Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 10.00 16.0-0.0 6.0-*** IA SEC Georgia 2 1 7.49 13.0-2.0 5.5-9.5 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 3 2 6.18 13.0-1.0 6.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Michigan 4 2 5.82 11.0-2.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Tennessee 5 3 5.77 11.0-2.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Alabama 6 2 5.73 11.0-2.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 7 2 5.34 11.0-2.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Penn State 8 3 5.22 11.0-3.0 5.8-8.2 IA ACC Clemson 9 5 4.96 10.0-4.0 5.0-9.0 IA Big_12 Kansas State 10 5 4.82 11.0-3.0 6.2-7.8 IA PAC_12 Southern California 11 5 4.81 11.0-2.0 6.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 Washington 12 5 4.66 10.0-4.0 5.3-8.7 IA PAC_12 Oregon 13 5 4.66 10.0-3.0 5.3-7.7 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 14 5 4.64 10.0-4.0 5.4-8.6 IA SEC Louisiana State 15 4 4.52 12.0-2.0 7.5-6.5 IA Amer_Athl Tulane 16 6 4.31 10.0-3.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Florida State 17 5 4.07 10.0-4.0 5.9-8.1 IA PAC_12 Utah 18 5 3.75 9.0-4.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Mississippi State 19 5 3.67 12.0-2.0 8.3-5.7 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 20 6 3.34 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA Indep Notre Dame 21 6 3.08 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA ACC Pittsburgh 22 6 3.05 9.0-5.0 5.9-8.1 IA ACC North Carolina 23 6 3.01 8.0-5.0 5.0-8.0 IA Big_12 Texas 24 6 2.91 8.0-5.0 5.1-7.9 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 25 6 2.85 8.0-5.0 5.2-7.8 IA ACC Louisville 26 7 2.82 8.0-5.0 5.2-7.8 IA Big_Ten Iowa 27 10 2.66 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC South Carolina 28 13 2.41 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Mississippi 29 12 2.39 9.0-4.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 30 12 2.39 9.0-4.0 6.6-6.4 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 31 12 2.39 9.0-4.0 6.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 32 13 2.32 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Illinois 33 13 2.27 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Wake Forest 34 13 2.24 8.0-6.0 5.8-8.2 IA Big_Ten Purdue 35 13 2.21 11.0-3.0 8.8-5.2 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 36 12 2.16 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC North Carolina State 37 12 2.13 8.0-5.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Maryland 38 14 2.12 9.0-4.0 6.9-6.1 IA ACC Duke 39 14 2.11 7.0-6.0 4.9-8.1 IA SEC Arkansas 40 13 1.93 10.0-3.0 8.1-4.9 IA MWC Air Force 41 13 1.91 7.0-6.0 5.1-7.9 IA SEC Kentucky 42 12 1.76 10.0-4.0 8.2-5.8 IA MWC Fresno State 43 13 1.69 9.0-5.0 7.3-6.7 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 44 13 1.68 10.0-4.0 8.3-5.7 IA MWC Boise State 45 12 1.67 10.0-3.0 8.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 46 14 1.58 8.0-5.0 6.4-6.6 IA Indep Brigham Young 47 11 1.57 7.0-6.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_12 Washington State 48 10 1.55 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 49 12 1.48 9.0-4.0 7.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Marshall 50 12 1.46 9.0-4.0 7.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Coastal Carolina 51 12 1.41 10.0-4.0 8.6-5.4 IA MAC Ohio 52 11 1.40 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC Syracuse 53 12 1.32 8.0-3.0 6.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt James Madison 54 13 1.30 7.0-6.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 55 13 1.29 7.0-7.0 5.7-8.3 IA SEC Florida 56 10 1.08 6.0-7.0 4.9-8.1 IA Big_12 Kansas 57 11 1.04 6.0-7.0 5.0-8.0 IA Big_12 Baylor 58 11 0.98 8.0-5.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl East Carolina 59 12 0.82 5.0-7.0 4.2-7.8 IA SEC Auburn 60 12 0.64 8.0-5.0 7.4-5.6 IA Amer_Athl Houston 61 11 0.63 6.0-7.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 62 12 0.57 6.0-7.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Missouri 63 9 0.53 5.0-7.0 4.5-7.5 IA SEC Vanderbilt 64 12 0.48 5.0-7.0 4.5-7.5 IA Big_12 West Virginia 65 12 0.46 5.0-7.0 4.5-7.5 IA ACC Georgia Tech 66 14 0.41 9.0-4.0 8.6-4.4 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 67 13 0.34 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Arizona 68 15 0.33 7.0-6.0 6.7-6.3 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 69 13 0.17 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 70 14 0.12 5.0-7.0 4.9-7.1 IA SEC Texas A&M 71 14 0.02 9.0-5.0 9.0-5.0 IA CUSA Western Kentucky 72 12 -0.07 9.0-5.0 9.1-4.9 IA MAC Toledo 73 13 -0.19 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 74 13 -0.21 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA Indep Liberty 75 11 -0.52 7.0-6.0 7.5-5.5 IA MWC Wyoming 76 12 -0.60 7.0-6.0 7.6-5.4 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 77 13 -0.67 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Indiana 78 13 -0.70 7.0-5.0 7.7-4.3 IA MWC San Jose State 79 13 -0.71 5.0-7.