ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
102 Troy State over 208 South Alabama 38.5 to 17.5
1 Ohio State over 61 Northwestern 42.0 to 14.0
2 Alabama over 99 Tennessee 52.5 to 10.5
34 Princeton over 216 Brown 49.0 to 17.5
127 Central Connecticut over 239 Bryant 38.5 to 14.0
17 Central Florida over 170 East Carolina 49.0 to 17.5
57 Houston over 217 Connecticut 45.5 to 21.0
123 Florida International over 242 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 14.0
56 Furman over 179 The Citadel 38.5 to 17.5
9 Georgia over 71 Kentucky 38.5 to 10.5
3 Wisconsin over 121 Illinois 49.0 to 14.0
36 South Dakota State over 206 Indiana State 35.0 to 10.5
20 Iowa over 67 Purdue 35.0 to 14.0
5 Clemson over 72 Louisville 45.5 to 21.0
47 Dartmouth over 249 Marist 42.0 to 3.5
161 Monmouth over 235 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 21.0
18 North Dakota State over 209 Missouri State 52.5 to 7.0
183 Southern over 255 Texas Southern 45.5 to 21.0
6 Oklahoma over 54 West Virginia 49.0 to 24.5
65 Kennesaw State over 256 Presbyterian 45.5 to 7.0
39 Minnesota over 203 Rutgers 38.5 to 14.0
133 San Diego over 252 Valparaiso 45.5 to 21.0
115 Tennessee - Martin over 232 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
19 Texas over 104 Kansas 42.0 to 17.5
92 Towson over 221 Bucknell 42.0 to 17.5
42 Utah State over 191 Nevada - Reno 49.0 to 21.0
16 Missouri over 147 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 17.5
21 James Madison over 149 William & Mary 45.5 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
48 Stanford over 107 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 17.5
74 Fresno State over 155 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 21.0
111 Buffalo over 246 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
106 Alabama - Birmingham over 186 Old Dominion 31.5 to 17.5
27 Appalachian State over 136 Northeast Louisiana 52.5 to 24.5
11 Auburn over 112 Arkansas 38.5 to 17.5
194 Bethune - Cookman over 228 Norfolk State 35.0 to 21.0
135 Central Michigan over 234 Bowling Green 35.0 to 21.0
50 California over 103 Oregon State 35.0 to 21.0
26 Cincinnati over 114 Tulsa 35.0 to 14.0
4 Louisiana State over 55 Mississippi State 42.0 to 24.5
7 Penn State over 22 Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
176 Prairie View over 220 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 35.0
25 Southern California over 68 Arizona 42.0 to 28.0
87 California - Davis over 202 Southern Utah 42.0 to 24.5
134 Austin Peay over 233 Tennessee State 42.0 to 24.5
13 Utah over 49 Arizona State 31.5 to 17.5
126 Wofford over 226 Western Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
75 Wyoming over 200 New Mexico 38.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
94 Albany over 163 Rhode Island 38.5 to 24.5
185 McNeese State over 220 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 28.0
178 Mercer over 207 Virginia Military 42.0 to 31.5
64 Miami - Florida over 119 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 14.0
52 Navy over 124 South Florida 35.0 to 21.0
110 Northern Iowa over 144 South Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
162 Central Arkansas over 236 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
79 San Diego State over 174 San Jose State 28.0 to 14.0
188 South Carolina State over 227 Morgan State 31.5 to 17.5
12 Iowa State over 66 Texas Tech 35.0 to 24.5
29 Washington State over 81 Colorado 42.0 to 28.0
97 Weber State over 160 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
120 Illinois State over 219 Western Illinois 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
58 Louisiana - Lafayette over 122 Arkansas State 38.5 to 31.5
156 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 182 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 17.5
84 Florida Atlantic over 125 Marshall 31.5 to 21.0
40 Pittsburgh over 73 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
195 Abilene Christian over 223 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 24.5
100 Toledo over 117 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
38 Boise State over 89 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
138 North Dakota over 169 California Poly 31.5 to 31.5
196 Campbell over 218 Hampton 31.5 to 21.0
192 Cornell over 231 Colgate 24.5 to 14.0
113 New Hampshire over 153 Delaware 24.5 to 21.0
83 Western Michigan over 143 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
91 North Carolina A&T over 189 Florida A&M 35.0 to 24.5
198 Fordham over 212 Lehigh 31.5 to 28.0
175 Georgetown over 211 Lafayette 28.0 to 14.0
116 Georgia Southern over 128 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
85 Army over 140 Georgia State 35.0 to 24.5
60 Air Force over 82 Hawaii 38.5 to 35.0
95 Harvard over 171 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
109 Idaho State over 190 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
205 Incarnate Word over 222 Lamar 35.0 to 28.0
204 Davidson over 243 Jacksonville 35.0 to 31.5
152 Jacksonville State over 142 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
43 Kansas State over 32 Texas Christian 24.5 to 21.0
139 Maine over 157 Liberty 24.5 to 21.0
210 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 247 Long Island 28.0 to 17.5
93 Louisiana Tech over 88 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
51 Maryland over 69 Indiana 31.5 to 24.5
33 Memphis over 41 Tulane 31.5 to 28.0
24 Texas A&M over 63 Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
241 Butler over 253 Morehead State 35.0 to 28.0
193 Charleston Southern over 225 North Alabama 31.5 to 31.5
166 Portland State over 240 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
129 North Texas over 131 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 31.5
101 Ohio over 137 Kent State 35.0 to 24.5
31 Oklahoma State over 37 Baylor 38.5 to 31.5
105 Yale over 164 Richmond 31.5 to 24.5
44 Montana over 90 Sacramento State 35.0 to 28.0
159 Sam Houston State over 148 Nicholls State 31.5 to 28.0
14 Florida over 30 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
77 Youngstown State over 146 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
46 Southern Methodist over 70 Temple 35.0 to 31.5
158 Dayton over 229 Stetson 38.5 to 31.5
177 Rice over 224 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 21.0
23 Duke over 53 Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
45 North Carolina over 86 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
215 Wagner over 213 Robert Morris 24.5 to 21.0
35 Wake Forest over 59 Florida State 38.5 to 31.5
10 Washington over 8 Oregon 28.0 to 28.0
130 Western Kentucky over 151 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
80 Boston College over 78 North Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
141 Pennsylvania over 172 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
132 Northern Illinois over 145 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
248 Mississippi Valley State over 245 Jackson State 24.5 to 24.5
184 Murray State over 180 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
173 Sacred Heart over 168 Duquesne 24.5 to 24.5
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