ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 106 Southern Mississippi 52.5 to 10.5
2 Clemson over 124 North Carolina - Charlot 52.5 to 7.0
80 Indiana over 213 Connecticut 42.0 to 14.0
27 Miami - Florida over 179 Central Michigan 42.0 to 10.5
45 North Carolina State over 153 Ball State 42.0 to 17.5
8 North Dakota State over 83 California - Davis 42.0 to 17.5
4 Ohio State over 118 Miami - Ohio 52.5 to 17.5
33 South Dakota State over 188 Southern Utah 45.5 to 10.5
24 James Madison over 180 Tennessee - Chattanooga 38.5 to 14.0
42 Virginia over 159 Old Dominion 42.0 to 17.5
25 Washington State over 109 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 21.0
138 Wofford over 234 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
103 Alabama - Birmingham over 187 South Alabama 35.0 to 17.5
115 Arkansas over 190 San Jose State 38.5 to 21.0
58 Army over 230 Morgan State 38.5 to 10.5
105 Maine over 233 Colgate 35.0 to 17.5
16 Florida over 100 Tennessee 38.5 to 17.5
102 Illinois State over 158 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 17.5
90 Jacksonville State over 224 North Alabama 52.5 to 28.0
189 Bethune - Cookman over 255 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 24.5
9 Missouri over 44 South Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
110 Montana over 171 Monmouth 42.0 to 28.0
114 Montana State over 237 Norfolk State 35.0 to 7.0
21 Princeton over 245 Butler 63.0 to 14.0
48 Baylor over 199 Rice 45.5 to 21.0
192 Tennessee State over 251 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 49.0 to 28.0
6 Louisiana State over 65 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
88 Troy State over 211 Akron 35.0 to 21.0
151 Albany over 226 Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
10 Washington over 67 Brigham Young 28.0 to 17.5
34 Fresno State over 181 Sacramento State 42.0 to 17.5
39 Eastern Washington over 184 Idaho 49.0 to 24.5
144 Indiana State over 216 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
41 Iowa State over 141 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 17.5
49 Dartmouth over 248 Jacksonville 49.0 to 14.0
28 West Virginia over 92 Kansas 35.0 to 24.5
135 Coastal Carolina over 208 Massachusetts 38.5 to 28.0
51 Kennesaw State over 185 Missouri State 42.0 to 21.0
176 South Dakota over 238 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 28.0
112 North Texas over 197 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 21.0
54 Ohio over 86 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 31.5
7 Central Florida over 50 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 24.5
119 Stony Brook over 209 Fordham 31.5 to 10.5
64 Syracuse over 99 Western Michigan 42.0 to 31.5
126 The Citadel over 202 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
43 Boise State over 68 Air Force 35.0 to 24.5
125 Louisiana Tech over 137 Florida International 28.0 to 21.0
212 Grambling over 250 Alabama State 28.0 to 21.0
167 Alcorn State over 174 Prairie View 35.0 to 31.5
62 Arizona State over 73 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
107 Arkansas State over 133 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
55 Temple over 127 Buffalo 35.0 to 24.5
204 Campbell over 232 Davidson 38.5 to 21.0
69 Toledo over 155 Colorado State 49.0 to 35.0
117 Delaware over 140 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 24.5
168 William & Mary over 177 East Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
136 Austin Peay over 183 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
95 Florida Atlantic over 220 Wagner 42.0 to 24.5
82 Florida State over 113 Louisville 38.5 to 31.5
93 Furman over 134 Mercer 38.5 to 28.0
3 Georgia over 11 Notre Dame 35.0 to 21.0
104 Hawaii over 142 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
217 Northwestern State over 256 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 31.5
57 Nebraska over 128 Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
182 Kent State over 214 Bowling Green 31.5 to 24.5
162 Liberty over 229 Hampton 35.0 to 24.5
170 Sacred Heart over 240 Long Island 59.5 to 52.5
169 Cornell over 244 Marist 35.0 to 24.5
20 Mississippi State over 35 Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
207 Murray State over 253 Morehead State 45.5 to 28.0
122 New Hampshire over 123 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
172 New Mexico over 210 New Mexico State 38.5 to 31.5
32 Appalachian State over 70 North Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
79 Northern Iowa over 148 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
195 Eastern Kentucky over 252 Presbyterian 28.0 to 14.0
75 Boston College over 154 Rutgers 31.5 to 17.5
163 Samford over 219 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 24.5
165 Sam Houston State over 193 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 35.0
89 Harvard over 147 San Diego 38.5 to 31.5
26 Utah State over 91 San Diego State 31.5 to 21.0
186 Southeast Louisiana over 218 Lamar 31.5 to 21.0
18 Oregon over 37 Stanford 31.5 to 28.0
143 Nicholls State over 242 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 24.5
19 Texas over 23 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 35.0
17 Texas A&M over 12 Auburn 28.0 to 24.5
40 Texas Christian over 85 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 21.0
145 Nevada - Reno over 227 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 21.0
175 Georgia State over 206 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
76 Towson over 108 Villanova 31.5 to 28.0
94 Wyoming over 139 Tulsa 24.5 to 21.0
53 Wake Forest over 98 Elon 31.5 to 28.0
152 Western Illinois over 223 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 21.0
14 Wisconsin over 15 Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
97 Yale over 156 Holy Cross 38.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
72 Tulane over 59 Houston 31.5 to 31.5
38 Southern California over 29 Utah 28.0 to 28.0
196 Abilene Christian over 201 McNeese State 24.5 to 24.5
231 Bryant over 222 Brown 31.5 to 31.5
164 Dayton over 161 Duquesne 31.5 to 28.0
225 Howard over 247 Delaware State 35.0 to 35.0
101 Eastern Michigan over 157 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 31.5
200 Florida A&M over 178 Southern 31.5 to 31.5
66 California over 63 Mississippi 24.5 to 24.5
52 Northwestern over 46 Michigan State 17.5 to 17.5
149 Columbia over 198 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 21.0
241 Robert Morris over 239 Virginia Military 35.0 to 35.0
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