ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
53 Louisiana - Lafayette over 180 Arkansas State 49.0 to 28.0
2 Alabama over 32 Tennessee 45.5 to 21.0
94 Alabama - Birmingham over 230 Rice 35.0 to 10.5
92 California - Davis over 210 California Poly 38.5 to 17.5
16 James Madison over 147 Delaware 38.5 to 17.5
74 Florida State over 231 Massachusetts 52.5 to 14.0
108 Fordham over 255 Lehigh 42.0 to 10.5
97 Holy Cross over 238 Colgate 38.5 to 10.5
152 Nicholls State over 258 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 14.0
3 Ohio State over 61 Indiana 42.0 to 24.5
11 Oklahoma over 199 Kansas 56.0 to 21.0
145 Central Arkansas over 249 Lamar 42.0 to 21.0
5 Michigan over 95 Northwestern 38.5 to 14.0
172 Florida A&M over 252 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 14.0
56 Montana State over 211 Idaho State 45.5 to 10.5
28 Arkansas over 247 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 14.0
4 Cincinnati over 155 Navy 42.0 to 10.5
9 North Dakota State over 111 Missouri State 42.0 to 14.0
66 Liberty over 195 North Texas 42.0 to 21.0
84 Southeast Louisiana over 244 Northwestern State 49.0 to 21.0
6 Penn State over 127 Illinois 38.5 to 7.0
241 Tennessee Tech over 258 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 14.0
121 Hawaii over 200 New Mexico State 42.0 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
43 Washington over 162 Arizona 31.5 to 14.0
60 Dartmouth over 164 Columbia 35.0 to 14.0
120 Buffalo over 197 Akron 38.5 to 21.0
192 Davidson over 257 Butler 38.5 to 21.0
50 Houston over 93 East Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
165 Jackson State over 240 Bethune - Cookman 38.5 to 17.5
99 North Dakota over 146 Western Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
102 Sam Houston State over 170 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 17.5
34 Texas A&M over 109 South Carolina 28.0 to 10.5
188 The Citadel over 225 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
73 Mississippi State over 179 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 17.5
46 Villanova over 129 Rhode Island 38.5 to 21.0
25 Virginia over 88 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 21.0
104 Wyoming over 196 New Mexico 31.5 to 14.0
114 Yale over 182 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
64 Southern Methodist over 112 Tulane 42.0 to 31.5
76 Central Florida over 105 Memphis 42.0 to 35.0
106 Montana over 184 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
51 Minnesota over 98 Maryland 31.5 to 21.0
13 Notre Dame over 40 Southern California 35.0 to 24.5
224 San Diego over 256 Presbyterian 35.0 to 21.0
139 Sacramento State over 174 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
70 South Dakota over 163 Illinois State 31.5 to 17.5
130 Tennessee - Martin over 201 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 24.5
189 Bryant over 246 Wagner 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
90 Florida Atlantic over 158 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 21.0
156 Middle Tennessee State over 219 Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
38 Air Force over 55 San Diego State 24.5 to 17.5
144 Albany over 160 Maine 28.0 to 21.0
24 Wake Forest over 72 Army 31.5 to 28.0
100 Ball State over 118 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
117 Eastern Michigan over 171 Bowling Green 28.0 to 21.0
218 Georgetown over 250 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
85 California over 110 Colorado 24.5 to 14.0
19 Oregon over 33 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
82 Kennesaw State over 124 Campbell 31.5 to 24.5
215 Central Connecticut over 253 Long Island 38.5 to 21.0
131 Central Michigan over 125 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
198 Cornell over 194 Brown 31.5 to 28.0
208 South Carolina State over 234 Delaware State 31.5 to 28.0
153 Stephen F. Austin over 242 Dixie State 35.0 to 14.0
248 Drake over 254 Stetson 21.0 to 10.5
217 Eastern Illinois over 236 Tennessee State 28.0 to 17.5
42 Eastern Washington over 86 Weber State 38.5 to 31.5
126 Elon over 123 New Hampshire 24.5 to 21.0
87 Western Kentucky over 185 Florida International 38.5 to 31.5
37 Fresno State over 77 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 24.5
133 Furman over 119 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
141 Georgia State over 181 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 28.0
143 North Carolina A&T over 204 Hampton 35.0 to 24.5
190 Norfolk State over 235 Howard 35.0 to 28.0
142 Youngstown State over 186 Indiana State 31.5 to 28.0
7 Iowa State over 36 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 21.0
57 Louisville over 78 Boston College 31.5 to 24.5
227 Marist over 233 Morehead State 38.5 to 31.5
116 Incarnate Word over 175 McNeese State 31.5 to 28.0
44 Miami - Florida over 29 North Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5
8 Mississippi over 26 Louisiana State 45.5 to 38.5
187 Austin Peay over 203 Murray State 28.0 to 28.0
169 Charleston Southern over 202 North Alabama 31.5 to 24.5
135 South Alabama over 193 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 21.0
17 Utah over 49 Oregon State 35.0 to 31.5
65 Princeton over 52 Harvard 31.5 to 28.0
47 Purdue over 54 Wisconsin 21.0 to 17.5
150 Duquesne over 212 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 21.0
137 Samford over 132 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 31.5
22 South Dakota State over 62 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 14.0
207 Southern over 209 Prairie View 28.0 to 24.5
140 South Florida over 177 Temple 31.5 to 24.5
149 Stony Brook over 148 Richmond 17.5 to 17.5
58 Texas Christian over 68 West Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
221 Alcorn State over 245 Texas Southern 35.0 to 24.5
96 Toledo over 80 Western Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
216 Dayton over 229 Valparaiso 28.0 to 28.0
81 Virginia Tech over 69 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
59 Brigham Young over 83 Washington State 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
31 Coastal Carolina over 67 Appalachian State 28.0 to 28.0
159 San Jose State over 157 Nevada - Las Vegas 21.0 to 21.0
91 Colorado State over 107 Utah State 28.0 to 28.0
205 Gardner - Webb over 213 Robert Morris 31.5 to 31.5
103 Louisiana Tech over 89 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 31.5
168 Mercer over 167 Wofford 28.0 to 24.5
239 North Carolina Central over 251 Morgan State 21.0 to 21.0
173 Ohio over 138 Kent State 31.5 to 31.5
15 Pittsburgh over 23 Clemson 24.5 to 24.5
214 Southern Utah over 226 Northern Colorado 21.0 to 21.0
71 Texas Tech over 45 Kansas State 31.5 to 31.5
136 William & Mary over 115 Towson 24.5 to 21.0
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