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC Miami - Florida 80 13 -0.72 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Iowa State 81 14 -0.87 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA MWC San Diego State 82 15 -0.88 6.0-6.0 6.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Appalachian State 83 16 -1.04 6.0-6.0 7.0-5.0 IA Indep Army 84 14 -1.04 4.0-8.0 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 California 85 11 -1.17 4.0-8.0 5.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Rutgers 86 14 -1.18 5.0-7.0 6.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Tulsa 87 14 -1.19 7.0-6.0 8.2-4.8 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 88 14 -1.21 7.0-6.0 8.2-4.8 IA MAC Buffalo 89 14 -1.22 6.0-7.0 7.2-5.8 IA MWC Utah State 90 15 -1.28 7.0-6.0 8.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Southern Mississippi 91 16 -1.33 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 92 16 -1.45 6.0-7.0 7.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Georgia Southern 93 13 -1.47 3.0-7.0 4.5-5.5 IA ACC Virginia 94 12 -1.50 3.0-9.0 4.5-7.5 IA PAC_12 Stanford 95 13 -1.53 6.0-7.0 7.5-5.5 IA Indep Connecticut 96 13 -1.58 6.0-6.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Ball State 97 15 -1.67 7.0-7.0 8.7-5.3 IA CUSA North Texas 98 11 -1.69 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA Amer_Athl Navy 99 12 -1.78 6.0-7.0 7.8-5.2 IA MAC Bowling Green 100 13 -1.81 6.0-7.0 7.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 101 12 -1.82 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Kent State 102 12 -1.91 3.0-9.0 4.9-7.1 IA ACC Boston College 103 10 -2.00 7.0-6.0 9.0-4.0 IA Indep New Mexico State 104 12 -2.18 3.0-9.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 105 12 -2.19 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 106 13 -2.33 6.0-7.0 8.3-4.7 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 107 13 -2.46 3.0-8.0 5.5-5.5 IA ACC Virginia Tech 108 14 -2.52 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 109 13 -2.53 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State 110 14 -2.54 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 111 20 -2.60 3.0-7.0 5.6-4.4 IA WAC Utah Tech 112 15 -2.92 5.0-8.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Rice 113 11 -3.14 5.0-7.0 8.1-3.9 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 114 10 -3.22 1.0-*** 4.2-7.8 IA PAC_12 Colorado 115 10 -3.26 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Western Michigan 116 12 -3.40 3.0-9.0 6.4-5.6 IA Sun_Belt Old Dominion 117 12 -3.47 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 118 12 -3.49 3.0-9.0 6.5-5.5 IA MWC Colorado State 119 12 -3.52 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Central Michigan 120 12 -3.68 1.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 121 10 -4.05 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA Amer_Athl Temple 122 10 -4.20 3.0-9.0 7.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 123 11 -4.42 4.0-8.0 8.4-3.6 IA CUSA Florida International 124 11 -4.45 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA CUSA North Carolina - Charlot 125 11 -4.52 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 126 9 -4.60 1.0-*** 5.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 127 10 -4.74 3.0-9.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Northern Illinois 128 10 -4.92 3.0-*** 7.9-5.1 IA MWC Hawaii 129 10 -4.92 2.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA MWC New Mexico 130 10 -4.98 2.0-*** 7.0-5.0 IA MAC Akron 131 10 -5.05 2.0-*** 7.0-5.0 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 132 4 -6.60 1.0-*** 7.6-4.4 IA Indep Massachusetts
