2019 Week 3 (13-14 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  10 Auburn                    over  184 Kent State                 42.0 to  3.5
  77 California - Davis        over  219 Lehigh                     45.5 to 24.5
   4 Oklahoma                  over   93 California - Los Angeles   52.5 to 31.5
   3 Georgia                   over  100 Arkansas State             45.5 to 14.0
  26 James Madison             over  227 Morgan State               49.0 to  7.0
   9 Louisiana State           over  218 Northwestern State         56.0 to 14.0
  99 San Diego State           over  213 New Mexico State           38.5 to 17.5
  24 Texas                     over  211 Rice                       45.5 to 14.0
  55 Memphis                   over  189 South Alabama              42.0 to 24.5
 126 South Dakota              over  256 Houston Baptist            56.0 to 14.0
   2 Clemson                   over   50 Syracuse                   42.0 to 17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  39 Boston College            over  117 Kansas                     35.0 to 14.0
  44 Texas Tech                over  121 Arizona                    52.5 to 38.5
  36 Boise State               over  186 Portland State             49.0 to 17.5
  79 Illinois State            over  239 Eastern Illinois           56.0 to 17.5
   5 Ohio State                over   95 Indiana                    42.0 to 17.5
 116 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  251 Texas Southern             49.0 to 21.0
  16 Missouri                  over  118 Southeast Missouri State   45.5 to 24.5
 101 Navy                      over  171 East Carolina              38.5 to 21.0
  45 Northwestern              over  163 Nevada - Las Vegas         45.5 to 21.0
  15 Notre Dame                over  145 New Mexico                 49.0 to 14.0
  27 Oregon                    over   90 Montana                    42.0 to 28.0
   7 Penn State                over   57 Pittsburgh                 38.5 to 17.5
   1 Alabama                   over   42 South Carolina             42.0 to 17.5
 108 Southern Methodist        over  207 Texas State - San Marcos   42.0 to 21.0
  86 Stony Brook               over  223 Wagner                     42.0 to 17.5
  18 Texas A&M                 over  216 Lamar                      52.5 to 14.0
  23 Oklahoma State            over  140 Tulsa                      45.5 to 24.5
  17 Washington                over  146 Hawaii                     42.0 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  49 Kennesaw State            over  247 Alabama State              49.0 to 17.5
  91 Villanova                 over  238 Bucknell                   31.5 to  7.0
  64 California                over  111 North Texas                35.0 to 21.0
   8 Central Florida           over   33 Stanford                   38.5 to 24.5
   6 North Dakota State        over  103 Delaware                   31.5 to 10.5
  61 Georgia Tech              over  138 The Citadel                38.5 to 24.5
  83 Buffalo                   over  177 Liberty                    35.0 to 24.5
  60 Minnesota                 over  119 Georgia Southern           35.0 to 21.0
  59 Mississippi               over  191 Southeast Louisiana        45.5 to 28.0
  62 North Dakota              over  168 Sam Houston State          56.0 to 24.5
 178 Tennessee State           over  248 Jackson State              28.0 to 10.5
  58 Army                      over  199 Texas - San Antonio        28.0 to 10.5
  25 Utah                      over  143 Idaho State                49.0 to 21.0
 110 Wofford                   over  201 Samford                    49.0 to 31.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  21 Washington State          over   72 Houston                    42.0 to 31.5
  56 Wake Forest               over   81 North Carolina             38.5 to 31.5
 122 Arkansas                  over  141 Colorado State             31.5 to 24.5
  97 Florida Atlantic          over  169 Ball State                 35.0 to 28.0
 134 Louisiana Tech            over  197 Bowling Green              31.5 to 24.5
  43 Southern California       over   78 Brigham Young              28.0 to 24.5
 208 Fordham                   over  222 Bryant                     38.5 to 31.5
 149 Central Arkansas          over  198 Abilene Christian          35.0 to 24.5
 124 North Carolina A&T        over  215 Charleston Southern        28.0 to 17.5
  70 Cincinnati                over  106 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 21.0
