ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
107 Ohio over 236 Bowling Green 38.5 to 17.5
114 Miami - Ohio over 253 Akron 38.5 to 7.0
4 Alabama over 234 Western Carolina 63.0 to 3.5
28 Appalachian State over 208 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 7.0
6 Utah over 94 Arizona 42.0 to 17.5
224 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 251 Texas Southern 45.5 to 24.5
13 Auburn over 174 Samford 52.5 to 14.0
91 Austin Peay over 229 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
161 Dayton over 249 Butler 49.0 to 24.5
74 Eastern Washington over 172 Portland State 45.5 to 28.0
37 Miami - Florida over 169 Florida International 31.5 to 14.0
18 Iowa over 54 Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
19 Iowa State over 103 Kansas 42.0 to 17.5
83 San Diego over 241 Jacksonville 45.5 to 21.0
90 Kennesaw State over 230 Gardner - Webb 49.0 to 17.5
3 Louisiana State over 159 Arkansas 59.5 to 14.0
63 Brigham Young over 250 Massachusetts 59.5 to 17.5
52 Mississippi State over 220 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 14.0
97 Monmouth over 217 Hampton 45.5 to 21.0
43 Air Force over 197 New Mexico 42.0 to 17.5
104 North Carolina A&T over 244 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 7.0
130 Northern Iowa over 232 Western Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
1 Ohio State over 11 Penn State 42.0 to 21.0
9 Oklahoma over 38 Texas Christian 45.5 to 24.5
17 James Madison over 181 Rhode Island 52.5 to 17.5
178 Sam Houston State over 256 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 14.0
66 Weber State over 216 Idaho State 45.5 to 17.5
12 Wisconsin over 70 Purdue 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
225 Alabama A&M over 255 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 17.5
8 Oregon over 58 Arizona State 38.5 to 21.0
62 Dartmouth over 185 Brown 45.5 to 21.0
14 Washington over 96 Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
166 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 248 Delaware State 35.0 to 14.0
109 Fresno State over 182 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 21.0
7 Georgia over 26 Texas A&M 31.5 to 14.0
123 Georgia State over 200 South Alabama 35.0 to 21.0
5 Michigan over 33 Indiana 35.0 to 21.0
35 Louisiana - Lafayette over 93 Troy State 42.0 to 28.0
125 Middle Tennessee State over 205 Old Dominion 35.0 to 21.0
39 North Carolina over 202 Mercer 45.5 to 21.0
138 North Dakota over 188 Southern Utah 38.5 to 24.5
16 Minnesota over 146 Northwestern 31.5 to 14.0
15 Notre Dame over 57 Boston College 42.0 to 21.0
53 Michigan State over 154 Rutgers 31.5 to 14.0
135 Southeast Missouri State over 206 Murray State 31.5 to 17.5
21 Southern California over 72 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 24.5
29 North Dakota State over 120 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
67 Florida Atlantic over 198 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 21.0
41 Virginia over 131 Liberty 38.5 to 17.5
141 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 222 Virginia Military 38.5 to 28.0
22 Washington State over 65 Oregon State 45.5 to 31.5
70-80% chance of victory:
86 Buffalo over 147 Toledo 35.0 to 24.5
119 Southeast Louisiana over 187 Nicholls State 38.5 to 24.5
95 Wyoming over 134 Colorado State 35.0 to 24.5
31 Cincinnati over 81 Temple 31.5 to 17.5
136 East Carolina over 214 Connecticut 38.5 to 28.0
233 Morgan State over 254 Howard 38.5 to 24.5
50 Kentucky over 137 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 14.0
44 Sacramento State over 113 California - Davis 35.0 to 24.5
71 South Dakota State over 157 South Dakota 38.5 to 24.5
24 Memphis over 112 South Florida 38.5 to 24.5
59 Towson over 122 Elon 31.5 to 21.0
92 Villanova over 158 Delaware 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
142 Northern Illinois over 152 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
133 Georgia Tech over 126 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
211 Northwestern State over 231 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 31.5
184 Central Arkansas over 227 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 24.5
82 Louisiana Tech over 132 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 24.5
25 Baylor over 23 Texas 35.0 to 31.5
204 Charleston Southern over 203 Campbell 28.0 to 24.5
183 Cornell over 192 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
171 Davidson over 207 Drake 31.5 to 24.5
101 Central Connecticut over 194 Duquesne 31.5 to 21.0
201 Fordham over 218 Bucknell 31.5 to 28.0
149 Holy Cross over 189 Georgetown 24.5 to 17.5
168 Alcorn State over 228 Jackson State 35.0 to 24.5
165 Jacksonville State over 145 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
105 Ball State over 139 Kent State 35.0 to 31.5
195 McNeese State over 245 Lamar 31.5 to 21.0
210 Lehigh over 209 Lafayette 24.5 to 21.0
56 Louisville over 85 Syracuse 38.5 to 31.5
46 Missouri over 49 Tennessee 28.0 to 21.0
199 Indiana State over 223 Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
40 Montana over 80 Montana State 31.5 to 28.0
242 Stetson over 243 Morehead State 31.5 to 28.0
32 Navy over 36 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 38.5
167 Florida A&M over 213 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 24.5
129 San Jose State over 176 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 31.5
124 New Hampshire over 98 Maine 28.0 to 24.5
215 New Mexico State over 235 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
156 South Carolina State over 190 Norfolk State 31.5 to 24.5
99 Marshall over 151 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 28.0
143 Coastal Carolina over 162 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 35.0
150 Northern Arizona over 163 Idaho 35.0 to 31.5
173 California Poly over 219 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
108 Princeton over 155 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 28.0
144 North Texas over 179 Rice 31.5 to 28.0
128 Richmond over 121 William & Mary 28.0 to 24.5
175 Sacred Heart over 196 Robert Morris 28.0 to 24.5
75 Southern Mississippi over 100 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
76 Stanford over 68 California 21.0 to 17.5
186 Tennessee Tech over 221 Tennessee State 38.5 to 31.5
27 Kansas State over 55 Texas Tech 31.5 to 28.0
73 Wofford over 140 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
20 Central Florida over 45 Tulane 42.0 to 35.0
48 Boise State over 116 Utah State 31.5 to 24.5
30 Virginia Tech over 42 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 21.0
238 Wagner over 237 Bryant 24.5 to 21.0
60 Wake Forest over 79 Duke 31.5 to 28.0
34 Oklahoma State over 84 West Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
61 Yale over 127 Harvard 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
115 Arkansas State over 102 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 31.5
118 San Diego State over 117 Hawaii 24.5 to 24.5
69 Nebraska over 88 Maryland 31.5 to 31.5
111 Albany over 148 Stony Brook 24.5 to 24.5
77 Houston over 87 Tulsa 31.5 to 31.5
246 Valparaiso over 240 Marist 28.0 to 28.0
177 Vanderbilt over 191 East Tennessee State 21.0 to 21.0
153 Illinois State over 164 Youngstown State 24.5 to 24.5
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