ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
57 Air Force over 141 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 14.0
82 Central Florida over 140 South Florida 38.5 to 24.5
7 Utah over 106 Colorado 42.0 to 14.0
33 Appalachian State over 192 Georgia Southern 45.5 to 14.0
53 Arizona State over 136 Arizona 35.0 to 14.0
38 Houston over 225 Connecticut 49.0 to 14.0
42 Miami - Florida over 170 Duke 42.0 to 24.5
2 Georgia over 134 Georgia Tech 45.5 to 10.5
69 West Virginia over 165 Kansas 38.5 to 21.0
37 Louisiana - Lafayette over 175 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 14.0
5 Notre Dame over 119 Stanford 38.5 to 14.0
21 Tennessee over 176 Vanderbilt 49.0 to 17.5
72 Toledo over 208 Akron 45.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
58 Fresno State over 150 San Jose State 31.5 to 17.5
32 Arkansas over 98 Missouri 42.0 to 28.0
10 Cincinnati over 74 East Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
15 Iowa State over 105 Texas Christian 42.0 to 21.0
70 Coastal Carolina over 173 South Alabama 38.5 to 21.0
96 Alabama - Birmingham over 163 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 17.5
3 Alabama over 40 Auburn 38.5 to 24.5
22 Baylor over 91 Texas Tech 38.5 to 21.0
209 Prairie View over 241 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 21.0
29 Purdue over 122 Indiana 35.0 to 17.5
113 Navy over 221 Temple 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
95 Utah State over 196 New Mexico 31.5 to 17.5
48 Southern Methodist over 102 Tulsa 38.5 to 28.0
133 Old Dominion over 181 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 24.5
14 Pittsburgh over 86 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
138 Ball State over 147 Buffalo 31.5 to 28.0
117 Northern Illinois over 110 Western Michigan 38.5 to 35.0
31 Mississippi State over 28 Mississippi 35.0 to 31.5
149 Ohio over 184 Bowling Green 31.5 to 28.0
89 Central Michigan over 112 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
27 Nebraska over 44 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
12 North Carolina State over 41 North Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
25 Boise State over 68 San Diego State 21.0 to 17.5
56 Texas over 46 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
62 Washington over 63 Washington State 24.5 to 21.0
183 Arkansas State over 195 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 31.5
18 Wake Forest over 83 Boston College 38.5 to 35.0
23 California - Los Angeles over 55 California 35.0 to 24.5
64 Nevada - Reno over 107 Colorado State 35.0 to 31.5
51 Florida over 50 Florida State 35.0 to 28.0
132 Florida Atlantic over 129 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
123 Georgia State over 158 Troy State 28.0 to 21.0
88 Illinois over 121 Northwestern 24.5 to 17.5
90 Miami - Ohio over 135 Kent State 35.0 to 28.0
77 Liberty over 75 Army 31.5 to 28.0
17 Texas A&M over 60 Louisiana State 24.5 to 21.0
24 Louisville over 36 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
59 Marshall over 49 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 31.5
99 Memphis over 115 Tulane 31.5 to 24.5
1 Ohio State over 4 Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
9 Wisconsin over 54 Minnesota 24.5 to 17.5
207 New Mexico State over 233 Massachusetts 38.5 to 31.5
76 Texas - San Antonio over 139 North Texas 38.5 to 28.0
215 Southern over 242 Grambling 24.5 to 24.5
6 Oklahoma State over 16 Oklahoma 35.0 to 24.5
20 Oregon over 35 Oregon State 38.5 to 31.5
161 Louisiana Tech over 202 Rice 31.5 to 28.0
100 Rutgers over 108 Maryland 31.5 to 24.5
30 Clemson over 87 South Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
201 Southern Mississippi over 235 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
61 Virginia over 79 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 28.0
97 Wyoming over 126 Hawaii 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
11 Penn State over 26 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5
34 Brigham Young over 78 Southern California 35.0 to 35.0
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