2021 Week 2 (10-11 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

   1 Alabama                   over  196 Mercer                     70.0 to 14.0
  58 Purdue                    over  240 Connecticut                45.5 to 17.5
   4 Oklahoma                  over  231 Western Carolina           66.5 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  16 Auburn                    over  229 Alabama State              52.5 to 10.5
  47 Baylor                    over  257 Texas Southern             59.5 to 14.0
  30 Central Florida           over  214 Bethune - Cookman          52.5 to 21.0
   3 Clemson                   over  168 South Carolina State       49.0 to 10.5
  77 Maryland                  over  255 Howard                     52.5 to 17.5
  53 Boston College            over  249 Massachusetts              56.0 to 17.5
  26 North Dakota State        over  251 Valparaiso                 56.0 to  7.0
  40 Virginia                  over  137 Illinois                   45.5 to 21.0
  38 West Virginia             over  254 Long Island                49.0 to 10.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  44 Boise State               over   83 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 21.0
  42 Coastal Carolina          over  166 Kansas                     42.0 to 21.0
 158 Temple                    over  243 Akron                      31.5 to 17.5
 116 Albany                    over  153 Rhode Island               35.0 to 28.0
 223 Alcorn State              over  228 Northwestern State         35.0 to 24.5
  72 San Diego State           over  122 Arizona                    28.0 to 21.0
  27 Arizona State             over  182 Nevada - Las Vegas         49.0 to 17.5
  11 Texas                     over   61 Arkansas                   42.0 to 31.5
  91 Memphis                   over  124 Arkansas State             38.5 to 35.0
  65 Army                      over  139 Western Kentucky           31.5 to 14.0
 174 South Alabama             over  250 Bowling Green              31.5 to 17.5
 184 Sacred Heart              over  233 Bryant                     31.5 to 24.5
 115 Elon                      over  208 Campbell                   35.0 to 21.0
 108 Central Michigan          over  212 Robert Morris              38.5 to 28.0
  14 Cincinnati                over  193 Murray State               49.0 to 14.0
 135 Stony Brook               over  211 Colgate                    28.0 to 17.5
 130 Colorado State            over  152 Vanderbilt                 35.0 to 28.0
 173 Dayton                    over  234 Eastern Illinois           42.0 to 28.0
 138 Delaware                  over  188 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   31.5 to 17.5
 200 Georgetown                over  247 Delaware State             35.0 to 21.0
  90 Weber State               over  248 Dixie State                59.5 to 38.5
  81 South Carolina            over  127 East Carolina              38.5 to 31.5
 157 Florida International     over  149 Texas State - San Marcos   35.0 to 28.0
  85 Florida State             over  164 Jacksonville State         38.5 to 21.0
 125 Monmouth                  over  205 Fordham                    38.5 to 31.5
  36 Fresno State              over  170 California Poly            42.0 to 17.5
   5 Georgia                   over   86 Alabama - Birmingham       38.5 to 10.5
  89 Kennesaw State            over  111 Georgia Tech               35.0 to 31.5
 177 Houston Baptist           over  227 Northern Colorado          42.0 to 31.5
 160 Prairie View              over  220 Incarnate Word             45.5 to 35.0
  23 Indiana                   over  156 Idaho                      42.0 to 17.5
  17 James Madison             over  112 Maine                      45.5 to 21.0
  63 Kansas State              over  119 Southern Illinois          31.5 to 24.5
 118 Kent State                over  217 Virginia Military          49.0 to 35.0
  55 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  165 Nicholls State             38.5 to 21.0
  19 Louisiana State           over  185 McNeese State              49.0 to 17.5
  50 Louisville                over  176 Eastern Kentucky           42.0 to 21.0
  74 Marshall                  over  202 North Carolina Central     28.0 to 10.5
  32 Miami - Florida           over   52 Appalachian State          31.5 to 24.5
  29 Michigan                  over   31 Washington                 31.5 to 24.5
  73 Michigan State            over  128 Youngstown State           31.5 to 28.0
  35 Minnesota                 over  131 Miami - Ohio               42.0 to 21.0
  25 Mississippi               over  180 Austin Peay                45.5 to 21.0
  45 Mississippi State         over   62 North Carolina State       31.5 to 24.5
