ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
15 Central Florida over 92 Tulsa 45.5 to 28.0
120 Army over 250 Massachusetts 52.5 to 17.5
27 Cincinnati over 208 Connecticut 45.5 to 10.5
13 Florida over 150 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 7.0
78 Furman over 214 Virginia Military 45.5 to 17.5
19 James Madison over 109 New Hampshire 35.0 to 14.0
58 Mississippi over 207 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
53 Montana over 156 Idaho 42.0 to 17.5
91 North Carolina A&T over 247 Morgan State 42.0 to 14.0
44 Air Force over 204 New Mexico 42.0 to 17.5
181 Nicholls State over 255 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 17.5
3 Clemson over 117 North Carolina State 42.0 to 10.5
16 North Dakota State over 235 Western Illinois 52.5 to 3.5
93 Montana State over 226 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
108 Northern Iowa over 219 Indiana State 31.5 to 10.5
1 Ohio State over 86 Maryland 56.0 to 10.5
79 San Diego State over 202 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 10.5
175 South Carolina State over 251 Howard 45.5 to 17.5
218 Southern over 255 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 17.5
124 Southern Illinois over 225 Missouri State 38.5 to 17.5
26 Southern Methodist over 149 East Carolina 49.0 to 28.0
80-90% chance of victory:
14 Washington over 69 Oregon State 42.0 to 28.0
73 Brigham Young over 139 Liberty 31.5 to 21.0
84 Yale over 210 Brown 45.5 to 28.0
116 Central Connecticut over 200 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 10.5
178 Dayton over 241 Marist 42.0 to 24.5
194 Bethune - Cookman over 249 Delaware State 35.0 to 21.0
187 Drake over 246 Jacksonville 35.0 to 14.0
68 Florida Atlantic over 155 Florida International 35.0 to 21.0
11 Georgia over 31 Missouri 31.5 to 17.5
164 Holy Cross over 203 Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
118 Monmouth over 222 North Alabama 45.5 to 24.5
52 Sacramento State over 171 Northern Arizona 45.5 to 28.0
6 Oklahoma over 18 Iowa State 42.0 to 28.0
166 Prairie View over 215 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 28.0
60 South Dakota State over 154 Illinois State 28.0 to 10.5
217 Alabama State over 254 Texas Southern 42.0 to 24.5
71 Villanova over 137 Richmond 35.0 to 21.0
36 Virginia over 101 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
131 Toledo over 157 Kent State 35.0 to 24.5
85 Ohio over 135 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 28.0
49 Boise State over 83 Wyoming 31.5 to 17.5
90 Harvard over 176 Columbia 31.5 to 21.0
87 Eastern Washington over 177 Idaho State 45.5 to 35.0
88 Louisiana Tech over 133 North Texas 38.5 to 31.5
102 Wofford over 190 Mercer 38.5 to 28.0
38 Michigan State over 61 Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
223 Gardner - Webb over 256 Presbyterian 31.5 to 21.0
106 San Diego over 220 Stetson 38.5 to 24.5
147 North Carolina - Charlot over 239 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 24.5
56 Weber State over 144 North Dakota 35.0 to 21.0
182 East Tennessee State over 236 Western Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
8 Wisconsin over 17 Iowa 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
80 Western Michigan over 110 Ball State 38.5 to 31.5
41 Louisiana - Lafayette over 134 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
82 Temple over 121 South Florida 28.0 to 24.5
165 Sam Houston State over 199 Abilene Christian 28.0 to 24.5
2 Alabama over 4 Louisiana State 38.5 to 28.0
233 Alabama A&M over 234 Jackson State 31.5 to 24.5
29 Southern California over 59 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
138 Arkansas over 127 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
70 Boston College over 64 Florida State 35.0 to 31.5
192 Lehigh over 232 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
212 Davidson over 245 Butler 31.5 to 28.0
21 Washington State over 72 California 28.0 to 21.0
105 Kennesaw State over 186 Campbell 35.0 to 24.5
161 Central Arkansas over 142 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 31.5
209 Colgate over 188 Fordham 28.0 to 24.5
67 Stanford over 104 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
107 Albany over 158 Delaware 31.5 to 24.5
100 Elon over 103 Maine 31.5 to 28.0
97 Fresno State over 99 Utah State 31.5 to 28.0
114 Hawaii over 136 San Jose State 45.5 to 38.5
50 Kentucky over 54 Tennessee 24.5 to 21.0
51 Miami - Florida over 65 Louisville 35.0 to 24.5
5 Penn State over 20 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5
122 Georgia State over 162 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 38.5
74 Purdue over 132 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5
230 Northwestern State over 242 Lamar 31.5 to 28.0
47 Dartmouth over 57 Princeton 28.0 to 24.5
201 Old Dominion over 211 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 21.0
174 Pennsylvania over 206 Cornell 31.5 to 21.0
98 California - Davis over 159 Portland State 35.0 to 28.0
170 Duquesne over 213 Robert Morris 28.0 to 21.0
195 Sacred Heart over 216 Wagner 24.5 to 17.5
113 Youngstown State over 168 South Dakota 38.5 to 31.5
146 Southeast Missouri State over 151 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
94 Southern Mississippi over 128 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 24.5
76 Towson over 125 Stony Brook 28.0 to 28.0
229 Tennessee State over 231 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
160 Jacksonville State over 197 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 28.0
24 Texas over 22 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
37 Texas Christian over 40 Baylor 31.5 to 24.5
193 Texas State - San Marcos over 221 South Alabama 21.0 to 14.0
243 Valparaiso over 244 Morehead State 35.0 to 28.0
75 West Virginia over 66 Texas Tech 31.5 to 28.0
140 William & Mary over 167 Rhode Island 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
126 Austin Peay over 119 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 28.0
205 Charleston Southern over 189 Hampton 28.0 to 28.0
25 Notre Dame over 33 Duke 28.0 to 28.0
153 Alcorn State over 183 Grambling 28.0 to 28.0
237 North Carolina Central over 198 Norfolk State 24.5 to 24.5
169 Samford over 145 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 35.0
46 South Carolina over 30 Appalachian State 24.5 to 24.5
227 Stephen F. Austin over 224 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 35.0
89 Georgia Southern over 130 Troy State 31.5 to 28.0
35 Wake Forest over 55 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 35.0
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