2020 Week 5 (2-3 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  61 Wake Forest               over  201 Campbell                   42.0 to 21.0
 111 Western Kentucky          over  241 Middle Tennessee State     38.5 to 17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  20 Central Florida           over  104 Tulsa                      49.0 to 24.5
  24 North Dakota State        over  168 Central Arkansas           45.5 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   5 Brigham Young             over   98 Louisiana Tech             42.0 to 10.5
  58 Alabama - Birmingham      over  167 Texas - San Antonio        45.5 to 24.5
  33 Cincinnati                over  147 South Florida              35.0 to 14.0
   2 Clemson                   over   37 Virginia                   49.0 to 17.5
  42 Oklahoma State            over  130 Kansas                     35.0 to 21.0
 109 Georgia Southern          over  207 Northeast Louisiana        38.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  46 Air Force                 over  151 Navy                       45.5 to 21.0
   3 Alabama                   over   26 Texas A&M                  42.0 to 17.5
  67 Army                      over  218 Abilene Christian          35.0 to 10.5
  34 North Carolina            over   69 Boston College             35.0 to 31.5
  32 Arkansas State            over  135 Coastal Carolina           38.5 to 35.0
  40 Virginia Tech             over   79 Duke                       31.5 to 24.5
 146 Eastern Kentucky          over  177 Houston Baptist            56.0 to 35.0
   8 Florida                   over   53 South Carolina             38.5 to 14.0
  49 Florida Atlantic          over  149 North Carolina - Charlot   45.5 to 24.5
  89 Florida State             over  150 Jacksonville State         35.0 to 28.0
   6 Georgia                   over   12 Auburn                     28.0 to 17.5
  14 Oklahoma                  over   35 Iowa State                 38.5 to 31.5
  36 Kansas State              over   63 Texas Tech                 38.5 to 28.0
  29 Kentucky                  over   54 Mississippi                31.5 to 21.0
 124 Liberty                   over  219 North Alabama              45.5 to 31.5
  17 Marshall                  over  180 Rice                       38.5 to 10.5
  43 Mississippi State         over  131 Arkansas                   42.0 to 21.0
 140 North Texas               over  215 Southern Mississippi       45.5 to 38.5
  65 Pittsburgh                over  106 North Carolina State       31.5 to 21.0
 119 Troy State                over  181 South Alabama              31.5 to 28.0
  22 Southern Methodist        over   27 Memphis                    42.0 to 31.5
  16 Texas                     over   38 Texas Christian            42.0 to 28.0
   4 Louisiana State           over  123 Vanderbilt                 49.0 to 14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 158 Georgia State             over  155 East Carolina              38.5 to 38.5
  52 Tennessee                 over   41 Missouri                   28.0 to 24.5
  25 Baylor                    over   55 West Virginia              31.5 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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