ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
136 Louisiana Tech over 214 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 17.5
3 Alabama over 41 Arkansas 42.0 to 17.5
58 Army over 245 Massachusetts 52.5 to 10.5
24 Boise State over 184 New Mexico 38.5 to 7.0
67 Dartmouth over 196 Brown 45.5 to 21.0
82 Holy Cross over 255 Bucknell 45.5 to 10.5
88 Central Florida over 230 Connecticut 45.5 to 14.0
64 Coastal Carolina over 199 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 17.5
1 Georgia over 170 Charleston Southern 49.0 to 0.0
126 Incarnate Word over 257 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 17.5
234 Howard over 257 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 21.0
21 James Madison over 159 Towson 42.0 to 14.0
49 Kentucky over 205 New Mexico State 49.0 to 14.0
131 Stephen F. Austin over 251 Lamar 35.0 to 10.5
34 Louisiana State over 185 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 14.0
4 Michigan over 99 Maryland 42.0 to 21.0
167 McNeese State over 247 Northwestern State 31.5 to 10.5
11 Mississippi over 188 Vanderbilt 49.0 to 14.0
30 Mississippi State over 227 Tennessee State 45.5 to 10.5
31 North Carolina over 217 Wofford 52.5 to 17.5
54 Northern Iowa over 155 Western Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
5 Notre Dame over 90 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 17.5
15 Penn State over 91 Rutgers 31.5 to 10.5
43 Eastern Washington over 163 Portland State 52.5 to 35.0
53 Southern Illinois over 154 Youngstown State 45.5 to 24.5
32 Tennessee over 161 South Alabama 42.0 to 17.5
97 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 218 The Citadel 38.5 to 10.5
20 Texas A&M over 202 Prairie View 42.0 to 10.5
89 Texas Christian over 174 Kansas 45.5 to 24.5
105 Tulsa over 212 Temple 35.0 to 14.0
83 Weber State over 231 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
98 Miami - Ohio over 172 Bowling Green 35.0 to 17.5
33 Louisville over 156 Duke 38.5 to 21.0
28 Houston over 94 Memphis 42.0 to 24.5
63 San Diego State over 146 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 14.0
69 Washington State over 133 Arizona 35.0 to 17.5
75 Sam Houston State over 198 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 21.0
201 Alabama A&M over 252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 28.0
147 Austin Peay over 240 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 17.5
12 Cincinnati over 39 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 28.0
38 Villanova over 165 Delaware 31.5 to 14.0
47 Missouri State over 235 Dixie State 52.5 to 17.5
27 Brigham Young over 192 Georgia Southern 42.0 to 21.0
122 Georgia State over 186 Arkansas State 42.0 to 28.0
118 Illinois State over 178 Indiana State 28.0 to 14.0
48 Iowa over 103 Illinois 24.5 to 10.5
241 Marist over 256 Butler 31.5 to 10.5
169 Florida A&M over 219 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 21.0
60 Marshall over 177 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 21.0
17 North Carolina State over 81 Syracuse 31.5 to 17.5
13 North Dakota State over 65 South Dakota 31.5 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 9 Michigan State 45.5 to 28.0
79 Princeton over 168 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 17.5
220 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 258 Presbyterian 56.0 to 24.5
22 South Dakota State over 96 North Dakota 31.5 to 14.0
6 Oklahoma State over 84 Texas Tech 38.5 to 24.5
50 Appalachian State over 137 Troy State 31.5 to 21.0
129 Virginia Military over 187 Western Carolina 49.0 to 35.0
193 Duquesne over 253 Wagner 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
87 Southeast Louisiana over 144 Nicholls State 49.0 to 35.0
190 Davidson over 250 Drake 31.5 to 14.0
153 Jackson State over 207 Alcorn State 31.5 to 17.5
180 North Carolina A&T over 189 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 21.0
18 Pittsburgh over 62 Virginia 42.0 to 31.5
158 Texas - El Paso over 204 Rice 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
108 Eastern Michigan over 115 Western Michigan 38.5 to 35.0
80 Toledo over 160 Ohio 35.0 to 24.5
134 Buffalo over 128 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
157 Kent State over 191 Akron 38.5 to 31.5
242 Alabama State over 221 Texas Southern 35.0 to 31.5
121 California - Davis over 114 Sacramento State 28.0 to 21.0
206 Northern Arizona over 226 California Poly 31.5 to 31.5
181 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 225 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
135 Fordham over 216 Colgate 35.0 to 24.5
55 Washington over 110 Colorado 24.5 to 17.5
149 Columbia over 200 Cornell 28.0 to 21.0
244 Eastern Illinois over 228 Murray State 24.5 to 21.0
152 Eastern Kentucky over 176 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 21.0
113 East Tennessee State over 143 Mercer 28.0 to 21.0
124 Elon over 148 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
166 North Texas over 213 Florida International 35.0 to 28.0
179 Hampton over 175 North Alabama 38.5 to 31.5
92 Colorado State over 142 Hawaii 31.5 to 24.5
182 Idaho over 209 Idaho State 31.5 to 31.5
59 Minnesota over 116 Indiana 28.0 to 21.0
100 Kennesaw State over 111 Monmouth 31.5 to 24.5
203 Lafayette over 237 Lehigh 17.5 to 14.0
68 Liberty over 77 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
194 Sacred Heart over 248 Long Island 31.5 to 17.5
40 Miami - Florida over 73 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
117 Middle Tennessee State over 132 Old Dominion 31.5 to 28.0
44 Florida over 101 Missouri 42.0 to 31.5
233 Georgetown over 249 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
71 East Carolina over 130 Navy 28.0 to 21.0
195 Norfolk State over 211 South Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
215 North Carolina Central over 229 Delaware State 28.0 to 24.5
29 Purdue over 125 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
19 Oklahoma over 16 Iowa State 35.0 to 28.0
171 Campbell over 223 Robert Morris 31.5 to 24.5
145 Samford over 162 Furman 35.0 to 31.5
26 Auburn over 95 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
140 Tennessee - Martin over 197 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
57 Southern California over 35 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 35.0
224 San Diego over 254 Stetson 28.0 to 17.5
141 Stony Brook over 164 Albany 24.5 to 17.5
151 Central Arkansas over 232 Tarleton State 49.0 to 31.5
72 Texas - San Antonio over 93 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 24.5
138 Tulane over 119 South Florida 31.5 to 28.0
7 Utah over 14 Oregon 35.0 to 31.5
74 Utah State over 127 Wyoming 31.5 to 21.0
208 Valparaiso over 243 Morehead State 38.5 to 28.0
70 Western Kentucky over 112 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 28.0
107 William & Mary over 120 Richmond 28.0 to 21.0
8 Wisconsin over 23 Nebraska 24.5 to 17.5
46 Harvard over 102 Yale 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
123 Ball State over 109 Central Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
52 Air Force over 66 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 28.0
86 Boston College over 56 Florida State 28.0 to 24.5
42 Clemson over 10 Wake Forest 35.0 to 31.5
36 Kansas State over 25 Baylor 24.5 to 24.5
85 Montana State over 106 Montana 17.5 to 17.5
139 Maine over 173 New Hampshire 24.5 to 24.5
45 Oregon State over 37 Arizona State 31.5 to 31.5
76 California over 104 Stanford 21.0 to 21.0
51 Texas over 78 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net