ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
2 Alabama over 126 Arkansas 52.5 to 10.5
4 Clemson over 69 Boston College 45.5 to 10.5
50 Dartmouth over 150 Columbia 35.0 to 10.5
182 Davidson over 251 Marist 38.5 to 21.0
181 Drake over 246 Morehead State 42.0 to 17.5
118 Georgia Southern over 199 New Mexico State 42.0 to 24.5
124 Illinois State over 208 Indiana State 31.5 to 10.5
16 James Madison over 74 Towson 45.5 to 24.5
113 North Carolina A&T over 247 Howard 49.0 to 17.5
127 Northern Illinois over 249 Akron 35.0 to 10.5
24 Appalachian State over 214 South Alabama 42.0 to 14.0
83 Louisiana Tech over 240 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 14.0
78 Furman over 241 Western Carolina 49.0 to 17.5
94 Western Michigan over 231 Bowling Green 45.5 to 17.5
98 Youngstown State over 221 Western Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
132 Prairie View over 238 Jackson State 45.5 to 21.0
23 Southern California over 93 Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
107 Army over 164 San Jose State 35.0 to 21.0
110 Central Connecticut over 253 Long Island 49.0 to 10.5
71 Fresno State over 157 Colorado State 42.0 to 24.5
173 Holy Cross over 220 Colgate 28.0 to 17.5
14 Iowa State over 42 Oklahoma State 42.0 to 28.0
3 Oklahoma over 45 Kansas State 38.5 to 24.5
63 Kennesaw State over 228 North Alabama 49.0 to 17.5
111 Northern Iowa over 213 Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
75 San Diego State over 155 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 17.5
1 Ohio State over 6 Wisconsin 38.5 to 21.0
9 Oregon over 31 Washington State 42.0 to 24.5
28 Memphis over 115 Tulsa 38.5 to 24.5
12 Utah over 57 California 28.0 to 10.5
82 Wyoming over 192 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
130 Arkansas State over 186 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 21.0
175 Duquesne over 223 Wagner 24.5 to 7.0
218 Hampton over 255 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 28.0
174 Southeast Louisiana over 255 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 28.0
17 Missouri over 72 Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5
5 Louisiana State over 10 Auburn 38.5 to 28.0
7 Penn State over 33 Michigan State 28.0 to 14.0
47 Montana over 89 Eastern Washington 45.5 to 35.0
102 Hawaii over 195 New Mexico 42.0 to 31.5
237 North Carolina Central over 252 Delaware State 28.0 to 14.0
18 Iowa over 86 Northwestern 21.0 to 10.5
91 Florida Atlantic over 188 Old Dominion 35.0 to 24.5
39 Princeton over 96 Harvard 38.5 to 24.5
61 Purdue over 90 Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
103 Southern Mississippi over 179 Rice 35.0 to 24.5
207 Robert Morris over 245 Bryant 35.0 to 21.0
21 Central Florida over 73 Temple 38.5 to 28.0
25 Texas A&M over 59 Mississippi State 31.5 to 21.0
58 Villanova over 108 Stony Brook 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
48 Air Force over 53 Utah State 31.5 to 31.5
151 Alcorn State over 201 Southern 31.5 to 21.0
190 Grambling over 217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 28.0
84 Ball State over 101 Ohio 35.0 to 31.5
197 Bethune - Cookman over 185 South Carolina State 24.5 to 24.5
112 Buffalo over 135 Central Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
243 Butler over 244 Jacksonville 31.5 to 28.0
100 California - Davis over 87 Weber State 31.5 to 28.0
55 Arizona State over 81 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 24.5
54 Sacramento State over 167 California Poly 38.5 to 28.0
170 Monmouth over 196 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 28.0
206 Cornell over 222 Brown 31.5 to 21.0
138 San Diego over 176 Dayton 35.0 to 35.0
159 Delaware over 172 Richmond 28.0 to 24.5
166 Eastern Kentucky over 226 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
56 Florida State over 77 Syracuse 35.0 to 28.0
189 Campbell over 236 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 21.0
105 Troy State over 131 Georgia State 38.5 to 31.5
209 Incarnate Word over 230 Northwestern State 42.0 to 35.0
158 Jacksonville State over 178 Murray State 35.0 to 24.5
64 Texas Tech over 79 Kansas 31.5 to 28.0
134 Kent State over 137 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
212 Lafayette over 232 Bucknell 28.0 to 21.0
177 Georgetown over 204 Lehigh 24.5 to 21.0
35 Virginia over 67 Louisville 35.0 to 31.5
142 Maine over 143 William & Mary 31.5 to 24.5
119 Marshall over 123 Western Kentucky 21.0 to 21.0
210 Connecticut over 242 Massachusetts 38.5 to 31.5
27 Minnesota over 52 Maryland 35.0 to 28.0
248 Mississippi Valley State over 254 Texas Southern 35.0 to 24.5
180 Florida A&M over 225 Morgan State 35.0 to 28.0
37 Navy over 46 Tulane 31.5 to 28.0
171 Nicholls State over 205 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 21.0
129 North Texas over 152 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 35.0
99 Montana State over 141 North Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
160 Northern Arizona over 169 Portland State 42.0 to 35.0
41 Pittsburgh over 66 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 17.5
117 Elon over 156 Rhode Island 31.5 to 28.0
139 Liberty over 211 Rutgers 24.5 to 14.0
165 Samford over 183 East Tennessee State 38.5 to 31.5
121 Southern Illinois over 147 South Dakota 28.0 to 28.0
22 North Dakota State over 43 South Dakota State 24.5 to 21.0
136 Idaho State over 200 Southern Utah 35.0 to 31.5
70 Stanford over 76 Arizona 31.5 to 24.5
194 McNeese State over 219 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 28.0
34 South Carolina over 85 Tennessee 28.0 to 24.5
154 Austin Peay over 202 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 31.5
148 The Citadel over 187 Mercer 35.0 to 24.5
145 Toledo over 125 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
216 Stetson over 250 Valparaiso 35.0 to 28.0
109 Wofford over 163 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 17.5
116 Yale over 162 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
62 Houston over 30 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 38.5
161 Sam Houston State over 184 Central Arkansas 24.5 to 24.5
153 East Carolina over 133 South Florida 28.0 to 24.5
13 Notre Dame over 19 Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
146 Middle Tennessee State over 128 Florida International 28.0 to 28.0
229 Alabama State over 239 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 24.5
68 Nebraska over 49 Indiana 28.0 to 28.0
38 North Carolina over 32 Duke 31.5 to 31.5
191 Sacred Heart over 198 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 17.5 to 17.5
144 Southeast Missouri State over 114 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 28.0
36 Texas Christian over 20 Texas 31.5 to 31.5
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