2021 Week 0 (28 Aug) Results for College Football Division IA & IAA

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 69% 105 Fresno State            45 52.6,   217 Connecticut              0 31.4
 66%  89 San Jose State          45 48.8,   190 Southern Utah           14 36.0
 66%  38 California - Los Angel  44 51.9,   106 Hawaii                  10 40.3
 65% 174 Indiana State           26 42.0,   224 Eastern Illinois        21 31.8
 51% 197 Texas - El Paso         30 41.5,   205 New Mexico State         3 41.2

 41%  94 Illinois                30 39.0,    46 Nebraska                22 43.6
 33% 242 North Carolina Central  23 30.2,   154 Alcorn State            14 45.2

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.91   5 1.20   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00
  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   7   5   4.4 1.13
  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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