Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 9.42 15.0-0.0 5.6-9.4 IA SEC Louisiana State 2 1 7.80 14.0-1.0 6.2-8.8 IA ACC Clemson 3 1 7.20 13.0-1.0 5.8-8.2 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 4 2 6.49 12.0-2.0 5.5-8.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 5 2 6.48 12.0-2.0 5.5-8.5 IA SEC Georgia 6 2 6.36 12.0-2.0 5.6-8.4 IA PAC_12 Oregon 7 2 5.94 11.0-2.0 5.1-7.9 IA SEC Florida 8 2 5.45 11.0-2.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Penn State 9 2 5.32 11.0-2.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 10 2 5.20 11.0-2.0 5.8-7.2 IA Indep Notre Dame 11 3 5.11 11.0-2.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Alabama 12 2 4.75 11.0-3.0 6.2-7.8 IA Big_12 Baylor 13 3 4.74 12.0-2.0 7.3-6.7 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 14 3 4.66 11.0-3.0 6.3-7.7 IA PAC_12 Utah 15 4 4.33 10.0-4.0 5.7-8.3 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 16 4 4.32 10.0-3.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Iowa 17 5 4.24 13.0-1.0 8.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Appalachian State 18 4 4.20 11.0-2.0 6.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl Navy 19 4 4.15 9.0-4.0 4.8-8.2 IA SEC Auburn 20 5 4.03 9.0-4.0 5.0-8.0 IA Big_Ten Michigan 21 4 3.89 11.0-3.0 7.1-6.9 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 22 4 3.87 12.0-2.0 8.1-5.9 IA MWC Boise State 23 4 3.71 11.0-2.0 7.3-5.7 IA MWC Air Force 24 5 3.19 8.0-5.0 4.8-8.2 IA PAC_12 Southern California 25 5 3.11 10.0-3.0 6.9-6.1 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 26 5 3.09 9.0-5.0 5.9-8.1 IA ACC Virginia 27 8 2.85 8.0-5.0 5.1-7.9 IA Big_12 Texas 28 9 2.74 10.0-3.0 7.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 29 8 2.60 8.0-5.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_12 California 30 9 2.54 11.0-3.0 8.5-5.5 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 31 10 2.53 8.0-5.0 5.5-7.5 IA ACC Louisville 32 9 2.53 11.0-3.0 8.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 33 9 2.52 8.0-5.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_12 Washington 34 9 2.47 8.0-5.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Texas A&M 35 9 2.43 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Kansas State 36 9 2.39 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC Pittsburgh 37 11 2.34 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 38 11 2.16 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC Tennessee 39 11 2.15 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Virginia Tech 40 8 2.04 8.0-5.0 6.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 41 8 2.02 7.0-6.0 5.0-8.0 IA Big_12 Iowa State 42 8 1.96 10.0-3.0 8.0-5.0 IA MWC San Diego State 43 8 1.93 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA SEC Kentucky 44 7 1.92 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA ACC Wake Forest 45 9 1.60 10.0-5.0 8.4-6.6 IA MWC Hawaii 46 7 1.49 8.0-5.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Indiana 47 9 1.27 7.0-6.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC North Carolina 48 9 1.19 10.0-3.0 8.8-4.2 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 49 8 1.17 7.0-6.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 50 8 1.06 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA Amer_Athl Temple 51 9 1.03 9.0-4.0 8.0-5.0 IA CUSA Western Kentucky 52 9 0.86 5.0-7.0 4.1-7.9 IA Big_12 West Virginia 53 9 0.55 8.0-5.0 7.4-5.6 IA CUSA Marshall 54 10 0.55 6.0-7.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Mississippi State 55 10 0.39 7.0-6.0 6.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl Tulane 56 13 0.34 6.0-6.0 5.7-6.3 IA SEC Missouri 57 13 0.32 8.0-6.0 7.7-6.3 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 58 15 0.27 7.0-6.0 6.7-6.3 IA MWC Utah State 59 15 0.23 7.0-6.0 6.8-6.2 IA Indep Brigham Young 60 15 0.20 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA ACC Duke 61 14 0.17 6.0-7.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Florida State 62 16 0.08 6.0-7.0 5.9-7.1 IA ACC Boston College 63 16 0.07 7.0-6.0 6.9-6.1 IA MAC Kent State 64 16 0.05 8.0-5.0 7.9-5.1 IA MWC Wyoming 65 18 0.02 5.0-7.0 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 66 18 -0.00 8.0-5.0 8.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 67 15 -0.03 5.0-7.0 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 Colorado 68 17 -0.04 6.0-7.0 6.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 Washington State 69 17 -0.08 5.0-7.