ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 12 Mississippi 52.5 to 28.0
41 Coastal Carolina over 207 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 14.0
2 Georgia over 27 Arkansas 38.5 to 17.5
19 Iowa State over 179 Kansas 45.5 to 14.0
95 Yale over 252 Lehigh 38.5 to 10.5
98 Toledo over 233 Massachusetts 45.5 to 21.0
66 Montana State over 221 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 10.5
34 Central Florida over 176 Navy 42.0 to 21.0
144 Nicholls State over 237 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 21.0
14 North Dakota State over 124 North Dakota 35.0 to 14.0
126 Incarnate Word over 236 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
63 Southern Methodist over 143 South Florida 42.0 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
157 Austin Peay over 238 Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0
33 Boise State over 96 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 21.0
51 California - Davis over 171 Idaho 42.0 to 14.0
78 Weber State over 201 California Poly 31.5 to 10.5
5 Clemson over 57 Boston College 35.0 to 17.5
31 Southern California over 118 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
102 Florida Atlantic over 178 Florida International 31.5 to 17.5
44 Appalachian State over 148 Georgia State 38.5 to 21.0
23 Fresno State over 117 Hawaii 38.5 to 21.0
197 Sacred Heart over 248 Howard 31.5 to 17.5
89 Kennesaw State over 164 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 17.5
116 Kent State over 198 Bowling Green 35.0 to 21.0
52 Marshall over 165 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
152 Monmouth over 212 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 28.0
196 Dayton over 249 Morehead State 49.0 to 31.5
10 James Madison over 127 New Hampshire 38.5 to 17.5
50 Air Force over 172 New Mexico 35.0 to 14.0
28 North Carolina over 94 Duke 45.5 to 31.5
36 North Carolina State over 113 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 17.5
16 Penn State over 47 Indiana 35.0 to 21.0
58 Princeton over 181 Columbia 42.0 to 14.0
3 Ohio State over 35 Rutgers 38.5 to 24.5
141 San Jose State over 217 New Mexico State 31.5 to 14.0
177 South Carolina State over 222 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 21.0
110 South Dakota over 187 Indiana State 35.0 to 21.0
55 South Dakota State over 246 Dixie State 66.5 to 21.0
149 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 230 Western Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
175 Southeast Missouri State over 253 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 24.5
103 Texas - San Antonio over 186 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 21.0
170 Vanderbilt over 228 Connecticut 35.0 to 21.0
235 Wagner over 250 Delaware State 31.5 to 17.5
25 Wake Forest over 54 Louisville 35.0 to 24.5
71 Southern Illinois over 166 Western Illinois 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
26 Brigham Young over 109 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
22 Michigan State over 125 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 17.5
107 North Carolina A&T over 220 Robert Morris 38.5 to 17.5
81 Northern Iowa over 135 Youngstown State 31.5 to 14.0
69 Louisiana - Lafayette over 153 South Alabama 31.5 to 17.5
82 South Carolina over 119 Troy State 28.0 to 17.5
8 Oregon over 64 Stanford 35.0 to 24.5
21 Texas A&M over 70 Mississippi State 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
43 Miami - Florida over 53 Virginia 35.0 to 24.5
189 Prairie View over 229 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 24.5
15 Iowa over 73 Maryland 28.0 to 17.5
76 Dartmouth over 158 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 17.5
84 Tulsa over 85 Houston 28.0 to 28.0
136 Central Arkansas over 194 Abilene Christian 35.0 to 31.5
173 Ohio over 232 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
67 Army over 132 Ball State 31.5 to 21.0
213 Bryant over 206 Brown 35.0 to 31.5
182 Cornell over 247 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
83 Buffalo over 79 Western Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
231 Drake over 255 Butler 24.5 to 17.5
86 California over 100 Washington State 31.5 to 24.5
17 California - Los Angeles over 40 Arizona State 35.0 to 28.0
139 Delaware over 131 Albany 28.0 to 21.0
88 Tulane over 101 East Carolina 35.0 to 35.0
183 Eastern Kentucky over 242 Tarleton State 56.0 to 42.0
45 Montana over 87 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 38.5
191 Florida A&M over 226 Alabama State 31.5 to 21.0
91 Florida State over 92 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
216 Georgetown over 224 Colgate 17.5 to 14.0
156 Georgia Southern over 145 Arkansas State 38.5 to 31.5
32 Pittsburgh over 80 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
234 Grambling over 214 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 24.5
121 Illinois over 155 North Carolina - Charlot 28.0 to 24.5
129 Illinois State over 154 Missouri State 31.5 to 21.0
13 Oklahoma over 39 Kansas State 31.5 to 24.5
7 Florida over 59 Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
195 Lafayette over 169 Fordham 24.5 to 21.0
18 Louisiana State over 24 Auburn 35.0 to 28.0
104 Southeast Louisiana over 192 McNeese State 35.0 to 24.5
140 Samford over 180 Mercer 38.5 to 38.5
115 Miami - Ohio over 114 Central Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
211 North Carolina Central over 258 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 17.5
62 Missouri over 75 Tennessee 35.0 to 28.0
202 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 244 Morgan State 24.5 to 17.5
48 Nebraska over 77 Northwestern 21.0 to 14.0
161 Campbell over 219 North Alabama 31.5 to 24.5
203 Northern Arizona over 208 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
105 Eastern Michigan over 137 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0
11 Notre Dame over 9 Cincinnati 31.5 to 28.0
112 Sam Houston State over 168 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 21.0
38 Oklahoma State over 56 Baylor 28.0 to 24.5
30 Washington over 37 Oregon State 28.0 to 28.0
60 Purdue over 65 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5
133 Rhode Island over 151 Stony Brook 28.0 to 24.5
128 Richmond over 134 Elon 24.5 to 21.0
215 San Diego over 239 Saint Thomas - Minnesota 52.5 to 45.5
199 Davidson over 241 Stetson 31.5 to 28.0
97 Memphis over 159 Temple 35.0 to 28.0
6 Texas over 46 Texas Christian 38.5 to 31.5
150 Texas - El Paso over 160 Old Dominion 28.0 to 21.0
243 Valparaiso over 245 Marist 28.0 to 24.5
42 West Virginia over 72 Texas Tech 35.0 to 24.5
20 Wisconsin over 4 Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
68 Liberty over 90 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 24.5
123 Wofford over 162 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
218 Hampton over 190 Norfolk State 31.5 to 28.0
99 Harvard over 108 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
210 Murray State over 225 Eastern Illinois 21.0 to 21.0
205 Rice over 185 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 24.5
163 Portland State over 188 Southern Utah 28.0 to 24.5
193 The Citadel over 167 Virginia Military 31.5 to 31.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net