 154 Coastal Carolina          over  230 Norfolk State              31.5 to 21.0
  66 Colorado                  over   74 Air Force                  38.5 to 31.5
 166 East Tennessee State      over  240 Virginia Military          45.5 to 24.5
 113 New Hampshire             over  133 Florida International      31.5 to 21.0
 136 Indiana State             over  187 Eastern Kentucky           31.5 to 28.0
  30 Eastern Washington        over   84 Jacksonville State         38.5 to 31.5
  35 Kentucky                  over   68 Florida                    31.5 to 21.0
 179 Sacred Heart              over  232 Lafayette                  28.0 to 21.0
  82 Maine                     over   89 Towson                     31.5 to 28.0
  53 Ohio                      over   94 Marshall                   28.0 to 28.0
 155 Alcorn State              over  206 McNeese State              31.5 to 24.5
 125 Mercer                    over  165 Austin Peay                38.5 to 28.0
  87 Miami - Florida           over  188 Bethune - Cookman          35.0 to 21.0
  51 Michigan State            over   63 Arizona State              24.5 to 17.5
  46 Duke                      over   80 Middle Tennessee State     35.0 to 31.5
  11 Mississippi State         over   31 Kansas State               28.0 to 21.0
  67 Nebraska                  over  107 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 21.0
 105 Weber State               over  128 Nevada - Reno              31.5 to 24.5
 226 North Alabama             over  244 Alabama A&M                49.0 to 35.0
 152 North Carolina - Charlot  over  181 Massachusetts              42.0 to 31.5
 129 Louisville                over  150 Western Kentucky           31.5 to 28.0
  22 Texas Christian           over   47 Purdue                     28.0 to 21.0
 172 Dayton                    over  243 Robert Morris              42.0 to 24.5
 204 Sacramento State          over  202 Northern Colorado          35.0 to 35.0
  29 South Dakota State        over  164 Drake                      31.5 to 10.5
 132 Southern Illinois         over  175 Tennessee - Martin         35.0 to 28.0
 185 Southern Utah             over  245 Stephen F. Austin          35.0 to 21.0
 131 South Florida             over  200 South Carolina State       28.0 to 21.0
  98 Tennessee                 over  217 Tennessee - Chattanooga    28.0 to 10.5
  71 Toledo                    over  194 Murray State               49.0 to 31.5
  76 Troy State                over  112 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 21.0
 104 Tulane                    over  173 Missouri State             31.5 to 21.0
 158 Central Connecticut       over  236 Valparaiso                 42.0 to 24.5
  41 Virginia                  over   75 Florida State              31.5 to 24.5
  69 Virginia Tech             over  114 Furman                     38.5 to 28.0
 130 Western Michigan          over  148 Georgia State              38.5 to 31.5
  28 West Virginia             over   32 North Carolina State       31.5 to 28.0
 183 William & Mary            over  210 Colgate                    31.5 to 21.0
  92 Wyoming                   over  182 Idaho                      35.0 to 17.5
 109 Youngstown State          over  162 Duquesne                   35.0 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 196 Central Michigan          over  190 Akron                      21.0 to 21.0
 235 North Carolina Central    over  242 Gardner - Webb             24.5 to 24.5
 102 Eastern Michigan          over  127 Illinois                   28.0 to 28.0
  14 Iowa                      over   34 Iowa State                 24.5 to 24.5
 224 Marist                    over  229 Stetson                    35.0 to 31.5
 170 Monmouth                  over  156 Albany                     31.5 to 31.5
 209 Howard                    over  228 Hampton                    42.0 to 38.5
 153 California Poly           over  147 Oregon State               38.5 to 38.5
 176 Prairie View              over  144 Nicholls State             31.5 to 31.5
 250 Presbyterian              over  249 Jacksonville               31.5 to 28.0
 115 Elon                      over  142 Richmond                   28.0 to 28.0
  37 Maryland                  over   54 Temple                     38.5 to 38.5
 135 Western Illinois          over  120 Montana State              24.5 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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