ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
81 Toledo over 242 Bowling Green 49.0 to 21.0
3 Clemson over 66 Florida State 45.5 to 14.0
105 Eastern Washington over 244 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 17.5
7 Georgia over 37 South Carolina 38.5 to 14.0
89 Harvard over 195 Cornell 35.0 to 14.0
21 Michigan over 138 Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
243 Jacksonville over 254 Morehead State 45.5 to 28.0
60 Kennesaw State over 201 Charleston Southern 42.0 to 14.0
113 Louisiana Tech over 248 Massachusetts 49.0 to 17.5
10 Missouri over 65 Mississippi 42.0 to 21.0
14 North Dakota State over 102 Northern Iowa 35.0 to 7.0
28 Princeton over 219 Lafayette 52.5 to 14.0
132 Sam Houston State over 228 Lamar 38.5 to 17.5
41 Tulane over 221 Connecticut 45.5 to 10.5
153 Dayton over 252 Valparaiso 42.0 to 24.5
82 Weber State over 206 Southern Utah 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
13 Oregon over 78 Colorado 42.0 to 21.0
95 California - Davis over 152 California Poly 42.0 to 28.0
143 Central Michigan over 200 New Mexico State 38.5 to 24.5
24 Duke over 114 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 17.5
144 Jacksonville State over 232 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
76 Indiana over 176 Rutgers 35.0 to 17.5
22 James Madison over 64 Villanova 42.0 to 24.5
56 Kentucky over 123 Arkansas 35.0 to 17.5
171 Monmouth over 255 Presbyterian 42.0 to 17.5
127 Nicholls State over 229 Northwestern State 45.5 to 24.5
12 Notre Dame over 30 Southern California 35.0 to 21.0
20 Utah over 87 Oregon State 38.5 to 24.5
149 Southeast Louisiana over 212 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 31.5
2 Alabama over 23 Texas A&M 38.5 to 21.0
104 Vanderbilt over 193 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
6 Wisconsin over 25 Michigan State 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
11 Washington over 61 Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
57 Boise State over 73 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
116 Coastal Carolina over 165 Georgia State 42.0 to 28.0
55 Dartmouth over 97 Yale 31.5 to 17.5
4 Louisiana State over 15 Florida 35.0 to 21.0
112 Maine over 175 Richmond 35.0 to 24.5
125 Marshall over 188 Old Dominion 31.5 to 17.5
93 Montana State over 115 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5
31 Mississippi State over 106 Tennessee 35.0 to 21.0
111 Alabama - Birmingham over 211 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 17.5
182 The Citadel over 220 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
151 Samford over 214 Virginia Military 49.0 to 38.5
90 Western Michigan over 122 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
69 North Carolina State over 63 Syracuse 31.5 to 28.0
142 Northeast Louisiana over 189 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 31.5
62 Miami - Florida over 52 Virginia 24.5 to 21.0
158 Colorado State over 181 New Mexico 38.5 to 38.5
209 Abilene Christian over 213 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 28.0
157 Kent State over 226 Akron 28.0 to 21.0
29 Washington State over 50 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
231 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 250 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 28.0
139 Austin Peay over 134 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 31.5
36 Baylor over 67 Texas Tech 35.0 to 28.0
174 Holy Cross over 222 Brown 28.0 to 21.0
234 Bryant over 249 Long Island 42.0 to 35.0
197 Drake over 230 Butler 28.0 to 21.0
160 Central Arkansas over 192 McNeese State 24.5 to 17.5
218 Colgate over 233 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
136 Central Connecticut over 159 Columbia 28.0 to 24.5
147 San Diego over 203 Davidson 42.0 to 35.0
124 Eastern Michigan over 130 Ball State 35.0 to 28.0
86 Florida Atlantic over 120 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 28.0
131 Florida International over 140 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 28.0
177 Georgetown over 202 Fordham 24.5 to 17.5
194 Grambling over 235 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 21.0
245 Howard over 240 Norfolk State 35.0 to 35.0
108 North Dakota over 155 Idaho State 31.5 to 24.5
204 Indiana State over 199 Western Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
8 Penn State over 17 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
246 Jackson State over 239 Alabama State 24.5 to 21.0
53 Minnesota over 68 Nebraska 35.0 to 28.0
238 Morgan State over 251 Delaware State 28.0 to 24.5
185 Nevada - Reno over 173 San Jose State 31.5 to 31.5
196 Bethune - Cookman over 237 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 21.0
5 Oklahoma over 18 Texas 45.5 to 35.0
94 Ohio over 137 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
154 Pennsylvania over 190 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 17.5
27 Maryland over 88 Purdue 38.5 to 28.0
205 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 223 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
91 San Diego State over 80 Wyoming 17.5 to 14.0
180 South Carolina State over 207 Florida A&M 28.0 to 21.0
183 Southern over 166 Prairie View 35.0 to 31.5
103 Southern Mississippi over 110 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
84 Brigham Young over 133 South Florida 28.0 to 24.5
99 Stony Brook over 126 New Hampshire 24.5 to 17.5
34 Memphis over 72 Temple 31.5 to 28.0
186 Murray State over 225 Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
145 Tennessee - Martin over 172 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 35.0
79 Towson over 118 Albany 35.0 to 24.5
71 Navy over 107 Tulsa 31.5 to 24.5
92 Virginia Tech over 150 Rhode Island 38.5 to 31.5
42 Wake Forest over 83 Louisville 42.0 to 31.5
70 Army over 156 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
19 Iowa State over 38 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
46 South Dakota State over 75 Youngstown State 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
32 Appalachian State over 54 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 38.5
77 Air Force over 59 Fresno State 28.0 to 28.0
141 Elon over 117 Delaware 28.0 to 28.0
217 Hampton over 241 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 24.5
49 Houston over 35 Cincinnati 31.5 to 28.0
184 Missouri State over 164 South Dakota 31.5 to 31.5
187 Portland State over 168 Idaho 35.0 to 35.0
129 Illinois State over 135 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
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