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 70 17 -0.12 4.0-8.0 4.1-7.9 IA SEC South Carolina 71 19 -0.14 7.0-6.0 7.1-5.9 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 72 18 -0.19 9.0-5.0 9.2-4.8 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 73 17 -0.35 8.0-5.0 8.3-4.7 IA Indep Liberty 74 16 -0.36 6.0-7.0 6.4-6.6 IA ACC Miami - Florida 75 15 -0.37 7.0-6.0 7.4-5.6 IA Sun_Belt Georgia Southern 76 14 -0.45 7.0-6.0 7.4-5.6 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 77 15 -0.47 8.0-5.0 8.5-4.5 IA MAC Buffalo 78 15 -0.47 8.0-6.0 8.5-5.5 IA MAC Central Michigan 79 13 -0.53 6.0-7.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Illinois 80 13 -0.56 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 81 15 -0.62 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA ACC Syracuse 82 18 -0.78 7.0-6.0 7.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State 83 15 -0.79 4.0-8.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Stanford 84 16 -0.89 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA MAC Western Michigan 85 14 -0.91 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA North Carolina - Charlot 86 13 -0.98 4.0-8.0 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 87 14 -1.09 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA PAC_12 Arizona 88 14 -1.10 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 89 15 -1.16 4.0-8.0 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Mississippi 90 15 -1.24 7.0-6.0 8.2-4.8 IA MAC Ohio 91 13 -1.32 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Purdue 92 12 -1.43 6.0-6.0 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Toledo 93 12 -1.49 4.0-8.0 5.5-6.5 IA Amer_Athl Houston 94 12 -1.60 4.0-8.0 5.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl Tulsa 95 14 -1.63 5.0-7.0 6.6-5.4 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 96 15 -1.80 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Northern Illinois 97 15 -1.81 6.0-7.0 7.8-5.2 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 98 14 -1.82 3.0-9.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Kansas 99 13 -1.90 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC North Carolina State 100 14 -1.94 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 101 14 -1.97 3.0-9.0 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Georgia Tech 102 13 -2.01 3.0-9.0 5.0-7.0 IA SEC Vanderbilt 103 13 -2.05 3.0-9.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Maryland 104 13 -2.17 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Ball State 105 11 -2.17 3.0-9.0 5.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 106 13 -2.17 6.0-7.0 8.2-4.8 IA CUSA Florida International 107 10 -2.40 5.0-7.0 7.4-4.6 IA MWC San Jose State 108 11 -2.56 5.0-7.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 109 10 -2.71 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 110 10 -2.74 5.0-7.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Coastal Carolina 111 12 -2.77 4.0-8.0 6.8-5.2 IA Amer_Athl East Carolina 112 11 -2.81 4.0-8.0 6.8-5.2 IA MWC Colorado State 113 13 -2.88 4.0-8.0 6.9-5.1 IA MWC Fresno State 114 13 -2.95 5.0-8.0 7.9-5.1 IA Indep Army 115 12 -3.02 2.0-*** 5.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Rutgers 116 13 -3.07 4.0-8.0 7.1-4.9 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 117 12 -3.16 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Arkansas 118 12 -3.21 4.0-8.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 119 8 -3.71 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA CUSA North Texas 120 10 -3.87 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 121 9 -3.95 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA MAC Bowling Green 122 8 -4.07 3.0-9.0 7.1-4.9 IA CUSA Rice 123 6 -4.67 2.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA Amer_Athl Connecticut 124 6 -4.68 2.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA Indep New Mexico State 125 6 -4.82 2.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA MWC New Mexico 126 5 -5.13 2.0-*** 7.1-4.9 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 127 3 -6.29 1.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Old Dominion 128 2 -6.92 1.0-*** 7.9-4.1 IA Indep Massachusetts 129 2 -7.30 1.0-*** 8.3-3.7 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 130 1 -8.09 0.0-*** 8.1-3.9 IA MAC Akron
