2020 Week 4 (24-26 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  43 Appalachian State         over  208 Campbell                   38.5 to 17.5
   1 Brigham Young             over  119 Troy State                 56.0 to 17.5
 169 Northeast Louisiana       over  252 Texas - El Paso            35.0 to 17.5
  14 Notre Dame                over   60 Wake Forest                38.5 to 24.5
  20 Southern Methodist        over  250 Stephen F. Austin          73.5 to 24.5
 167 The Citadel               over  237 Eastern Kentucky           42.0 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  84 South Alabama             over  148 Alabama - Birmingham       35.0 to 24.5
   8 Oklahoma                  over   32 Kansas State               42.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 177 Texas - San Antonio       over  246 Middle Tennessee State     38.5 to 21.0
   6 Georgia                   over  130 Arkansas                   49.0 to 17.5
  29 Arkansas State            over  104 Tulsa                      38.5 to 28.0
  13 Auburn                    over   30 Kentucky                   35.0 to 21.0
  25 Baylor                    over  113 Kansas                     45.5 to 24.5
  69 Boston College            over  110 Texas State - San Marcos   42.0 to 28.0
 187 Central Arkansas          over  218 Missouri State             31.5 to 21.0
  36 Cincinnati                over   50 Army                       21.0 to 17.5
  19 Central Florida           over  153 East Carolina              52.5 to 28.0
  51 Florida Atlantic          over  149 South Florida              42.0 to 21.0
  73 Houston                   over  118 North Texas                52.5 to 35.0
  41 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  108 Georgia Southern           35.0 to 24.5
   4 Louisiana State           over   42 Mississippi State          52.5 to 24.5
  98 Louisiana Tech            over  170 Houston Baptist            45.5 to 24.5
  67 Miami - Florida           over   62 Florida State              28.0 to 24.5
   9 Florida                   over   53 Mississippi                38.5 to 28.0
   5 Alabama                   over   38 Missouri                   45.5 to 28.0
  56 Pittsburgh                over   80 Louisville                 35.0 to 24.5
  66 Tulane                    over  127 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 28.0
  97 Syracuse                  over  123 Georgia Tech               28.0 to 21.0
  26 Texas A&M                 over  129 Vanderbilt                 45.5 to 21.0
  21 Texas                     over   58 Texas Tech                 38.5 to 35.0
  35 Virginia                  over   74 Duke                       35.0 to 24.5
  40 Virginia Tech             over  106 North Carolina State       42.0 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 128 Liberty                   over  140 Florida International      35.0 to 31.5
 156 North Carolina - Charlot  over  158 Georgia State              35.0 to 31.5
  37 Oklahoma State            over   46 West Virginia              35.0 to 31.5
  54 South Carolina            over   55 Tennessee                  31.5 to 28.0
  39 Texas Christian           over   27 Iowa State                 31.5 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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