2021 Week 6 (7-9 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   5 Cincinnati                over  164 Temple                     49.0 to 10.5
 217 Bethune - Cookman         over  255 Mississippi Valley State   42.0 to 21.0
  14 Florida                   over  178 Vanderbilt                 49.0 to 10.5
  75 California - Davis        over  225 Idaho State                42.0 to 17.5
  45 Liberty                   over  146 Middle Tennessee State     42.0 to 21.0
  88 Missouri                  over  193 North Texas                49.0 to 24.5
  57 Montana State             over  205 California Poly            45.5 to 14.0
  80 Nevada - Reno             over  197 New Mexico State           45.5 to 21.0
 115 North Carolina A&T        over  213 North Alabama              38.5 to 17.5
 204 Southern                  over  254 Texas Southern             42.0 to 24.5
   4 Ohio State                over   79 Maryland                   49.0 to 21.0
 169 Pennsylvania              over  258 Lehigh                     31.5 to  7.0
 108 Sam Houston State         over  251 Lamar                      42.0 to 10.5
  46 San Diego State           over  183 New Mexico                 35.0 to  7.0
   2 Alabama                   over   29 Texas A&M                  35.0 to 17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  35 Coastal Carolina          over  167 Arkansas State             49.0 to 31.5
  31 California - Los Angeles  over  128 Arizona                    38.5 to 24.5
  51 Central Florida           over   87 East Carolina              45.5 to 35.0
 161 Fordham                   over  244 Wagner                     38.5 to 21.0
  85 Kennesaw State            over  211 Hampton                    42.0 to 21.0
  81 Harvard                   over  201 Cornell                    35.0 to 10.5
  34 Wisconsin                 over  120 Illinois                   28.0 to 14.0
  10 James Madison             over   54 Villanova                  42.0 to 28.0
 187 Lafayette                 over  245 Bucknell                   24.5 to 14.0
  64 Marshall                  over  165 Old Dominion               42.0 to 17.5
  56 Princeton                 over  148 Monmouth                   38.5 to 21.0
  52 Montana                   over  250 Dixie State                63.0 to 17.5
  60 Southern Methodist        over  163 Navy                       38.5 to 24.5
  21 North Carolina            over   90 Florida State              42.0 to 28.0
  76 Eastern Washington        over  219 Northern Colorado          45.5 to 24.5
 138 Tennessee - Martin        over  198 Murray State               31.5 to 17.5
 107 Towson                    over  168 Stony Brook                28.0 to 17.5
 155 Mercer                    over  229 Western Carolina           42.0 to 28.0
  69 Western Michigan          over  116 Ball State                 38.5 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  24 Arizona State             over   62 Stanford                   31.5 to 21.0
   1 Georgia                   over   22 Auburn                     31.5 to 17.5
 170 Bowling Green             over  231 Akron                      31.5 to 17.5
 156 Duquesne                  over  212 Bryant                     35.0 to 17.5
   9 Mississippi               over   37 Arkansas                   42.0 to 31.5
 157 Georgia State             over  214 Northeast Louisiana        35.0 to 28.0
 192 Saint Francis - Pennsylv  over  253 Long Island                38.5 to 17.5
  92 Toledo                    over  129 Northern Illinois          35.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  53 Houston                   over  104 Tulane                     38.5 to 28.0
 162 North Carolina - Charlot  over  182 Florida International      28.0 to 28.0
  41 Air Force                 over   86 Wyoming                    31.5 to 17.5
 200 Alabama A&M               over  223 Jackson State              35.0 to 24.5
 235 Alabama State             over  230 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      28.0 to 24.5
 166 Austin Peay               over  208 Southeast Missouri State   38.5 to 28.0
  73 Baylor                    over   58 West Virginia              24.5 to 21.0
  27 Brigham Young             over   39 Boise State                31.5 to 24.5
 210 Brown                     over  218 Colgate                    28.0 to 28.0
 222 San Diego                 over  256 Butler                     24.5 to 14.0
 113 Colorado State            over  141 San Jose State             24.5 to 21.0