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 7.69 16.0-0.0 8.3-7.7 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 3 6.17 14.0-2.0 7.8-8.2 IAA Colonial James Madison 3 5 3.56 9.0-1.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Yale 4 6 3.16 9.0-1.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 5 11 2.97 10.0-5.0 7.0-8.0 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 6 10 2.81 11.0-4.0 8.2-6.8 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 7 12 2.71 10.0-4.0 7.3-6.7 IAA Big_Sky Montana 8 12 2.71 11.0-4.0 8.3-6.7 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 9 13 2.42 11.0-3.0 8.6-5.4 IAA Big_South Monmouth 10 11 2.15 8.0-2.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Ivy Princeton 11 12 1.84 11.0-4.0 9.2-5.8 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 12 14 1.79 10.0-5.0 8.2-6.8 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 13 13 1.75 10.0-2.0 8.3-3.7 IAA NE Central Connecticut 14 9 1.75 8.0-4.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 15 13 1.57 9.0-4.0 7.4-5.6 IAA Colonial Villanova 16 13 1.40 9.0-5.0 7.6-6.4 IAA Colonial Albany 17 9 1.20 8.0-2.0 6.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 18 10 1.15 8.0-4.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 19 13 1.13 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 20 10 1.12 7.0-5.0 5.9-6.1 IAA Colonial Towson 21 12 0.99 9.0-3.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Pioneer San Diego 22 12 0.88 9.0-3.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Big_South Kennesaw State 23 10 0.86 9.0-3.0 8.1-3.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 24 12 0.84 8.0-4.0 7.2-4.8 IAA Southern Wofford 25 12 0.63 6.0-5.0 5.4-5.6 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 26 18 0.40 7.0-5.0 6.6-5.4 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 27 23 0.38 9.0-4.0 8.6-4.4 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 28 20 0.20 7.0-5.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Big_Sky North Dakota 29 18 0.19 7.0-5.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 30 24 0.12 9.0-5.0 8.9-5.1 IAA Southland Nicholls State 31 18 0.03 7.0-3.0 7.0-3.0 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 32 11 0.00 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 IAA NE Merrimack 33 24 -0.03 8.0-3.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Pioneer Dayton 34 22 -0.10 5.0-5.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 35 22 -0.12 5.0-6.0 5.1-5.9 IAA Colonial Elon 36 26 -0.22 7.0-4.0 7.2-3.8 IAA NE Robert Morris 37 21 -0.23 6.0-6.0 6.2-5.8 IAA Colonial Maine 38 23 -0.28 7.0-5.0 7.3-4.7 IAA Southern Furman 39 27 -0.29 8.0-5.0 8.3-4.7 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 40 21 -0.39 6.0-5.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 41 23 -0.48 7.0-4.0 7.5-3.5 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 42 23 -0.53 6.0-4.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Pioneer Drake 43 26 -0.62 6.0-6.0 6.6-5.4 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 44 20 -0.65 7.0-6.0 7.7-5.3 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 45 18 -0.79 7.0-4.0 7.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 46 19 -0.84 6.0-6.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 47 19 -0.86 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IAA Colonial Delaware 48 20 -0.88 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IAA Colonial Richmond 49 19 -0.97 7.0-5.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 50 22 -1.01 7.0-5.0 8.0-4.0 IAA NE Sacred Heart 51 24 -1.02 7.0-5.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Southland McNeese State 52 18 -1.04 5.0-7.0 6.0-6.0 IAA Colonial William & Mary 53 20 -1.04 5.0-7.0 6.0-6.0 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 54 19 -1.09 6.0-6.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Southern The Citadel 55 19 -1.09 7.0-5.0 8.1-3.9 IAA SWAC Southern 56 21 -1.11 5.0-5.0 6.1-3.9 IAA NE Duquesne 57 17 -1.22 5.0-7.0 6.2-5.8 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 58 17 -1.31 4.0-6.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Harvard 59 21 -1.41 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 60 17 -1.43 4.0-6.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Cornell 61 21 -1.51 7.0-4.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Pioneer Davidson 62 21 -1.51 5.0-6.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 63 18 -1.67 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Big_South Campbell 64 19 -1.73 6.0-6.0 7.7-4.3 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 65 18 -1.83 4.0-4.0 5.8-2.2 IAA Pioneer Stetson 66 19 -1.85 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 67 17 -1.87 5.0-6.