2019 Week 6 (3-5 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

 166 Dayton                    over  246 Jacksonville               42.0 to 24.5
 141 Florida International     over  222 Massachusetts              49.0 to 28.0
 103 Harvard                   over  232 Howard                     45.5 to 17.5
 125 Jacksonville State        over  219 Tennessee State            45.5 to 21.0
   5 Oklahoma                  over   95 Kansas                     49.0 to 21.0
  13 Missouri                  over   97 Troy State                 45.5 to 24.5
  66 Montana                   over  138 Idaho State                42.0 to 21.0
  47 Boise State               over  182 Nevada - Las Vegas         42.0 to 21.0
 153 Northern Arizona          over  248 Northern Colorado          38.5 to 17.5
  12 Notre Dame                over  230 Bowling Green              59.5 to  7.0
   1 Ohio State                over   30 Michigan State             42.0 to 10.5
   6 Penn State                over   82 Purdue                     45.5 to 17.5
 147 San Diego                 over  251 Marist                     45.5 to 17.5
  37 South Dakota State        over  128 Southern Illinois          42.0 to 17.5
   4 Georgia                   over  115 Tennessee                  42.0 to 14.0
 144 The Citadel               over  239 Virginia Military          45.5 to 21.0
   8 Wisconsin                 over  156 Kent State                 49.0 to  7.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  65 Temple                    over  186 East Carolina              35.0 to 17.5
 113 Alabama - Birmingham      over  179 Rice                       31.5 to 14.0
 193 Bethune - Cookman         over  237 Morgan State               35.0 to 21.0
 196 Campbell                  over  255 Presbyterian               31.5 to 10.5
 203 Drake                     over  249 Valparaiso                 35.0 to 17.5
  16 North Dakota State        over  101 Illinois State             31.5 to 17.5
   7 Louisiana State           over   28 Utah State                 45.5 to 28.0
  53 Minnesota                 over  126 Illinois                   42.0 to 24.5
 185 Murray State              over  233 Eastern Illinois           28.0 to 17.5
 114 North Carolina A&T        over  226 Norfolk State              35.0 to 14.0
  41 Memphis                   over  145 Northeast Louisiana        45.5 to 28.0
 134 Sam Houston State         over  221 Stephen F. Austin          42.0 to 24.5
  15 Oregon                    over   55 California                 35.0 to 17.5
  20 Princeton                 over  167 Columbia                   49.0 to 14.0
  52 Maryland                  over  174 Rutgers                    35.0 to 17.5
  42 Southern Methodist        over  122 Tulsa                      42.0 to 28.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 117 Georgia Southern          over  214 South Alabama              31.5 to 21.0
 223 Alabama A&M               over  256 Texas Southern             38.5 to 21.0
 171 Alcorn State              over  241 Alabama State              31.5 to 21.0
  87 Weber State               over  177 Idaho                      35.0 to 21.0
  35 Kansas State              over   48 Baylor                     35.0 to 24.5
  71 Eastern Washington        over  160 Sacramento State           42.0 to 28.0
 120 Southeast Missouri State  over  190 Tennessee Tech             42.0 to 28.0
  10 Washington                over   54 Stanford                   31.5 to 17.5
  24 James Madison             over   99 Stony Brook                35.0 to 21.0
  56 Villanova                 over  154 William & Mary             35.0 to 21.0
 102 Yale                      over  205 Fordham                    35.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  11 Central Florida           over   40 Cincinnati                 35.0 to 28.0
 172 San Jose State            over  183 New Mexico                 35.0 to 31.5
  58 Army                      over   63 Tulane                     24.5 to 17.5
 136 Rhode Island              over  227 Brown                      38.5 to 24.5
 178 Holy Cross                over  229 Bucknell                   24.5 to 17.5
  83 Ohio                      over  105 Buffalo                    35.0 to 31.5
  92 California - Los Angeles  over  111 Oregon State               38.5 to 28.0
  89 Montana State             over  146 California Poly            38.5 to 31.5
