      
 38 32   5  8.3  5.8 Texas Christian          166 52  -1  7.0  5.0 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
 39 49   5  8.5  5.5 North Carolina           167 45  -1  7.4  4.6 Florida A&M             
 40 21   5  8.3  5.6 Montana                  168 54  -1  6.9  5.1 Alcorn State            
 41 38   5  8.1  5.8 Virginia                 169 25  -1  7.0  5.0 Florida International   
 42 35   5  7.7  6.2 Pittsburgh               170 55  -1  7.5  4.4 Prairie View            
 43 47   5  8.1  5.8 Air Force                171 78  -1  7.2  4.7 Davidson                
 44 57   5  8.0  5.9 Sacramento State         172 34  -1  7.3  4.6 Portland State          
 45 80   5  8.6  5.2 Tulane                   173 36  -1  7.2  4.7 California Poly         
 46 62   4  7.7  6.1 Missouri                 174 52  -2  7.6  4.2 Samford                 
 47 44   4  7.9  5.9 Mississippi              175 54  -2  6.9  5.0 Sacred Heart            
 48 15   4  8.1  5.7 Boise State              176 41  -2  7.1  4.8 Nevada - Las Vegas      
 49 35   4  7.8  5.9 Tennessee                177 40  -2  6.8  5.0 Vanderbilt              
 50 38   4  7.4  6.2 Kentucky                 178 89  -2  6.6  5.2 Sam Houston State       
 51 42   4  8.1  5.6 Florida State            179 53  -2  6.6  5.2 Rice                    
 52 35   4  8.1  5.5 Mississippi State        180 49  -2  6.4  5.5 Colgate                 
 53 79   4  7.6  6.1 Michigan State           181 37  -2  7.3  4.4 Rhode Island            
 54 96   4  8.3  5.4 Illinois                 182 37  -2  7.0  4.7 Nevada - Reno           
 55 43   4  8.3  5.4 Texas Tech               183 43  -2  6.3  5.4 Cornell                 
 56 42   4  8.8  4.8 Louisville               184 82  -2  6.7  5.0 Central Arkansas        
 57 46   4  8.5  5.1 Boston College           185 16  -2  7.9  3.6 Brown                   
 58 68   4  7.8  5.8 Arizona State            186 21  -3  7.4  4.2 Tennessee Tech          
 59 20   4  7.8  5.8 Towson                   187 58  -3  7.0  4.6 Nicholls State          
 60 55   4  8.3  5.3 Wake Forest              188 42  -3  7.3  4.3 Southern Utah           
 61 32   4  8.3  5.3 Yale                     189 32  -2  6.2  5.4 Georgetown              
 62 53   4  7.3  6.2 Dartmouth                190 46  -3  7.2  4.3 Norfolk State           
 63 26   4  8.0  5.6 Brigham Young            191 44  -3  6.4  5.2 East Tennessee State    
 64 59   3  7.6  6.0 South Carolina           192 60  -3  6.6  5.0 Columbia                
 65 83   4  8.5  5.1 Oregon State             193 65  -3  6.7  4.8 Southern                
 66 29   3  7.8  5.7 Weber State              194 63  -3  6.6  4.9 Duquesne                
 67 57   3  8.1  5.4 Florida Atlantic         195 72  -3  6.7  4.8 McNeese State           
 68 50   3  7.2  6.3 California               196 39  -3  6.9  4.5 Robert Morris           
 69 58   3  8.1  5.4 Nebraska                 197 32  -3  6.9  4.6 New Mexico              
 70 73   3  8.0  5.4 Purdue                   198 36  -3  6.9  4.5 Texas - San Antonio     
 71 55   3  7.6  5.8 South Dakota State       199 68  -3  6.2  5.3 Indiana State           
 72 64   3  8.2  5.2 California - Los Angeles 200 36  -3  6.4  5.1 South Alabama           
 73 40   3  7.7  5.6 Wofford                  201 28  -3  7.2  4.2 Fordham                 
 74 31   3  8.6  4.7 Eastern Washington       202 61  -3  7.1  4.2 Mercer                  
 75 55   3  7.9  5.3 Southern Mississippi     203 45  -3  6.9  4.5 Campbell                
 76 52   2  7.4  5.9 Stanford                 204 46  -3  6.4  4.9 Charleston Southern     
 77 37   3  8.0  5.3 Houston                  205 22  -3  6.5  4.9 Old Dominion            
 78 48   3  8.3  5.0 Western Michigan         206 23  -4  6.3  5.1 Murray State            
 79 45   2  7.7  5.5 Duke                     207 86  -4  6.4  4.9 Drake                   
 80 37   2  7.6  5.6 Montana State            208 35  -4  6.5  4.7 Texas State - San Marcos
 81 61   2  7.3  5.9 Temple                   209 16  -4  6.3  5.0 Lafayette               
 82 37   2  8.0  5.2 Louisiana Tech           210 25  -4  6.2  5.0 Lehigh                  
 83 51   2  8.0  5.2 San Diego                211 56  -4  7.2  3.9 Northwestern State      
