2021 Week 7 (12-16 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  14 Oregon                    over   94 California                 35.0 to 14.0
  64 Princeton                 over  195 Brown                      45.5 to 17.5
  86 California - Davis        over  230 Northern Colorado          38.5 to 10.5
  98 Yale                      over  226 Connecticut                42.0 to 14.0
 128 Fordham                   over  247 Bucknell                   38.5 to 14.0
   1 Georgia                   over   39 Kentucky                   35.0 to  7.0
  67 Harvard                   over  180 Lafayette                  38.5 to 10.5
  12 North Dakota State        over  153 Illinois State             35.0 to 14.0
 112 Miami - Ohio              over  211 Akron                      38.5 to 14.0
   2 Alabama                   over   59 Mississippi State          42.0 to 21.0
 178 Norfolk State             over  258 Houston Baptist            56.0 to 10.5
  44 Liberty                   over  219 Northeast Louisiana        45.5 to 14.0
  17 James Madison             over  140 Richmond                   38.5 to 17.5
  82 Southeast Louisiana       over  258 Houston Baptist            66.5 to 10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  75 Marshall                  over  189 North Texas                38.5 to 21.0
  46 San Diego State           over  167 San Jose State             28.0 to  7.0
  10 Clemson                   over   73 Syracuse                   28.0 to 14.0
 198 Abilene Christian         over  251 Lamar                      35.0 to 14.0
  34 Villanova                 over  147 Albany                     35.0 to 21.0
  96 Buffalo                   over  194 Ohio                       35.0 to 21.0
   5 Cincinnati                over   62 Central Florida            42.0 to 24.5
 205 Davidson                  over  256 Presbyterian               42.0 to 17.5
  58 Eastern Washington        over  162 Idaho                      56.0 to 31.5
 123 Furman                    over  197 The Citadel                35.0 to 14.0
 231 Grambling                 over  249 Texas Southern             35.0 to 17.5
 118 Holy Cross                over  212 Georgetown                 31.5 to 14.0
   7 Iowa                      over   70 Purdue                     28.0 to 10.5
 171 Jackson State             over  229 Alabama State              28.0 to 14.0
  80 Texas Tech                over  188 Kansas                     45.5 to 28.0
 102 Colorado State            over  182 New Mexico                 31.5 to 21.0
  16 Oklahoma                  over   37 Texas Christian            42.0 to 28.0
 161 Portland State            over  213 Idaho State                38.5 to 24.5
  93 South Carolina            over  185 Vanderbilt                 35.0 to 14.0
  48 Southern Illinois         over  111 North Dakota               35.0 to 21.0
   8 Texas                     over   38 Oklahoma State             38.5 to 24.5
 109 Texas - San Antonio       over  202 Rice                       35.0 to 17.5
  25 South Dakota State        over  154 Western Illinois           42.0 to 21.0
  95 Western Michigan          over  119 Kent State                 38.5 to 28.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 106 Memphis                   over  150 Navy                       35.0 to 24.5
 201 Dayton                    over  233 Marist                     38.5 to 28.0
  79 Kennesaw State            over  131 North Carolina A&T         35.0 to 21.0
 126 Missouri State            over  184 Indiana State              38.5 to 24.5
  83 Montana                   over  148 Sacramento State           31.5 to 14.0
 132 Northern Illinois         over  181 Bowling Green              31.5 to 21.0
 101 Alabama - Birmingham      over  206 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 17.5
  53 Virginia                  over  108 Duke                       42.0 to 28.0
  76 Nevada - Reno             over  125 Hawaii                     38.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 149 South Alabama             over  163 Georgia Southern           24.5 to 21.0
 208 Cornell                   over  234 Colgate                    21.0 to 14.0
  55 Montana State             over   81 Weber State                24.5 to 21.0
 169 Florida A&M               over  224 Alabama A&M                35.0 to 24.5
  21 Arkansas                  over   23 Auburn                     31.5 to 28.0
  49 Baylor                    over   40 Brigham Young              28.0 to 24.5