 104 Eastern Michigan          over  162 Central Michigan           28.0 to 21.0
 208 Colgate                   over  216 Lehigh                     28.0 to 24.5
  90 San Diego State           over  152 Colorado State             31.5 to 21.0
 151 South Florida             over  210 Connecticut                31.5 to 24.5
 189 Cornell                   over  198 Georgetown                 21.0 to 17.5
 202 South Carolina State      over  252 Delaware State             28.0 to 14.0
  25 Duke                      over   38 Pittsburgh                 28.0 to 21.0
 158 Duquesne                  over  250 Long Island                52.5 to 28.0
 168 Eastern Kentucky          over  159 Tennessee - Martin         28.0 to 21.0
 139 Wofford                   over  170 East Tennessee State       24.5 to 21.0
 194 Florida A&M               over  242 North Carolina Central     31.5 to 17.5
 108 Arkansas State            over  187 Georgia State              38.5 to 28.0
  50 North Carolina            over  106 Georgia Tech               24.5 to 24.5
 220 Hampton                   over  218 North Alabama              35.0 to 31.5
 217 Incarnate Word            over  231 Houston Baptist            45.5 to 42.0
  22 Iowa State                over   29 Texas Christian            28.0 to 21.0
 206 Grambling                 over  245 Jackson State              24.5 to 17.5
 201 Abilene Christian         over  236 Lamar                      28.0 to 24.5
 148 Southeast Louisiana       over  199 McNeese State              28.0 to 24.5
 165 Mercer                    over  173 Tennessee - Chattanooga    31.5 to 28.0
  61 Miami - Florida           over   94 Virginia Tech              28.0 to 17.5
  17 Michigan                  over   14 Iowa                       24.5 to 21.0
 124 Middle Tennessee State    over  121 Marshall                   28.0 to 28.0
  77 Mississippi               over   85 Vanderbilt                 31.5 to 28.0
 212 Davidson                  over  254 Morehead State             45.5 to 35.0
  68 Air Force                 over   86 Navy                       28.0 to 28.0
  62 Nebraska                  over   69 Northwestern               28.0 to 24.5
 135 New Hampshire             over  123 Elon                       24.5 to 17.5
 150 Liberty                   over  197 New Mexico State           35.0 to 24.5
 149 Nicholls State            over  140 Central Arkansas           28.0 to 28.0
 119 North Dakota              over  100 California - Davis         28.0 to 28.0
 116 Northern Illinois         over  143 Ball State                 35.0 to 21.0
  60 Youngstown State          over   93 Northern Iowa              24.5 to 21.0
  44 Dartmouth                 over  142 Pennsylvania               28.0 to 17.5
 200 Southern Utah             over  204 Portland State             31.5 to 28.0
 118 Albany                    over  169 Richmond                   31.5 to 28.0
 155 Sacred Heart              over  161 Central Connecticut        31.5 to 28.0
  81 Furman                    over  131 Samford                    42.0 to 38.5
 225 Stetson                   over  243 Butler                     35.0 to 28.0
 213 Texas - San Antonio       over  240 Texas - El Paso            24.5 to 21.0
  23 Oklahoma State            over   76 Texas Tech                 38.5 to 31.5
  80 Toledo                    over   98 Western Michigan           45.5 to 38.5
 163 Monmouth                  over  215 Wagner                     28.0 to 24.5
 207 Western Carolina          over  247 Gardner - Webb             38.5 to 31.5
 180 Western Illinois          over  192 Missouri State             28.0 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  73 Colorado                  over   67 Arizona                    31.5 to 31.5
  19 Florida                   over    9 Auburn                     24.5 to 24.5
  96 Louisville                over   84 Boston College             31.5 to 31.5
 231 Houston Baptist           over  253 Mississippi Valley State   35.0 to 35.0
 175 Old Dominion              over  164 Western Kentucky           28.0 to 24.5
 157 Indiana State             over  184 South Dakota               31.5 to 28.0
  31 West Virginia             over   21 Texas                      31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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