ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
27 Coastal Carolina over 153 Troy State 38.5 to 14.0
65 Princeton over 205 Cornell 38.5 to 14.0
66 Nevada - Reno over 163 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 21.0
60 Appalachian State over 175 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 17.5
227 Dayton over 256 Butler 35.0 to 17.5
167 Eastern Kentucky over 245 Lamar 31.5 to 10.5
89 Weber State over 206 Idaho State 31.5 to 10.5
122 Incarnate Word over 258 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 14.0
21 James Madison over 114 Elon 38.5 to 14.0
74 Kennesaw State over 202 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 10.5
97 Holy Cross over 253 Lehigh 35.0 to 10.5
75 Liberty over 234 Massachusetts 49.0 to 10.5
70 Louisiana - Lafayette over 191 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 17.5
67 Marshall over 197 Florida International 42.0 to 17.5
135 Jackson State over 247 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 14.0
12 North Dakota State over 177 Indiana State 42.0 to 3.5
3 Ohio State over 17 Penn State 42.0 to 21.0
19 Oklahoma over 72 Texas Tech 45.5 to 28.0
28 Oklahoma State over 196 Kansas 45.5 to 10.5
10 Oregon over 127 Colorado 35.0 to 10.5
54 Southern California over 148 Arizona 38.5 to 17.5
5 Cincinnati over 129 Tulane 45.5 to 21.0
16 Wake Forest over 111 Duke 49.0 to 28.0
80-90% chance of victory:
109 Buffalo over 180 Bowling Green 35.0 to 17.5
178 Florida A&M over 219 Grambling 24.5 to 14.0
79 Florida Atlantic over 154 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 14.0
138 Middle Tennessee State over 217 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 21.0
105 Montana over 222 Southern Utah 35.0 to 10.5
1 Georgia over 7 Florida 35.0 to 21.0
165 Nicholls State over 250 Northwestern State 38.5 to 17.5
199 Norfolk State over 254 Morgan State 35.0 to 17.5
82 Southeast Louisiana over 170 McNeese State 45.5 to 28.0
77 Central Florida over 189 Temple 42.0 to 24.5
26 Villanova over 118 William & Mary 35.0 to 17.5
182 Wofford over 214 Western Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
25 South Dakota State over 160 Youngstown State 42.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
90 East Carolina over 134 South Florida 35.0 to 24.5
34 Arizona State over 83 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0
33 Clemson over 55 Florida State 28.0 to 17.5
238 Colgate over 251 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
139 Delaware over 240 Dixie State 38.5 to 7.0
18 Nebraska over 51 Purdue 28.0 to 17.5
124 Sacramento State over 225 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
11 Notre Dame over 31 North Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
164 Portland State over 213 California Poly 35.0 to 24.5
192 Southeast Missouri State over 242 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
91 Sam Houston State over 243 Tarleton State 59.5 to 28.0
99 Missouri over 193 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 24.5
80 Western Kentucky over 161 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
103 Tulsa over 130 Navy 28.0 to 21.0
15 Texas over 30 Baylor 35.0 to 35.0
41 Oregon State over 81 California 31.5 to 28.0
136 Campbell over 190 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 24.5
39 Boise State over 88 Colorado State 31.5 to 24.5
241 Delaware State over 228 Howard 31.5 to 28.0
162 Duquesne over 185 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 21.0
186 Lafayette over 220 Georgetown 24.5 to 17.5
171 Georgia Southern over 141 Georgia State 31.5 to 28.0
84 Georgia Tech over 78 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 28.0
47 Harvard over 85 Dartmouth 28.0 to 21.0
45 Houston over 57 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 31.5
188 Idaho over 201 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 31.5
73 Rutgers over 108 Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
49 Kansas State over 68 Texas Christian 31.5 to 24.5
249 Long Island over 252 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
4 Michigan over 13 Michigan State 31.5 to 28.0
95 Missouri State over 94 North Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
198 Davidson over 230 Morehead State 49.0 to 38.5
137 New Hampshire over 156 Richmond 24.5 to 17.5
216 South Carolina State over 233 North Carolina Central 24.5 to 24.5
37 North Carolina State over 44 Louisville 31.5 to 24.5
43 Northern Iowa over 58 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
56 Minnesota over 102 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5
121 Louisiana Tech over 168 Old Dominion 31.5 to 28.0
176 Pennsylvania over 183 Brown 38.5 to 28.0
9 Pittsburgh over 53 Miami - Florida 38.5 to 28.0
255 Stetson over 257 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
146 Rhode Island over 158 Maine 31.5 to 24.5
218 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 229 Marist 38.5 to 31.5
215 San Diego over 211 Valparaiso 28.0 to 21.0
42 San Diego State over 50 Fresno State 28.0 to 21.0
126 Wyoming over 145 San Jose State 21.0 to 17.5
151 South Alabama over 173 Arkansas State 38.5 to 31.5
48 Washington over 63 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
140 Stephen F. Austin over 203 Abilene Christian 28.0 to 21.0
69 Syracuse over 93 Boston College 28.0 to 24.5
98 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 144 Furman 24.5 to 14.0
143 Tennessee - Martin over 159 Austin Peay 35.0 to 28.0
212 Tennessee State over 231 Murray State 28.0 to 21.0
155 Mercer over 209 The Citadel 35.0 to 28.0
131 Towson over 157 Albany 24.5 to 17.5
22 Utah over 32 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 28.0
106 Utah State over 116 Hawaii 31.5 to 28.0
128 Virginia Military over 166 Samford 42.0 to 38.5
149 Illinois State over 150 Western Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
8 Iowa State over 62 West Virginia 28.0 to 21.0
112 Yale over 152 Columbia 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
20 Auburn over 6 Mississippi 35.0 to 35.0
24 Virginia over 59 Brigham Young 31.5 to 31.5
179 Jacksonville State over 142 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 35.0
101 Maryland over 96 Indiana 28.0 to 28.0
29 Kentucky over 61 Mississippi State 24.5 to 24.5
226 Alabama State over 221 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 31.5
169 North Carolina A&T over 125 Monmouth 28.0 to 28.0
181 North Texas over 210 Rice 28.0 to 28.0
200 Hampton over 224 Robert Morris 31.5 to 28.0
223 Southern over 208 Alcorn State 28.0 to 28.0
248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 244 Texas Southern 35.0 to 35.0
14 Iowa over 40 Wisconsin 17.5 to 17.5
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