rnk u spd off def rnk u spd off def 1 5 13 8.8 7.7 Georgia 130 52 0 7.9 4.7 Eastern Michigan 2 6 13 10.0 6.1 Ohio State 131 37 0 7.5 5.1 Georgia Tech 3 6 12 9.2 6.8 Alabama 132 61 0 7.3 5.3 California - Davis 4 12 11 9.2 6.6 Michigan 133 42 0 7.1 5.5 Florida Atlantic 5 7 10 8.9 6.6 Notre Dame 134 52 0 7.3 5.3 Arizona 6 12 10 9.1 6.3 Utah 135 37 0 7.6 4.9 Buffalo 7 15 9 8.7 6.6 Oklahoma State 136 51 0 7.6 4.9 South Florida 8 8 8 8.0 7.0 North Dakota State 137 53 0 8.3 4.2 Kent State 9 17 9 9.3 5.8 Oklahoma 138 46 0 7.0 5.6 Stony Brook 10 10 8 8.6 6.4 James Madison 139 51 0 7.7 4.8 Youngstown State 11 21 8 8.5 6.5 Cincinnati 140 33 0 7.2 5.4 Mercer 12 18 8 8.0 6.9 Baylor 141 55 0 6.8 5.8 Illinois State 13 11 8 7.8 7.0 Clemson 142 39 0 6.9 5.6 Furman 14 38 8 8.7 6.1 Pittsburgh 143 46 0 7.6 4.9 Austin Peay 15 67 8 9.6 5.2 Western Kentucky 144 52 0 7.4 5.0 Nicholls State 16 21 7 8.1 6.6 Wisconsin 145 25 0 8.4 3.9 Samford 17 54 8 8.7 6.0 Michigan State 146 55 0 7.1 5.3 Columbia 18 38 7 7.9 6.8 Penn State 147 43 0 6.8 5.6 Delaware 19 26 8 9.5 5.2 Wake Forest 148 27 0 7.3 5.0 Rhode Island 20 22 7 8.4 6.2 Iowa State 149 31 0 7.5 4.7 Portland State 21 12 7 7.9 6.6 Texas A&M 150 66 0 7.4 4.9 Nevada - Las Vegas 22 38 7 9.5 5.1 Tennessee 151 43 0 7.7 4.5 Virginia Military 23 19 7 8.5 6.1 Kentucky 152 63 0 7.3 5.0 Texas - El Paso 24 30 7 8.4 6.2 Arkansas 153 39 0 8.0 4.2 Fordham 25 45 7 8.6 6.0 Purdue 154 55 0 7.2 5.0 Towson 26 20 7 8.3 6.2 North Carolina State 155 62 -1 7.7 4.5 Kansas 27 45 7 9.1 5.4 California - Los Angeles 156 42 -1 7.2 5.0 Eastern Kentucky 28 26 7 8.0 6.5 Kansas State 157 57 -1 6.8 5.4 San Jose State 29 18 7 8.7 5.8 South Dakota State 158 40 -1 7.2 5.0 Ball State 30 35 6 8.2 6.1 Nebraska 159 30 -1 7.2 4.9 Ohio 31 23 6 8.3 6.0 Mississippi 160 30 -1 7.0 5.1 Troy State 32 29 6 8.1 6.3 Boise State 161 35 -1 7.6 4.5 Louisiana Tech 33 26 6 8.0 6.3 Auburn 162 53 -1 7.0 5.2 Albany 34 32 6 8.0 6.3 Louisiana - Lafayette 163 16 -1 7.0 5.1 Charleston Southern 35 26 6 7.8 6.5 Minnesota 164 31 -1 7.7 4.3 Western Illinois 36 39 6 8.9 5.3 Texas 165 49 -1 6.6 5.5 Pennsylvania 37 33 6 8.5 5.7 Miami - Florida 166 34 -1 8.1 3.8 Western Carolina 38 44 5 8.2 6.0 Air Force 167 39 -1 7.0 5.1 South Alabama 39 38 5 8.3 5.8 Houston 168 45 -1 7.4 4.5 Duke 40 74 5 8.2 5.8 Utah State 169 70 -1 6.5 5.5 Florida A&M 41 46 5 8.4 5.7 Oregon 170 26 -2 7.0 4.9 Campbell 42 26 5 9.1 4.9 Eastern Washington 171 62 -2 7.5 4.4 Central Arkansas 43 39 5 8.1 5.9 Washington State 172 58 -1 6.7 5.3 North Carolina A&T 44 42 5 8.4 5.6 Texas Tech 173 48 -2 7.0 5.0 Vanderbilt 45 58 5 7.7 6.3 Iowa 174 52 -2 7.2 4.6 Northeast Louisiana 46 23 5 7.9 6.1 Arizona State 175 27 -2 6.8 5.1 Georgia Southern 47 20 5 8.6 5.4 Brigham Young 176 62 -2 6.6 5.2 New