 84 59   2  7.6  5.6 West Virginia            212 84  -4  7.0  4.1 North Alabama           
 85 36   2  7.7  5.5 Syracuse                 213 52  -4  6.5  4.7 Bethune - Cookman       
 86 59   2  7.6  5.5 Buffalo                  214 33  -4  6.8  4.3 Connecticut             
 87 84   2  7.9  5.3 Tulsa                    215 30  -4  6.8  4.3 New Mexico State        
 88 81   2  8.0  5.1 Maryland                 216 17  -4  7.0  4.1 Idaho State             
 89 44   2  7.4  5.7 Furman                   217 53  -4  6.7  4.4 Hampton                 
 90 57   2  8.0  5.1 Kennesaw State           218 15  -4  6.5  4.6 Bucknell                
 91 51   2  7.8  5.3 Austin Peay              219 26  -4  6.6  4.4 Northern Colorado       
 92 50   2  8.0  5.1 Villanova                220 74  -4  6.5  4.6 Abilene Christian       
 93 44   2  8.6  4.5 Troy State               221 32  -5  7.0  4.0 Tennessee State         
 94 63   2  8.1  4.9 Arizona                  222 23  -5  7.2  3.7 Virginia Military       
 95 44   2  7.3  5.7 Wyoming                  223 56  -5  6.3  4.7 Missouri State          
 96 57   2  7.6  5.5 Colorado                 224 38  -5  6.8  4.2 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
 97 45   2  8.0  5.0 Monmouth                 225 36  -5  7.0  3.9 Alabama A&M             
 98 36   2  8.0  5.0 Maine                    226 35  -5  6.2  4.8 Alabama State           
 99 62   2  7.4  5.6 Marshall                 227 67  -5  6.9  4.0 Incarnate Word          
100 52   1  7.3  5.7 Western Kentucky         228 44  -5  7.0  3.8 Jackson State           
101 47   1  7.7  5.3 Central Connecticut      229 23  -5  6.1  4.7 Eastern Illinois        
102 33   1  7.7  5.3 Georgia Southern         230 19  -6  6.8  3.9 Gardner - Webb          
103 66   1  7.8  5.2 Kansas                   231 41  -6  6.7  4.1 Stephen F. Austin       
104 54   1  7.6  5.4 North Carolina A&T       232 70  -6  6.7  4.0 Western Illinois        
105 71   1  8.1  4.9 Ball State               233 49  -6  6.3  4.5 Morgan State            
106 66   1  8.0  4.9 Central Michigan         234 24  -6  6.4  4.2 Western Carolina        
107 45   1  7.9  5.0 Ohio                     235 16  -6  6.3  4.4 Texas - El Paso         
108 74   1  7.5  5.4 Princeton                236 15  -6  6.2  4.4 Bowling Green           
109 30   1  8.0  4.9 Fresno State             237 40  -6  6.2  4.4 Bryant                  
110 40   1  7.0  5.8 Army                     238 23  -6  5.8  4.9 Wagner                  
111 38   1  7.6  5.3 Albany                   239 **  -7  8.2  2.1 Merrimack               
112 52   1  7.3  5.5 South Florida            240 39  -7  6.5  3.9 Marist                  
113 33   1  7.8  5.0 California - Davis       241 37  -7  6.5  3.8 Jacksonville            
114 69   1  7.5  5.3 Miami - Ohio             242 59  -7  6.0  4.4 Stetson                 
115 41   1  8.0  4.8 Arkansas State           243 31  -7  6.6  3.6 Morehead State          
116 42   1  7.4  5.4 Utah State               244 24  -7  5.5  4.8 North Carolina Central  
117 51   1  8.2  4.5 Hawaii                   245 53  -8  5.9  4.2 Lamar                   
118 21   1  6.4  6.4 San Diego State          246 44  -8  5.8  4.3 Valparaiso              
119 64   1  7.6  5.2 Southeast Louisiana      247 **  -8  5.3  4.7 Long Island             
120 61   0  7.4  5.3 Southern Illinois        248  9  -9  5.8  4.0 Delaware State          
121 29   0  7.5  5.2 William & Mary           249 25  -9  5.9  3.9 Butler                  
122 35   0  7.3  5.4 Elon                     250  9 -11  7.0  2.3 Massachusetts           
123 56   0  8.2  4.5 Georgia State            251  9 -10  6.6  2.8 Texas Southern          
124 59   0  6.8  5.9 New Hampshire            252  8 -10  5.3  4.2 Presbyterian            
125 59   0  7.6  5.0 Middle Tennessee State   253  8 -10  5.2  4.4 Akron                   
126 59   0  7.2  5.4 North Carolina State     254 12 -11  6.2  3.1 Howard                  
127 78   0  7.0  5.6 Harvard                  255 11 -10  5.0  4.4 Mississippi Valley State
128 45   0  7.2  5.4 Richmond                 256  6 -13  6.4  2.3 Houston Baptist         

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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