 123 Central Arkansas          over  204 Missouri State             35.0 to 28.0
  66 Montana                   over  207 Western Illinois           42.0 to 21.0
  78 Montana State             over  201 Drake                      38.5 to 21.0
  64 Air Force                 over  159 Navy                       31.5 to 17.5
   8 Texas A&M                 over   82 Colorado                   38.5 to 21.0
  43 Buffalo                   over   97 Nebraska                   35.0 to 28.0
  93 Nevada - Reno             over  199 Idaho State                42.0 to 24.5
 167 New Mexico                over  226 New Mexico State           31.5 to 21.0
  24 North Carolina            over  132 Georgia State              49.0 to 24.5
 147 North Carolina - Charlot  over  232 Gardner - Webb             38.5 to 24.5
  96 Wyoming                   over  154 Northern Illinois          28.0 to 21.0
  34 Northwestern              over  197 Indiana State              38.5 to 14.0
   6 Notre Dame                over   95 Toledo                     45.5 to 17.5
 219 Tennessee State           over  239 Jackson State              31.5 to 28.0
 107 Ohio                      over  206 Duquesne                   35.0 to 21.0
   2 Ohio State                over   22 Oregon                     49.0 to 24.5
  28 Oklahoma State            over   60 Tulsa                      31.5 to 21.0
  59 Oregon State              over  120 Hawaii                     42.0 to 31.5
  20 Penn State                over   69 Ball State                 38.5 to 21.0
  92 Houston                   over  146 Rice                       31.5 to 24.5
 142 Richmond                  over  225 Lehigh                     35.0 to 17.5
 148 South Dakota              over  169 Northern Arizona           42.0 to 35.0
  21 Southern California       over   51 Stanford                   38.5 to 24.5
  56 Southern Methodist        over  181 North Texas                56.0 to 31.5
 183 Grambling                 over  190 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 28.0
   9 Florida                   over  163 South Florida              49.0 to 21.0
 140 Tennessee - Martin        over  162 Samford                    38.5 to 35.0
 110 Furman                    over  216 Tennessee Tech             38.5 to 24.5
  33 Texas Christian           over   71 California                 31.5 to 17.5
 126 Texas - San Antonio       over  245 Lamar                      42.0 to 21.0
  76 Texas Tech                over  192 Stephen F. Austin          42.0 to 17.5
  48 Tulane                    over  238 Morgan State               45.5 to 14.0
  88 Villanova                 over  235 Bucknell                   45.5 to 14.0
  54 Virginia Tech             over  178 Middle Tennessee State     45.5 to 21.0
 129 Central Connecticut       over  241 Wagner                     38.5 to 21.0
  37 Wake Forest               over  215 Norfolk State              49.0 to 21.0
  46 Washington State          over  172 Portland State             49.0 to 28.0
 150 William & Mary            over  218 Lafayette                  28.0 to 17.5
  12 Wisconsin                 over  114 Eastern Michigan           42.0 to 14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  98 North Carolina A&T        over  101 Duke                       31.5 to 31.5
 151 Utah State                over  145 North Dakota               28.0 to 28.0
  13 Brigham Young             over   18 Utah                       28.0 to 24.5
  99 Georgia Southern          over  134 Florida Atlantic           21.0 to 21.0
  15 Iowa State                over    7 Iowa                       24.5 to 24.5
  39 Kentucky                  over   41 Missouri                   28.0 to 24.5
 136 Louisiana Tech            over  141 Southeast Louisiana        35.0 to 35.0
 117 New Hampshire             over   87 Towson                     24.5 to 24.5
 161 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  210 North Alabama              31.5 to 28.0
 203 Old Dominion              over  221 Hampton                    31.5 to 31.5
 105 Northern Iowa             over  102 Sacramento State           24.5 to 21.0
 171 Sam Houston State         over  144 Southeast Missouri State   28.0 to 28.0
 133 San Diego                 over  100 California - Davis         35.0 to 31.5
  80 Rutgers                   over  109 Syracuse                   28.0 to 28.0
  57 Tennessee                 over   49 Pittsburgh                 24.5 to 24.5
 191 The Citadel               over  194 Charleston Southern        28.0 to 28.0
  68 Liberty                   over  106 Troy State                 31.5 to 28.0
 121 Illinois State            over  104 Western Michigan           31.5 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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