2021 Bowl Games Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  63 Coastal Carolina          over  123 Northern Illinois          42.0 to 28.0
  53 Fresno State              over  159 Texas - El Paso            35.0 to 17.5
  32 North Carolina            over  108 South Carolina             38.5 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  71 Toledo                    over  121 Middle Tennessee State     35.0 to 24.5
  35 Brigham Young             over   94 Alabama - Birmingham       35.0 to 24.5
  29 Boise State               over   88 Central Michigan           35.0 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   7 North Dakota State        over   10 James Madison              28.0 to 24.5
  17 South Dakota State        over   67 Montana State              28.0 to 24.5
  90 Liberty                   over  118 Eastern Michigan           35.0 to 28.0
  50 Louisiana - Lafayette     over   77 Marshall                   28.0 to 24.5
 157 Jackson State             over  210 South Carolina State       24.5 to 17.5
  38 Oregon State              over   62 Utah State                 38.5 to 31.5
  45 Appalachian State         over   36 Western Kentucky           35.0 to 31.5
  87 Tulsa                     over  126 Old Dominion               31.5 to 24.5
  69 San Diego State           over   86 Texas - San Antonio        28.0 to 24.5
 107 Wyoming                   over  136 Kent State                 31.5 to 28.0
  65 Army                      over   92 Missouri                   35.0 to 31.5
  47 Florida                   over   79 Central Florida            35.0 to 28.0
  98 Miami - Ohio              over  130 North Texas                35.0 to 28.0
 104 Memphis                   over  112 Hawaii                     31.5 to 31.5
  49 Nevada - Reno             over  103 Western Michigan           38.5 to 35.0
  31 Auburn                    over   44 Houston                    31.5 to 28.0
  33 Mississippi State         over   78 Texas Tech                 35.0 to 28.0
  41 Minnesota                 over   70 West Virginia              24.5 to 21.0
  15 Clemson                   over   16 Iowa State                 24.5 to 21.0
  14 Oklahoma                  over   27 Oregon                     35.0 to 31.5
  60 Virginia                  over   59 Southern Methodist         38.5 to 38.5
  66 Virginia Tech             over   91 Maryland                   35.0 to 28.0
  12 Pittsburgh                over   24 Michigan State             35.0 to 28.0
  13 Wisconsin                 over   40 Arizona State              28.0 to 21.0
  25 Tennessee                 over   28 Purdue                     35.0 to 31.5
   3 Alabama                   over    8 Cincinnati                 35.0 to 24.5
   1 Georgia                   over    4 Michigan                   28.0 to 21.0
  19 Texas A&M                 over   26 Wake Forest                35.0 to 31.5
  34 Miami - Florida           over   39 Washington State           31.5 to 28.0
  22 Kentucky                  over   46 Iowa                       24.5 to 21.0
   5 Notre Dame                over    9 Oklahoma State             24.5 to 21.0
  11 Penn State                over   37 Arkansas                   28.0 to 21.0
   2 Ohio State                over    6 Utah                       38.5 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 119 Georgia State             over  129 Ball State                 28.0 to 28.0
  96 Boston College            over   83 East Carolina              28.0 to 24.5
  20 North Carolina State      over   18 California - Los Angeles   35.0 to 31.5
  42 Air Force                 over   55 Louisville                 28.0 to 28.0
  23 Baylor                    over   21 Mississippi                28.0 to 28.0
  48 Louisiana State           over   51 Kansas State               24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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