  72 Dartmouth                 over   97 Yale                       31.5 to 21.0
 249 Delaware State            over  248 Houston Baptist            35.0 to 31.5
 181 Eastern Kentucky          over  194 Abilene Christian          24.5 to 17.5
 144 East Tennessee State      over  184 The Citadel                31.5 to 21.0
 140 Campbell                  over  209 Gardner - Webb             38.5 to 28.0
 236 Northwestern State        over  248 Houston Baptist            31.5 to 31.5
 153 Portland State            over  171 Idaho                      31.5 to 28.0
   8 Iowa                      over    6 Penn State                 21.0 to 21.0
  93 Buffalo                   over  125 Kent State                 31.5 to 28.0
  25 Louisiana State           over   61 Kentucky                   28.0 to 24.5
  50 Louisville                over   44 Virginia                   35.0 to 31.5
 246 Marist                    over  247 Stetson                    28.0 to 24.5
 221 Connecticut               over  237 Massachusetts              35.0 to 31.5
   3 Michigan                  over   20 Nebraska                   24.5 to 24.5
  94 Southeast Louisiana       over  134 Nicholls State             35.0 to 31.5
 228 North Carolina Central    over  252 Tennessee Tech             31.5 to 21.0
  12 North Dakota State        over   70 Northern Iowa              21.0 to  7.0
 130 Central Michigan          over  188 Ohio                       31.5 to 24.5
 239 Morehead State            over  257 Presbyterian               35.0 to 28.0
 126 Rhode Island              over  131 Delaware                   28.0 to 24.5
 179 Charleston Southern       over  224 Robert Morris              24.5 to 21.0
  19 Michigan State            over   43 Rutgers                    31.5 to 28.0
 145 Sacramento State          over  202 Southern Utah              24.5 to 14.0
 227 Saint Thomas - Minnesota  over  234 Valparaiso                 49.0 to 42.0
  98 South Dakota              over  114 North Dakota               28.0 to 24.5
  36 South Dakota State        over   74 Southern Illinois          28.0 to 21.0
  26 Wake Forest               over   84 Syracuse                   31.5 to 24.5
  42 Tennessee                 over   83 South Carolina             31.5 to 21.0
 150 South Alabama             over  177 Texas State - San Marcos   28.0 to 24.5
  63 Texas Tech                over   49 Texas Christian            35.0 to 35.0
 124 Troy State                over  159 Georgia Southern           28.0 to 21.0
 106 Tulsa                     over  103 Memphis                    31.5 to 31.5
 139 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  174 Virginia Military          31.5 to 28.0
  17 Notre Dame                over   68 Virginia Tech              28.0 to 24.5
  33 Oregon State              over   95 Washington State           35.0 to 31.5
 118 Western Kentucky          over  110 Texas - San Antonio        28.0 to 28.0
 123 William & Mary            over  143 Albany                     24.5 to 17.5
 132 Wofford                   over  135 Furman                     21.0 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 241 Morgan State              over  242 Howard                     28.0 to 28.0
  91 Florida Atlantic          over  100 Alabama - Birmingham       24.5 to 21.0
 220 Grambling                 over  232 Alcorn State               17.5 to 17.5
 175 Columbia                  over  195 Central Connecticut        28.0 to 24.5
 215 Dayton                    over  240 Drake                      28.0 to 28.0
 105 Duke                      over   89 Georgia Tech               31.5 to 31.5
 112 Eastern Michigan          over  111 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 31.5
 191 Florida A&M               over  176 South Carolina State       28.0 to 28.0
 185 Indiana State             over  151 Western Illinois           31.5 to 31.5
 173 Jacksonville State        over  152 Stephen F. Austin          21.0 to 21.0
 149 Maine                     over  122 Elon                       28.0 to 28.0
   7 Texas                     over   11 Oklahoma                   38.5 to 38.5
  30 Southern California       over   23 Utah                       28.0 to 28.0
 160 Texas - El Paso           over  190 Southern Mississippi       24.5 to 24.5
 121 Missouri State            over  158 Youngstown State           35.0 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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