prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
72% 8 North Dakota State 38 26.3, 50 Montana State 10 14.4
64% 1 Georgia 33 27.2, 3 Alabama 18 22.6
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 1 1.56 1 1.39 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 2 2 1.4 1.47
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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