Hampshire 48 71 5 8.6 5.3 Maryland 177 67 -2 6.1 5.9 Sacred Heart 49 21 5 8.2 5.8 Appalachian State 178 63 -2 6.9 4.9 Duquesne 50 31 5 7.6 6.4 Montana State 179 32 -2 7.1 4.8 Idaho 51 60 5 8.4 5.5 Oregon State 180 29 -2 6.7 5.2 Indiana State 52 31 5 7.8 6.1 Villanova 181 43 -2 7.4 4.3 North Alabama 53 25 5 8.2 5.7 Florida State 182 35 -2 7.6 4.2 Arkansas State 54 56 5 8.1 5.7 Mississippi State 183 32 -2 7.3 4.5 North Carolina - Charlot 55 23 5 8.8 5.1 North Carolina 184 61 -2 7.0 4.8 Jacksonville State 56 39 4 7.8 6.1 Harvard 185 28 -2 7.3 4.4 Gardner - Webb 57 45 5 8.8 5.1 Southern Methodist 186 65 -2 6.8 5.0 South Carolina State 58 46 4 8.5 5.3 Louisville 187 89 -2 7.6 4.1 Davidson 59 36 4 7.1 6.8 Northern Iowa 188 63 -2 6.3 5.5 Jackson State 60 36 4 8.0 5.8 Louisiana State 189 48 -2 7.0 4.7 Bowling Green 61 49 4 8.1 5.7 Fresno State 190 27 -2 7.3 4.3 Northern Arizona 62 57 4 8.7 5.1 Nevada - Reno 191 36 -2 7.2 4.5 Southeast Missouri State 63 52 4 7.6 6.1 Dartmouth 192 34 -2 7.0 4.7 Texas State - San Marcos 64 28 4 8.0 5.8 Florida 193 28 -3 7.9 3.7 Brown 65 33 4 8.5 5.2 Virginia 194 62 -2 6.5 5.2 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 66 44 4 7.6 6.1 San Diego State 195 26 -3 7.1 4.5 Hampton 67 51 4 7.9 5.8 Princeton 196 78 -3 6.3 5.3 McNeese State 68 39 4 8.1 5.6 Liberty 197 35 -3 6.6 5.0 Southern Mississippi 69 35 3 7.4 6.2 California 198 42 -3 6.3 5.3 New Mexico 70 24 4 8.4 5.2 Coastal Carolina 199 33 -3 6.8 4.7 Rice 71 53 3 7.8 5.8 Tulsa 200 53 -3 6.8 4.7 Bryant 72 31 3 8.6 5.0 Missouri State 201 40 -3 6.6 5.0 Cornell 73 44 3 7.6 6.0 Weber State 202 46 -3 7.7 3.7 Alabama A&M 74 55 3 8.3 5.2 Western Michigan 203 41 -3 7.5 3.9 New Mexico State 75 31 3 7.7 5.9 Army 204 41 -3 7.1 4.3 Norfolk State 76 46 3 8.2 5.3 Southern California 205 52 -3 6.7 4.7 Wofford 77 49 3 7.6 6.0 West Virginia 206 41 -4 6.4 5.0 Colgate 78 23 3 7.8 5.7 Central Florida 207 21 -4 6.9 4.4 The Citadel 79 59 3 8.0 5.5 Central Michigan 208 59 -4 6.6 4.7 Abilene Christian 80 46 3 7.5 6.0 Washington 209 56 -4 6.6 4.6 Alcorn State 81 46 3 7.7 5.8 Kennesaw State 210 50 -4 6.7 4.5 Prairie View 82 27 3 8.0 5.4 Southern Illinois 211 22 -4 6.1 5.2 Lafayette 83 43 3 7.3 6.2 Montana 212 91 -4 6.4 4.8 San Diego 84 39 3 8.0 5.5 Toledo 213 15 -4 6.7 4.5 Robert Morris 85 35 3 7.8 5.7 South Dakota 214 34 -4 6.9 4.2 Akron 86 40 3 8.0 5.4 Marshall 215 28 -4 6.6 4.5 Temple 87 45 3 7.9 5.6 Alabama - Birmingham 216 38 -5 6.6 4.4 North Carolina Central 88 49 3 8.1 5.3 East Carolina 217 41 -5 6.4 4.7 Central Connecticut 89 56 3 8.3 5.1 Sam Houston State 218 32 -5 6.8 4.2 Connecticut 90 68 3 7.5 5.9 Illinois 219 70 -5 6.8 4.2 Valparaiso 91 39 3 8.2 5.1 Missouri 220 16 -5 6.4 4.6 Idaho State 92 49 2 7.9 5.4 Georgia State 221 23 -5 6.4 4.6 