ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
108 Western Michigan over 203 Akron 45.5 to 21.0
22 Boise State over 127 Wyoming 35.0 to 10.5
10 Cincinnati over 126 South Florida 42.0 to 17.5
3 Alabama over 199 New Mexico State 66.5 to 10.5
160 Albany over 250 Morgan State 35.0 to 7.0
48 Appalachian State over 159 South Alabama 38.5 to 17.5
5 Utah over 137 Arizona 38.5 to 17.5
172 Florida A&M over 251 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 17.5
71 Army over 254 Bucknell 49.0 to 10.5
37 Clemson over 236 Connecticut 45.5 to 0.0
50 Coastal Carolina over 148 Georgia State 38.5 to 17.5
72 Dartmouth over 201 Cornell 35.0 to 7.0
33 Florida over 155 Samford 49.0 to 24.5
59 Fresno State over 182 New Mexico 35.0 to 10.5
43 Harvard over 174 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 10.5
165 McNeese State over 257 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 14.0
51 Southern Illinois over 178 Indiana State 38.5 to 21.0
143 Maine over 239 Massachusetts 45.5 to 21.0
123 Monmouth over 214 Robert Morris 42.0 to 21.0
66 Montana State over 193 Idaho 45.5 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 24 Purdue 42.0 to 17.5
196 Sacred Heart over 253 Wagner 31.5 to 10.5
30 Houston over 215 Temple 45.5 to 17.5
28 Texas over 197 Kansas 52.5 to 14.0
63 Texas - San Antonio over 235 Southern Mississippi 45.5 to 14.0
35 Kentucky over 190 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 14.0
36 Villanova over 150 Stony Brook 35.0 to 10.5
6 Wisconsin over 111 Northwestern 31.5 to 7.0
9 North Dakota State over 153 Youngstown State 42.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
41 California - Los Angeles over 109 Colorado 35.0 to 21.0
161 Campbell over 194 Hampton 38.5 to 28.0
138 Columbia over 202 Brown 45.5 to 28.0
188 Jacksonville State over 248 Lamar 31.5 to 14.0
45 Marshall over 105 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 21.0
8 Michigan State over 104 Maryland 42.0 to 21.0
133 Middle Tennessee State over 204 Florida International 38.5 to 24.5
89 Kennesaw State over 187 North Alabama 38.5 to 21.0
16 Oklahoma State over 78 Texas Christian 35.0 to 21.0
13 Oregon over 73 Washington State 38.5 to 21.0
244 Marist over 258 Presbyterian 45.5 to 21.0
60 Western Kentucky over 208 Rice 42.0 to 21.0
101 Weber State over 210 Southern Utah 31.5 to 14.0
1 Georgia over 29 Tennessee 38.5 to 17.5
152 Tennessee - Martin over 229 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 21.0
82 Virginia Tech over 135 Duke 35.0 to 21.0
19 James Madison over 110 William & Mary 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
87 Eastern Michigan over 168 Ohio 38.5 to 28.0
94 Toledo over 170 Bowling Green 31.5 to 21.0
179 Duquesne over 227 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
132 Louisiana Tech over 173 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 24.5
113 Montana over 191 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 21.0
80 Princeton over 100 Yale 35.0 to 24.5
120 Sacramento State over 147 Portland State 35.0 to 24.5
81 Sam Houston State over 164 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5
146 Jackson State over 221 Southern 35.0 to 21.0
7 Iowa State over 86 Texas Tech 38.5 to 28.0
122 East Tennessee State over 184 Western Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
116 Miami - Ohio over 112 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
118 Central Michigan over 141 Kent State 38.5 to 31.5
18 Pittsburgh over 34 North Carolina 45.5 to 35.0
207 Abilene Christian over 219 Tarleton State 45.5 to 31.5
21 Auburn over 47 Mississippi State 31.5 to 21.0
12 Oklahoma over 27 Baylor 35.0 to 31.5
200 Bryant over 242 Long Island 38.5 to 24.5
223 Valparaiso over 255 Butler 31.5 to 21.0
74 California over 65 Southern California 28.0 to 24.5
55 Eastern Washington over 107 California - Davis 38.5 to 38.5
140 Central Arkansas over 136 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 31.5
49 Air Force over 90 Colorado State 24.5 to 21.0
180 Davidson over 234 Dayton 38.5 to 35.0
192 Norfolk State over 233 Delaware State 31.5 to 28.0
57 Florida State over 44 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 31.5
97 Holy Cross over 117 Fordham 35.0 to 31.5
175 Charleston Southern over 185 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 28.0
83 Georgia Tech over 96 Boston College 28.0 to 21.0
226 Grambling over 232 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 21.0
228 Howard over 231 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 24.5
88 Indiana over 114 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
40 Iowa over 64 Minnesota 24.5 to 14.0
46 Kansas State over 75 West Virginia 24.5 to 17.5
189 Lafayette over 225 Colgate 24.5 to 14.0
245 Lehigh over 220 Georgetown 21.0 to 21.0
31 Louisiana State over 38 Arkansas 35.0 to 28.0
54 Louisville over 68 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
69 East Carolina over 99 Memphis 31.5 to 31.5
92 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 151 Mercer 28.0 to 21.0
14 Mississippi over 23 Texas A&M 28.0 to 24.5
240 Alabama State over 247 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 21.0
243 Morehead State over 256 Stetson 35.0 to 21.0
176 Southeast Missouri State over 237 Murray State 35.0 to 28.0
128 Hawaii over 162 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 28.0
93 North Dakota over 129 Illinois State 24.5 to 17.5
171 Northeast Louisiana over 183 Arkansas State 42.0 to 38.5
166 North Texas over 154 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 28.0
95 Florida Atlantic over 145 Old Dominion 28.0 to 21.0
52 Oregon State over 98 Stanford 38.5 to 28.0
139 Richmond over 156 Delaware 21.0 to 14.0
56 San Diego State over 70 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 24.5
85 Utah State over 134 San Jose State 28.0 to 21.0
181 North Carolina A&T over 213 South Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
20 South Dakota State over 76 South Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
62 Southern Methodist over 79 Central Florida 35.0 to 31.5
157 Austin Peay over 212 Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
205 Alabama A&M over 216 Texas Southern 42.0 to 42.0
144 Towson over 131 Elon 24.5 to 24.5
77 Louisiana - Lafayette over 142 Troy State 28.0 to 17.5
106 Tulsa over 130 Tulane 28.0 to 28.0
15 Notre Dame over 42 Virginia 35.0 to 31.5
11 Wake Forest over 26 North Carolina State 38.5 to 31.5
58 Washington over 39 Arizona State 21.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
121 Northern Illinois over 115 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
209 Alcorn State over 198 Prairie View 28.0 to 28.0
224 California Poly over 206 Idaho State 28.0 to 28.0
252 Drake over 218 Saint Thomas - Minnesota 21.0 to 21.0
169 Furman over 119 Virginia Military 28.0 to 24.5
103 Missouri over 91 South Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
53 Northern Iowa over 61 Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
149 Nicholls State over 125 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 35.0
4 Michigan over 17 Penn State 28.0 to 24.5
167 Rhode Island over 163 New Hampshire 24.5 to 24.5
186 Georgia Southern over 195 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 24.5
222 The Citadel over 211 Wofford 24.5 to 24.5
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