 200 Prairie View              over  243 Bethune - Cookman          35.0 to 28.0
  27 Boise State               over   35 Air Force                  28.0 to 21.0
  63 Boston College            over   43 North Carolina State       28.0 to 24.5
 113 Campbell                  over  130 Monmouth                   38.5 to 31.5
 137 Central Arkansas          over  177 Eastern Kentucky           31.5 to 24.5
  92 Toledo                    over  145 Central Michigan           28.0 to 24.5
 179 Charleston Southern       over  196 Hampton                    35.0 to 28.0
 135 Colorado                  over  133 Arizona                    28.0 to 21.0
 168 Columbia                  over  170 Pennsylvania               28.0 to 21.0
 124 Tennessee - Martin        over  221 Eastern Illinois           28.0 to 17.5
 134 Incarnate Word            over  156 Nicholls State             35.0 to 31.5
  15 Michigan State            over   51 Indiana                    31.5 to 28.0
  13 Iowa State                over   41 Kansas State               28.0 to 24.5
  11 Florida                   over   45 Louisiana State            35.0 to 31.5
 122 William & Mary            over  166 Maine                      31.5 to 24.5
 138 Mercer                    over  165 Virginia Military          38.5 to 31.5
  18 Nebraska                  over   66 Minnesota                  24.5 to 17.5
 220 Alcorn State              over  254 Mississippi Valley State   31.5 to 17.5
  28 Texas A&M                 over   89 Missouri                   35.0 to 24.5
 236 Morehead State            over  255 Butler                     38.5 to 28.0
 110 Utah State                over  172 Nevada - Las Vegas         35.0 to 24.5
  71 Dartmouth                 over  117 New Hampshire              24.5 to 17.5
 210 North Alabama             over  215 Robert Morris              28.0 to 28.0
  31 North Carolina            over   56 Miami - Florida            35.0 to 28.0
 190 Northern Arizona          over  204 Southern Utah              28.0 to 21.0
  61 Northern Iowa             over   99 South Dakota               24.5 to 10.5
 186 McNeese State             over  244 Northwestern State         28.0 to 17.5
 104 Western Kentucky          over  158 Old Dominion               35.0 to 28.0
 209 Sacred Heart              over  214 Central Connecticut        24.5 to 21.0
 222 San Diego                 over  246 Drake                      21.0 to 14.0
 217 South Carolina State      over  250 Morgan State               28.0 to 17.5
 191 Southeast Missouri State  over  199 Murray State               31.5 to 24.5
 105 Tulsa                     over  146 South Florida              31.5 to 24.5
   9 Mississippi               over   29 Tennessee                  42.0 to 38.5
 228 Tennessee State           over  242 Tennessee Tech             28.0 to 24.5
 103 Louisiana Tech            over  159 Texas - El Paso            28.0 to 24.5
 141 Troy State                over  176 Texas State - San Marcos   28.0 to 24.5
 120 Towson                    over  115 Rhode Island               31.5 to 24.5
  20 Utah                      over   24 Arizona State              28.0 to 21.0
  33 Washington                over   32 California - Los Angeles   31.5 to 24.5
  42 Wisconsin                 over   78 Army                       28.0 to 14.0
 155 Wofford                   over  129 Samford                    38.5 to 31.5
  52 Fresno State              over   85 Wyoming                    31.5 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  47 Appalachian State         over   74 Louisiana - Lafayette      28.0 to 28.0
 218 Southern                  over  240 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      31.5 to 31.5
 187 Bryant                    over  183 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   28.0 to 24.5
 235 Tarleton State            over  239 Dixie State                56.0 to 52.5
 114 Eastern Michigan          over  100 Ball State                 28.0 to 28.0
  57 Rutgers                   over   97 Northwestern               21.0 to 21.0
 238 Saint Thomas - Minnesota  over  252 Stetson                    38.5 to 38.5
 164 Stony Brook               over  142 Delaware                   21.0 to 17.5
 127 East Tennessee State      over  143 Tennessee - Chattanooga    24.5 to 24.5
  22 Pittsburgh                over   69 Virginia Tech              31.5 to 31.5
  68 Stanford                  over   91 Washington State           28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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