ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
70-80% chance of victory:
5 North Dakota State over 239 Butler 59.5 to 14.0
37 Texas Christian over 254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 66.5 to 17.5
24 Washington State over 206 New Mexico State 63.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
86 Alabama - Birmingham over 251 Alabama State 49.0 to 21.0
53 Arizona State over 194 Kent State 52.5 to 24.5
159 Austin Peay over 224 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 31.5
195 Bowling Green over 229 Morgan State 42.0 to 35.0
25 Utah over 77 Brigham Young 35.0 to 28.0
88 Buffalo over 245 Robert Morris 52.5 to 28.0
18 Central Florida over 203 Florida A&M 56.0 to 24.5
66 Cincinnati over 84 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 31.5
1 Clemson over 45 Georgia Tech 52.5 to 24.5
102 Delaware over 248 Delaware State 52.5 to 17.5
213 Eastern Kentucky over 236 Valparaiso 42.0 to 31.5
19 South Dakota State over 63 Minnesota 42.0 to 35.0
104 Western Illinois over 226 North Alabama 52.5 to 38.5
178 North Carolina - Charlot over 237 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 28.0
136 Richmond over 249 Jacksonville 56.0 to 31.5
83 Jacksonville State over 215 Southeast Louisiana 49.0 to 31.5
121 Southeast Missouri State over 134 Southern Illinois 45.5 to 38.5
82 Stony Brook over 212 Bryant 52.5 to 28.0
170 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 192 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
182 Tennessee - Martin over 221 Northwestern State 42.0 to 31.5
15 Texas A&M over 208 Texas State - San Marcos 56.0 to 17.5
39 Army over 214 Rice 52.5 to 17.5
105 Maine over 180 Sacred Heart 42.0 to 28.0
65 Michigan State over 141 Tulsa 38.5 to 21.0
80 Colorado over 145 Colorado State 45.5 to 31.5
47 Purdue over 116 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 35.0
21 Oklahoma State over 144 Oregon State 59.5 to 38.5
31 Wisconsin over 115 South Florida 42.0 to 31.5
79 Air Force over 148 Colgate 35.0 to 24.5
43 Appalachian State over 169 East Tennessee State 45.5 to 21.0
113 Arkansas over 197 Portland State 45.5 to 31.5
98 Arkansas State over 124 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 38.5
72 Baylor over 243 Stephen F. Austin 52.5 to 24.5
40 Boston College over 68 Virginia Tech 42.0 to 31.5
230 Georgetown over 244 Davidson 38.5 to 35.0
130 Furman over 200 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 28.0
11 Iowa over 109 Miami - Ohio 45.5 to 21.0
35 Iowa State over 81 Northern Iowa 35.0 to 28.0
57 Kansas State over 143 Nicholls State 42.0 to 24.5
36 Kentucky over 75 Toledo 45.5 to 35.0
34 Syracuse over 140 Liberty 52.5 to 35.0
17 Louisiana State over 93 Georgia Southern 45.5 to 24.5
100 Marshall over 242 Virginia Military 56.0 to 24.5
78 Maryland over 198 Howard 52.5 to 35.0
9 Michigan over 94 Middle Tennessee State 49.0 to 24.5
2 Alabama over 42 Duke 49.0 to 24.5
8 Auburn over 48 Oregon 42.0 to 31.5
107 Navy over 150 Holy Cross 38.5 to 35.0
67 Nebraska over 193 South Alabama 52.5 to 28.0
27 Boise State over 69 Florida State 38.5 to 35.0
70 Indiana over 185 Ball State 49.0 to 28.0
7 Mississippi State over 127 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 24.5
32 North Carolina State over 164 East Carolina 52.5 to 28.0
91 North Texas over 209 Abilene Christian 45.5 to 31.5
46 South Carolina over 90 North Carolina 42.0 to 35.0
49 Ohio over 122 Rhode Island 45.5 to 35.0
6 Ohio State over 89 Florida Atlantic 59.5 to 31.5
157 Old Dominion over 233 Norfolk State 42.0 to 31.5
10 Penn State over 188 Idaho 56.0 to 21.0
117 Wofford over 211 South Carolina State 35.0 to 24.5
28 Stanford over 50 Northwestern 38.5 to 28.0
234 Stetson over 250 Presbyterian 38.5 to 28.0
64 Temple over 235 Bucknell 49.0 to 21.0
85 Tennessee over 173 Georgia State 45.5 to 24.5
175 Tennessee State over 255 Mississippi Valley State 56.0 to 28.0
160 Samford over 240 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 31.5
23 Texas over 126 Louisiana Tech 45.5 to 24.5
223 Texas - El Paso over 256 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 28.0
179 Prairie View over 252 Texas Southern 45.5 to 28.0
44 Texas Tech over 131 Montana State 49.0 to 35.0
87 Troy State over 218 Campbell 38.5 to 21.0
3 Georgia over 58 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 28.0
16 Washington over 33 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 31.5
139 Mercer over 191 Western Carolina 45.5 to 42.0
186 William & Mary over 238 Lafayette 35.0 to 21.0
12 Missouri over 112 Wyoming 42.0 to 28.0
199 Bethune - Cookman over 241 Jackson State 31.5 to 24.5
4 Oklahoma over 74 Houston 66.5 to 42.0
13 Notre Dame over 132 Louisville 49.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
171 Albany over 181 Central Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
227 Wagner over 220 Connecticut 42.0 to 38.5
168 Northern Arizona over 176 Missouri State 38.5 to 35.0
187 San Jose State over 201 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 38.5
114 Tulane over 108 Florida International 35.0 to 35.0
149 Western Kentucky over 163 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 35.0
165 Rutgers over 162 Massachusetts 42.0 to 38.5
22 Utah State over 62 Wake Forest 45.5 to 42.0
73 California over 76 California - Davis 38.5 to 35.0
142 San Diego over 167 California Poly 45.5 to 42.0
96 Eastern Michigan over 153 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 35.0
177 Central Connecticut over 225 Fordham 38.5 to 35.0
135 Illinois over 161 Akron 38.5 to 31.5
97 Kansas over 133 Indiana State 42.0 to 38.5
204 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 219 Lehigh 35.0 to 31.5
172 Southern over 216 McNeese State 35.0 to 31.5
56 Memphis over 55 Mississippi 52.5 to 49.0
138 Nevada - Las Vegas over 189 Southern Utah 42.0 to 38.5
174 Sam Houston State over 155 New Mexico 42.0 to 42.0
128 North Carolina A&T over 120 Elon 31.5 to 28.0
147 North Dakota over 190 Drake 31.5 to 28.0
152 Northeast Louisiana over 210 Grambling 38.5 to 38.5
71 Illinois State over 110 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
52 Pittsburgh over 54 Virginia 35.0 to 31.5
101 San Diego State over 99 Weber State 28.0 to 28.0
118 South Dakota over 129 Montana 45.5 to 42.0
60 Southern California over 30 Fresno State 35.0 to 31.5
123 Southern Mississippi over 156 Alcorn State 38.5 to 35.0
196 Texas - San Antonio over 207 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 35.0
106 Towson over 137 The Citadel 42.0 to 38.5
125 Western Michigan over 154 Monmouth 49.0 to 45.5
14 West Virginia over 29 James Madison 38.5 to 38.5
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