ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
10 Cincinnati over 163 East Carolina 49.0 to 10.5
48 Appalachian State over 144 Georgia State 45.5 to 21.0
133 Arkansas State over 235 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 24.5
24 Central Florida over 146 Temple 49.0 to 24.5
4 Florida over 41 Arkansas 45.5 to 21.0
34 Kentucky over 150 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 10.5
35 Marshall over 212 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 7.0
2 Ohio State over 80 Maryland 49.0 to 24.5
99 San Jose State over 181 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
83 Alabama - Birmingham over 193 North Texas 49.0 to 24.5
8 Notre Dame over 67 Boston College 35.0 to 17.5
130 Central Arkansas over 184 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
116 Georgia Southern over 152 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 17.5
81 Houston over 165 South Florida 38.5 to 24.5
58 Louisiana - Lafayette over 167 South Alabama 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
51 Boise State over 135 Colorado State 42.0 to 24.5
1 Alabama over 20 Louisiana State 45.5 to 35.0
16 Auburn over 66 Mississippi State 28.0 to 14.0
5 Georgia over 40 Missouri 31.5 to 21.0
46 North Carolina State over 115 Florida State 38.5 to 28.0
84 San Diego State over 105 Hawaii 28.0 to 21.0
12 Texas A&M over 59 Tennessee 35.0 to 21.0
129 Texas - San Antonio over 183 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 17.5
153 Western Kentucky over 215 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
128 Kent State over 237 Bowling Green 38.5 to 24.5
71 Buffalo over 121 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 21.0
86 Ohio over 249 Akron 45.5 to 10.5
93 Western Michigan over 127 Toledo 42.0 to 31.5
13 Utah over 85 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 24.5
87 Florida Atlantic over 159 Florida International 28.0 to 21.0
29 Southern California over 90 Arizona 42.0 to 31.5
78 Pittsburgh over 131 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
79 Liberty over 229 Western Carolina 49.0 to 24.5
108 Louisiana Tech over 173 Rice 35.0 to 24.5
26 Indiana over 73 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5
28 Mississippi over 57 South Carolina 42.0 to 35.0
97 Memphis over 158 Navy 38.5 to 31.5
21 Penn State over 60 Nebraska 35.0 to 24.5
123 Nevada - Reno over 192 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
25 North Carolina over 33 Wake Forest 38.5 to 35.0
111 Rutgers over 112 Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
62 Stanford over 89 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
39 Baylor over 92 Texas Tech 35.0 to 31.5
42 Coastal Carolina over 102 Troy State 31.5 to 24.5
45 Army over 70 Tulane 28.0 to 24.5
101 Fresno State over 161 Utah State 31.5 to 24.5
49 Virginia over 55 Louisville 35.0 to 31.5
15 Washington over 69 Oregon State 45.5 to 21.0
7 Oregon over 31 Washington State 38.5 to 31.5
36 West Virginia over 37 Texas Christian 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
114 Ball State over 119 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
142 Northern Illinois over 124 Central Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
44 Arizona State over 52 California 28.0 to 21.0
14 Michigan over 6 Wisconsin 28.0 to 28.0
17 Iowa over 27 Minnesota 28.0 to 28.0
47 Northwestern over 56 Purdue 24.5 to 21.0
53 Southern Methodist over 74 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5
23 Miami - Florida over 38 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 31.5
63 Air Force over 96 Wyoming 21.0 to 21.0
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