ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
56 Army over 256 Connecticut 45.5 to 3.5
3 Clemson over 106 Georgia Tech 45.5 to 10.5
4 Georgia over 92 South Carolina 42.0 to 10.5
6 Iowa over 117 Kent State 45.5 to 14.0
119 Eastern Michigan over 243 Massachusetts 45.5 to 24.5
26 Michigan over 149 Northern Illinois 45.5 to 17.5
2 Ohio State over 68 Tulsa 45.5 to 17.5
187 Sacred Heart over 242 Morgan State 31.5 to 14.0
70 Tennessee over 228 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 14.0
14 Texas over 166 Rice 49.0 to 10.5
18 Texas A&M over 168 New Mexico 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
64 Louisiana - Lafayette over 127 Ohio 35.0 to 21.0
45 Arkansas over 125 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 21.0
8 California - Los Angeles over 30 Fresno State 35.0 to 21.0
41 Kentucky over 162 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 14.0
74 Liberty over 193 Old Dominion 38.5 to 17.5
22 Louisiana State over 100 Central Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
57 Marshall over 138 East Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
44 Missouri over 164 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
60 Montana State over 163 San Diego 38.5 to 17.5
20 Iowa State over 184 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 14.0
12 Notre Dame over 52 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0
47 Pittsburgh over 108 Western Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
85 Texas Tech over 173 Florida International 38.5 to 21.0
94 Toledo over 139 Colorado State 42.0 to 28.0
19 North Dakota State over 93 Towson 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
58 Air Force over 131 Utah State 35.0 to 17.5
123 Arizona over 181 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 28.0
174 Austin Peay over 250 Morehead State 42.0 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 7 Florida 42.0 to 28.0
90 Houston over 200 Grambling 35.0 to 21.0
137 Jacksonville State over 222 North Alabama 38.5 to 21.0
46 Baylor over 160 Kansas 35.0 to 17.5
105 New Hampshire over 221 Lafayette 28.0 to 10.5
78 Princeton over 230 Lehigh 42.0 to 14.0
32 Miami - Florida over 102 Michigan State 38.5 to 14.0
121 Miami - Ohio over 253 Long Island 45.5 to 17.5
5 Oklahoma over 34 Nebraska 38.5 to 17.5
17 Oregon over 126 Stony Brook 38.5 to 17.5
54 Boston College over 167 Temple 38.5 to 21.0
67 Villanova over 147 Richmond 38.5 to 21.0
35 Washington over 116 Arkansas State 42.0 to 24.5
159 Samford over 232 Western Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
83 Eastern Washington over 210 Western Illinois 45.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
79 Maryland over 104 Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
29 Central Florida over 59 Louisville 38.5 to 35.0
231 Bryant over 240 Akron 31.5 to 24.5
50 Appalachian State over 118 Elon 31.5 to 21.0
214 Bethune - Cookman over 223 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 28.0
43 Boise State over 33 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 28.0
196 Murray State over 246 Bowling Green 35.0 to 21.0
15 Brigham Young over 28 Arizona State 31.5 to 21.0
155 Pennsylvania over 241 Bucknell 35.0 to 17.5
36 Coastal Carolina over 65 Buffalo 35.0 to 31.5
72 California over 114 Sacramento State 28.0 to 17.5
73 California - Davis over 248 Dixie State 66.5 to 31.5
142 South Dakota over 172 California Poly 31.5 to 31.5
205 Campbell over 255 Presbyterian 35.0 to 17.5
134 Central Arkansas over 226 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 28.0
124 Central Connecticut over 143 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 31.5
135 Monmouth over 203 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 28.0
148 William & Mary over 218 Colgate 24.5 to 17.5
37 Minnesota over 89 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
190 Columbia over 237 Marist 38.5 to 24.5
171 Cornell over 212 Virginia Military 38.5 to 24.5
99 Duke over 81 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
115 Illinois State over 208 Eastern Illinois 10.5 to 7.0
192 East Tennessee State over 247 Delaware State 35.0 to 17.5
109 Florida Atlantic over 207 Fordham 35.0 to 17.5
110 Harvard over 201 Georgetown 31.5 to 17.5
220 Hampton over 254 Howard 38.5 to 28.0
9 Cincinnati over 23 Indiana 28.0 to 24.5
77 Kansas State over 86 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 24.5
62 Southern Methodist over 133 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 31.5
27 Mississippi over 42 Tulane 42.0 to 38.5
177 South Carolina State over 224 New Mexico State 31.5 to 17.5
24 North Carolina over 38 Virginia 38.5 to 28.0
63 North Carolina State over 101 Furman 28.0 to 21.0
151 North Dakota over 206 Drake 28.0 to 21.0
202 Northern Colorado over 245 Lamar 31.5 to 21.0
96 Northern Iowa over 239 Saint Thomas - Minnesota 63.0 to 35.0
97 Alabama - Birmingham over 185 North Texas 38.5 to 28.0
140 Tennessee - Martin over 233 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
21 Utah over 69 San Diego State 24.5 to 14.0
122 Southern Utah over 244 Tarleton State 59.5 to 42.0
61 Oregon State over 158 Idaho 42.0 to 28.0
152 Prairie View over 197 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 31.5
76 Rutgers over 132 Delaware 31.5 to 24.5
195 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 235 Wagner 24.5 to 14.0
170 South Alabama over 252 Alcorn State 17.5 to 10.5
182 Southern over 194 McNeese State 31.5 to 24.5
112 Southern Illinois over 161 Dayton 42.0 to 35.0
111 Troy State over 191 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
199 Stephen F. Austin over 258 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
107 Texas - San Antonio over 179 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 24.5
66 Dartmouth over 251 Valparaiso 49.0 to 10.5
71 Stanford over 154 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0
39 Wake Forest over 82 Florida State 38.5 to 31.5
25 Southern California over 53 Washington State 35.0 to 31.5
10 James Madison over 75 Weber State 35.0 to 17.5
40 West Virginia over 49 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
98 Wyoming over 91 Ball State 28.0 to 24.5
80 Yale over 145 Holy Cross 42.0 to 28.0
84 San Jose State over 128 Hawaii 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
157 Rhode Island over 188 Brown 38.5 to 38.5
141 Indiana State over 178 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 35.0
146 North Carolina - Charlot over 150 Georgia State 35.0 to 31.5
51 Mississippi State over 87 Memphis 31.5 to 31.5
229 Jackson State over 219 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 31.5
16 Penn State over 11 Auburn 28.0 to 28.0
183 Florida A&M over 169 South Florida 31.5 to 31.5
113 Syracuse over 120 Albany 24.5 to 24.5
144 Texas State - San Marcos over 189 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 35.0
95 Wofford over 88 Kennesaw State 31.5 to 31.5
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