ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
131 Miami - Ohio over 221 Bowling Green 38.5 to 17.5
142 Alabama - Birmingham over 235 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 14.0
56 Boise State over 197 New Mexico 45.5 to 14.0
2 Clemson over 53 Wake Forest 45.5 to 14.0
35 Dartmouth over 205 Cornell 35.0 to 7.0
171 Florida A&M over 254 Howard 52.5 to 24.5
62 Florida State over 220 Alabama State 42.0 to 14.0
135 Illinois State over 223 Missouri State 35.0 to 10.5
18 James Madison over 123 Richmond 45.5 to 17.5
10 Michigan over 40 Michigan State 31.5 to 10.5
4 Louisiana State over 57 Mississippi 42.0 to 21.0
176 Grambling over 253 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 14.0
6 Wisconsin over 78 Nebraska 38.5 to 17.5
137 North Dakota over 228 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 14.0
22 North Dakota State over 148 South Dakota 49.0 to 17.5
133 Northwestern over 250 Massachusetts 49.0 to 10.5
33 Oklahoma State over 95 Kansas 42.0 to 24.5
8 Oregon over 90 Arizona 49.0 to 21.0
7 Penn State over 43 Indiana 38.5 to 14.0
1 Ohio State over 177 Rutgers 59.5 to 3.5
161 Sam Houston State over 222 Northwestern State 38.5 to 21.0
86 San Diego over 243 Morehead State 52.5 to 17.5
30 Louisiana - Lafayette over 215 South Alabama 38.5 to 10.5
127 Tennessee - Martin over 230 Tennessee State 42.0 to 17.5
11 Utah over 65 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
150 Eastern Michigan over 251 Akron 35.0 to 14.0
151 Alcorn State over 236 Alabama A&M 38.5 to 17.5
102 Army over 214 Virginia Military 42.0 to 21.0
9 Oklahoma over 26 Baylor 42.0 to 31.5
69 Brigham Young over 209 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
180 Central Arkansas over 225 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 21.0
113 Central Connecticut over 202 Robert Morris 35.0 to 17.5
45 Air Force over 144 Colorado State 38.5 to 24.5
50 Duke over 112 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5
139 Southeast Missouri State over 231 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
107 Georgia Southern over 153 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 28.0
29 Appalachian State over 126 Georgia State 38.5 to 24.5
109 Harvard over 173 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 21.0
51 Sacramento State over 162 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
21 Kansas State over 93 West Virginia 35.0 to 17.5
83 Maine over 184 Rhode Island 42.0 to 24.5
119 Middle Tennessee State over 185 Rice 31.5 to 17.5
3 Alabama over 46 Mississippi State 42.0 to 21.0
238 Morgan State over 256 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 17.5
118 North Carolina A&T over 207 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 17.5
206 Charleston Southern over 255 Presbyterian 31.5 to 14.0
80 Southern Mississippi over 203 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 21.0
75 Villanova over 248 Long Island 49.0 to 10.5
115 Southern Illinois over 229 Western Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
183 Duquesne over 241 Bryant 31.5 to 21.0
77 Eastern Washington over 167 California Poly 42.0 to 31.5
166 Columbia over 216 Brown 42.0 to 24.5
155 Eastern Kentucky over 187 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 28.0
110 Kennesaw State over 195 Hampton 38.5 to 28.0
244 Lamar over 256 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 24.5
12 Florida over 42 Missouri 31.5 to 21.0
160 South Carolina State over 242 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 17.5
20 Notre Dame over 23 Navy 31.5 to 21.0
74 Princeton over 89 Yale 38.5 to 28.0
82 South Dakota State over 125 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 14.0
24 Cincinnati over 120 South Florida 31.5 to 21.0
32 Texas A&M over 54 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
116 Troy State over 199 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 24.5
60 Kentucky over 169 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 14.0
27 Washington State over 72 Stanford 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
140 Toledo over 136 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
87 Buffalo over 147 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
49 Pittsburgh over 38 North Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
68 Louisiana Tech over 111 Marshall 31.5 to 28.0
105 San Diego State over 99 Fresno State 24.5 to 21.0
128 Southeast Louisiana over 211 Abilene Christian 35.0 to 24.5
106 Albany over 132 New Hampshire 24.5 to 21.0
108 Arkansas State over 145 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
97 Ball State over 124 Central Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
190 Georgetown over 227 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
28 Southern California over 59 California 24.5 to 21.0
121 Monmouth over 178 Campbell 35.0 to 28.0
200 Norfolk State over 247 Delaware State 35.0 to 24.5
193 Drake over 168 Dayton 35.0 to 31.5
196 East Tennessee State over 208 Mercer 28.0 to 21.0
164 Holy Cross over 201 Fordham 28.0 to 24.5
44 Virginia Tech over 96 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
25 Memphis over 66 Houston 38.5 to 31.5
152 Youngstown State over 213 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
17 Iowa over 15 Minnesota 24.5 to 21.0
16 Iowa State over 31 Texas 38.5 to 31.5
179 Southern over 232 Jackson State 35.0 to 24.5
192 Lafayette over 194 Colgate 24.5 to 21.0
240 Marist over 246 Jacksonville 31.5 to 24.5
48 Montana over 61 Weber State 31.5 to 24.5
101 Austin Peay over 198 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
117 Hawaii over 163 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 38.5
189 Nicholls State over 188 McNeese State 28.0 to 24.5
67 Louisville over 130 North Carolina State 35.0 to 31.5
58 Arizona State over 73 Oregon State 31.5 to 31.5
174 Sacred Heart over 204 Lehigh 31.5 to 24.5
181 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 233 Wagner 24.5 to 14.0
182 Davidson over 239 Stetson 31.5 to 24.5
41 Tulane over 92 Temple 28.0 to 24.5
138 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 146 The Citadel 28.0 to 24.5
114 Utah State over 85 Wyoming 24.5 to 24.5
175 Samford over 226 Western Carolina 42.0 to 35.0
70 Towson over 103 William & Mary 31.5 to 28.0
88 Wofford over 71 Furman 28.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
98 Ohio over 84 Western Michigan 35.0 to 35.0
5 Georgia over 13 Auburn 21.0 to 21.0
249 Butler over 245 Valparaiso 24.5 to 24.5
81 Montana State over 104 California - Davis 31.5 to 31.5
156 Delaware over 141 Stony Brook 24.5 to 24.5
217 North Alabama over 234 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 31.5
224 Incarnate Word over 219 New Mexico State 35.0 to 35.0
157 Northern Arizona over 186 Southern Utah 38.5 to 38.5
36 Texas Christian over 55 Texas Tech 28.0 to 28.0
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