Murray State 93 37 2 7.4 5.9 South Carolina 222 54 -5 6.8 4.1 Southern 94 56 2 8.3 4.9 Texas - San Antonio 223 41 -5 7.0 3.9 Bethune - Cookman 95 49 2 7.6 5.7 Holy Cross 224 75 -5 7.0 3.9 Dayton 96 38 2 7.6 5.7 Syracuse 225 27 -5 6.4 4.6 Tennessee State 97 62 2 7.8 5.5 Miami - Ohio 226 33 -5 6.7 4.2 Howard 98 46 2 8.2 5.0 Texas Christian 227 47 -5 6.7 4.2 Southern Utah 99 48 2 8.0 5.2 Yale 228 ** -5 6.4 4.5 Saint Thomas - Minnesota 100 23 2 7.4 5.9 Boston College 229 18 -5 6.7 4.1 Florida International 101 31 2 7.9 5.3 East Tennessee State 230 ** -5 6.7 4.1 Tarleton State 102 58 2 7.4 5.7 Colorado 231 41 -6 6.6 4.2 California Poly 103 64 2 7.7 5.4 Middle Tennessee State 232 27 -6 7.3 3.4 Texas Southern 104 50 2 7.5 5.6 Sacramento State 233 29 -5 6.0 4.8 Northern Colorado 105 36 2 7.9 5.2 Memphis 234 29 -6 5.7 5.2 Lehigh 106 36 2 7.1 6.0 North Dakota 235 37 -6 6.4 4.4 Delaware State 107 55 2 7.3 5.8 Navy 236 ** -6 6.7 4.0 Dixie State 108 47 2 7.7 5.4 Wyoming 237 28 -6 6.4 4.3 Georgetown 109 50 2 8.9 4.1 Southeast Louisiana 238 22 -6 6.7 3.9 Massachusetts 110 47 1 7.7 5.3 Tulane 239 69 -6 6.7 3.9 Morehead State 111 46 1 7.5 5.5 Virginia Tech 240 ** -7 8.2 2.1 Merrimack 112 56 1 6.8 6.1 Tennessee - Chattanooga 241 58 -6 5.9 4.8 Grambling 113 30 1 7.4 5.5 Elon 242 22 -6 6.2 4.4 Tennessee Tech 114 45 1 7.4 5.5 Richmond 243 34 -7 6.3 4.2 Mississippi Valley State 115 38 1 7.3 5.6 William & Mary 244 26 -7 6.1 4.4 Alabama State 116 68 1 7.9 5.0 Hawaii 245 24 -7 5.8 4.8 Eastern Illinois 117 59 1 7.4 5.4 Indiana 246 40 -7 6.1 4.3 Northwestern State 118 61 1 7.7 5.1 Old Dominion 247 75 -7 5.8 4.6 Marist 119 54 1 7.5 5.4 Stanford 248 17 -7 5.9 4.4 Morgan State 120 64 1 7.7 5.2 North Texas 249 76 -8 6.3 3.7 Long Island 121 53 1 8.2 4.6 Northern Illinois 250 69 -8 5.1 5.1 Drake 122 55 1 8.2 4.6 Incarnate Word 251 31 -9 5.9 4.0 Lamar 123 45 0 7.9 4.9 Monmouth 252 9 -9 6.1 3.6 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 124 47 0 7.7 5.1 Colorado State 253 11 -9 5.6 4.2 Bucknell 125 59 0 7.2 5.5 Northwestern 254 32 -10 5.7 3.8 Butler 126 61 0 6.9 5.8 Rutgers 255 43 -10 5.6 4.0 Stetson 127 43 0 7.5 5.2 Maine 256 8 -10 5.4 4.2 Wagner 128 37 0 7.3 5.4 Tennessee - Martin 257 8 -14 6.7 1.8 Presbyterian 129 60 0 7.3 5.4 Stephen F. Austin 258 7 -14 5.7 2.8 Houston Baptist
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
played all other teams.
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).
spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
played all other teams.
off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
yards of offense per down in a model simulation.
def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
in a model simulation.
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net