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 6.74 14.0-1.0 7.3-7.7 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 2 8 4.61 12.0-1.0 7.4-5.6 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 3 7 4.08 12.0-3.0 7.9-7.1 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 4 6 3.94 11.0-2.0 7.1-5.9 IAA Southern Samford 5 6 3.92 12.0-2.0 8.1-5.9 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 6 5 3.90 11.0-1.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 7 6 3.63 11.0-2.0 7.4-5.6 IAA Colonial William & Mary 8 13 2.64 8.0-2.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Yale 9 16 2.45 9.0-3.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 10 15 2.42 10.0-2.0 7.6-4.4 IAA Southland Incarnate Word 11 14 2.31 8.0-2.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 12 14 2.24 9.0-3.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Southern Furman 13 18 2.10 9.0-4.0 6.9-6.1 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 14 19 2.05 9.0-2.0 7.0-4.0 IAA ASUN Jacksonville State 15 16 2.04 8.0-2.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Ivy Princeton 16 18 2.01 12.0-1.0 10.0-3.0 IAA SWAC Jackson State 17 20 1.98 9.0-4.0 7.0-6.0 IAA Colonial Richmond 18 18 1.66 8.0-4.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Colonial Elon 19 14 1.24 7.0-4.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 20 16 1.21 9.0-3.0 7.8-4.2 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 21 15 1.18 9.0-2.0 7.8-3.2 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 22 18 1.08 9.0-3.0 7.9-4.1 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 23 19 1.07 7.0-5.0 5.9-6.1 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota 24 17 0.99 8.0-5.0 7.0-6.0 IAA Colonial Delaware 25 13 0.94 9.0-3.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Patriot Fordham 26 16 0.75 7.0-4.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 27 17 0.74 8.0-1.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Pioneer Saint Thomas - Minnesota 28 15 0.59 5.0-4.0 4.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Harvard 29 15 0.46 8.0-2.0 7.5-2.5 IAA SWAC Florida A&M 30 19 0.41 8.0-5.0 7.6-5.4 IAA Big_Sky Montana 31 18 0.26 8.0-3.0 7.7-3.3 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 32 17 0.24 7.0-4.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 33 17 0.12 6.0-5.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 34 17 0.12 6.0-4.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Ivy Columbia 35 17 0.11 7.0-4.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Southern Mercer 36 19 0.05 6.0-5.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 37 9 0.00 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 IAA WAC Dixie State 38 9 0.00 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 IAA NE Merrimack 39 9 0.00 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 IAA Southland Texas A&M-Commerce 40 16 -0.04 7.0-4.0 7.0-4.0 IAA ASUN Austin Peay 41 17 -0.08 7.0-5.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky Idaho 42 17 -0.14 6.0-5.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 43 18 -0.31 6.0-5.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Colonial Villanova 44 17 -0.37 6.0-4.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 45 18 -0.40 6.0-5.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Colonial Towson 46 16 -0.58 5.0-5.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Ivy Cornell 47 16 -0.58 6.0-6.0 6.6-5.4 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 48 22 -0.62 7.0-5.0 7.6-4.4 IAA ASUN Eastern Kentucky 49 22 -0.65 6.0-4.0 6.7-3.3 IAA WAC Abilene Christian 50 20 -0.70 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 51 19 -0.71 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 52 16 -0.75 6.0-4.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Big_South North Carolina A&T 53 17 -0.97 6.0-5.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Southern Western Carolina 54 15 -0.97 4.0-3.0 5.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Lindenwood 55 20 -1.02 7.0-3.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Pioneer Dayton 56 22 -1.07 6.0-4.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Pioneer Davidson 57 22 -1.08 4.0-4.0 5.1-2.9 IAA WAC Sam Houston State 58 22 -1.25 5.0-4.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Pioneer Butler 59 20 -1.50 5.0-6.0 6.5-4.5 IAA ASUN Central Arkansas 60 17 -1.57 5.0-6.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Colonial Monmouth 61 19 -1.58 5.0-6.0 6.6-4.4 IAA ASUN Kennesaw State 62 23 -1.60 5.0-5.0 6.6-3.4 IAA WAC Stephen F. Austin 63 16 -1.62 6.0-5.0 7.6-3.4 IAA SWAC Southern 64 18 -1.68 3.0-8.0 4.7-6.3 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 65 18 -2.08 3.0-7.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Ivy Brown 66 20 -2.12 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA NE Sacred Heart 67 17 -2.13 5.0-6.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Big_South Campbell 68 14 -2.27 2.0-4.0 4.3-1.7 IAA NE Stonehill 69 16 -2.28 3.0-7.