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 68 17 -1.91 3.0-7.0 4.9-5.1 IAA Ivy Columbia 69 14 -2.05 4.0-7.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky Idaho 70 18 -2.06 6.0-5.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 71 14 -2.08 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA SWAC Prairie View 72 14 -2.09 6.0-5.0 8.1-2.9 IAA SWAC Grambling 73 17 -2.29 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IAA Southern Samford 74 19 -2.30 5.0-6.0 7.3-3.7 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 75 12 -2.33 4.0-5.0 6.3-2.7 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 76 18 -2.34 5.0-5.0 7.3-2.7 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 77 12 -2.66 4.0-6.0 6.7-3.3 IAA SWAC Alabama State 78 16 -2.71 4.0-7.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Southern Virginia Military 79 15 -2.81 4.0-8.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Patriot Colgate 80 15 -2.84 4.0-7.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Big_South North Alabama 81 14 -2.87 4.0-6.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Patriot Georgetown 82 13 -2.87 3.0-7.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 83 15 -3.02 4.0-6.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Big_South Hampton 84 15 -3.03 4.0-8.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Patriot Lafayette 85 15 -3.03 2.0-8.0 5.0-5.0 IAA Ivy Brown 86 15 -3.10 3.0-8.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Patriot Bucknell 87 14 -3.15 3.0-7.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Patriot Lehigh 88 16 -3.17 3.0-8.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 89 16 -3.20 4.0-7.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Pioneer Marist 90 15 -3.27 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IAA Southern Mercer 91 15 -3.28 3.0-8.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 92 16 -3.41 4.0-7.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Southland Abilene Christian 93 13 -3.42 4.0-8.0 7.4-4.6 IAA Patriot Fordham 94 12 -3.47 3.0-8.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 95 11 -3.58 4.0-7.0 7.6-3.4 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 96 14 -3.65 3.0-7.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 97 11 -3.72 2.0-9.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 98 11 -3.81 1.0-*** 4.8-6.2 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 99 11 -3.90 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 100 10 -4.08 2.0-9.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Southern Western Carolina 101 12 -4.09 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Southland Northwestern State 102 12 -4.11 5.0-7.0 9.1-2.9 IAA Southland Incarnate Word 103 9 -4.14 4.0-7.0 8.1-2.9 IAA SWAC Jackson State 104 11 -4.14 1.0-*** 5.1-5.9 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 105 12 -4.14 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 106 11 -4.22 3.0-8.0 7.2-3.8 IAA NE Bryant 107 9 -4.25 3.0-8.0 7.3-3.7 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 108 10 -4.29 2.0-8.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Pioneer Butler 109 9 -4.47 2.0-9.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Southern East Tennessee State 110 11 -4.67 3.0-8.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Southland Lamar 111 6 -4.98 3.0-9.0 8.0-4.0 IAA MEAC Morgan State 112 7 -5.04 0.0-9.0 5.0-4.0 IAA NE Long Island 113 7 -5.13 3.0-9.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 114 8 -5.14 3.0-9.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 115 8 -5.19 2.0-*** 7.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 116 8 -5.21 2.0-9.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 117 7 -5.48 2.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IAA MEAC Howard 118 7 -5.55 1.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 119 5 -5.66 1.0-9.0 6.7-3.3 IAA MEAC Delaware State 120 5 -5.69 1.0-9.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 121 7 -5.70 1.0-9.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 122 5 -5.85 1.0-*** 6.9-4.1 IAA NE Wagner 123 5 -5.94 1.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 124 3 -6.40 2.0-9.0 8.4-2.6 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 125 2 -7.13 0.0-*** 7.1-2.9 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 126 2 -8.14 4.0-*** 12.1-4.9 IAA Southland Houston Baptist
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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