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 70 17 -2.34 4.0-5.0 6.3-2.7 IAA WAC Tarleton State 71 25 -2.37 4.0-6.0 6.4-3.6 IAA WAC Southern Utah 72 14 -2.41 5.0-5.0 7.4-2.6 IAA SWAC Alabama State 73 15 -2.51 3.0-7.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Colonial Hampton 74 18 -2.54 4.0-6.0 6.5-3.5 IAA NE Long Island 75 19 -2.59 4.0-5.0 6.6-2.4 IAA Pioneer San Diego 76 17 -2.63 3.0-7.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 77 17 -2.64 4.0-7.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Southern The Citadel 78 16 -2.69 4.0-7.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Patriot Lafayette 79 15 -2.70 4.0-5.0 6.7-2.3 IAA MEAC Delaware State 80 17 -2.78 4.0-6.0 6.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Howard 81 18 -2.80 6.0-5.0 8.8-2.2 IAA SWAC Prairie View 82 18 -2.81 3.0-6.0 5.8-3.2 IAA NE Duquesne 83 17 -2.91 3.0-9.0 5.9-6.1 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 84 15 -3.05 3.0-6.0 6.1-2.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 85 15 -3.15 3.0-8.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Colonial Albany 86 15 -3.16 3.0-8.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Southern Wofford 87 17 -3.17 5.0-6.0 8.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 88 12 -3.17 3.0-6.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Southland McNeese State 89 15 -3.23 4.0-6.0 7.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 90 16 -3.29 2.0-9.0 5.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 91 15 -3.36 3.0-8.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 92 17 -3.52 3.0-7.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 93 16 -3.63 3.0-7.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Southland Northwestern State 94 17 -3.71 3.0-7.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Drake 95 14 -3.73 3.0-7.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Big_South Bryant 96 13 -3.73 3.0-8.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Patriot Colgate 97 14 -3.78 4.0-7.0 7.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Morgan State 98 13 -3.82 2.0-6.0 5.8-2.2 IAA Pioneer Stetson 99 16 -3.88 4.0-7.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 100 13 -3.97 4.0-7.0 8.0-3.0 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 101 13 -4.00 2.0-8.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 102 12 -4.04 2.0-8.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Southern East Tennessee State 103 14 -4.05 2.0-9.0 6.0-5.0 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 104 13 -4.06 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 105 11 -4.09 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Patriot Bucknell 106 12 -4.13 2.0-9.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Patriot Lehigh 107 14 -4.20 2.0-9.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 108 14 -4.45 2.0-9.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Colonial Maine 109 11 -4.61 3.0-8.0 7.6-3.4 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 110 15 -4.69 2.0-8.0 6.7-3.3 IAA NE Central Connecticut 111 15 -4.70 2.0-9.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 112 12 -4.71 2.0-9.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Patriot Georgetown 113 12 -4.76 2.0-8.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Southland Nicholls State 114 13 -4.79 4.0-7.0 8.8-2.2 IAA Pioneer Marist 115 12 -4.87 2.0-9.0 6.9-4.1 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 116 11 -5.04 1.0-*** 6.0-5.0 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 117 13 -5.10 2.0-8.0 7.1-2.9 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 118 12 -5.14 0.0-*** 5.1-5.9 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 119 12 -5.18 1.0-9.0 6.2-3.8 IAA NE Wagner 120 9 -5.30 1.0-8.0 6.3-2.7 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 121 8 -5.41 3.0-8.0 8.4-2.6 IAA SWAC Grambling 122 8 -5.46 1.0-*** 6.5-4.5 IAA Southern Virginia Military 123 8 -5.57 2.0-9.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 124 6 -5.71 0.0-*** 5.7-4.3 IAA ASUN North Alabama 125 4 -5.85 2.0-9.0 7.8-3.2 IAA SWAC Bethune - Cookman 126 4 -5.89 1.0-9.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 127 3 -6.72 1.0-*** 7.7-3.3 IAA Southland Lamar 128 3 -7.27 1.0-*** 8.3-2.7 IAA Pioneer Presbyterian 129 2 -7.42 0.0-*** 7.4-3.6 IAA Big_South Robert Morris 130 2-10.07 2.0-*** 12.1-3.9 IAA Southland Houston Baptist
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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