2022 Week 3 (16-17 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   2 Alabama                   over  184 Northeast Louisiana        66.5 to  3.5
   4 Michigan                  over  227 Connecticut                70.0 to  7.0
  19 Tennessee                 over  208 Akron                      59.5 to 14.0
  20 Wisconsin                 over  243 New Mexico State           49.0 to  0.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  91 Austin Peay               over  222 Alabama A&M                42.0 to 14.0
  12 North Dakota State        over  125 Arizona                    45.5 to 14.0
  33 Arizona State             over  123 Eastern Michigan           42.0 to 17.5
  18 Baylor                    over  180 Texas State - San Marcos   49.0 to 10.5
  60 Marshall                  over  189 Bowling Green              42.0 to 21.0
  34 California - Los Angeles  over  150 South Alabama              45.5 to 17.5
 110 Central Michigan          over  252 Bucknell                   42.0 to 17.5
   8 Clemson                   over  159 Louisiana Tech             52.5 to 10.5
  56 Coastal Carolina          over  131 Buffalo                    42.0 to 24.5
  49 Florida                   over  156 South Florida              45.5 to 17.5
 120 Georgia State             over  215 North Carolina - Charlot   49.0 to 24.5
  21 Mississippi               over  119 Georgia Tech               38.5 to 24.5
 144 Illinois State            over  242 Eastern Illinois           35.0 to 10.5
  71 Montana                   over  175 Indiana State              31.5 to 10.5
  39 Iowa                      over  130 Nevada - Reno              35.0 to 10.5
  17 Iowa State                over  152 Ohio                       45.5 to 14.0
 143 Stony Brook               over  245 Massachusetts              45.5 to 14.0
  52 Mercer                    over  198 The Citadel                45.5 to 10.5
   6 Cincinnati                over  114 Miami - Ohio               38.5 to 14.0
  81 Missouri                  over  202 Abilene Christian          42.0 to 21.0
  10 Oklahoma                  over  151 Nebraska                   59.5 to 28.0
  85 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  181 North Texas                38.5 to 17.5
   3 Ohio State                over   84 Toledo                     52.5 to 17.5
   5 Oklahoma State            over  254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      73.5 to 14.0
  41 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  194 Rice                       45.5 to 14.0
   1 Georgia                   over   86 South Carolina             38.5 to  3.5
 108 South Dakota              over  212 California Poly            38.5 to 17.5
  45 South Dakota State        over  259 Butler                     56.0 to  7.0
  88 Rutgers                   over  211 Temple                     38.5 to 14.0
  15 Texas                     over   83 Texas - San Antonio        49.0 to 21.0
  13 Utah                      over   80 San Diego State            35.0 to 14.0
  65 Virginia                  over  141 Old Dominion               38.5 to 21.0
  94 Virginia Tech             over  210 Wofford                    38.5 to 14.0
  22 Wake Forest               over   78 Liberty                    45.5 to 28.0
  54 Washington State          over  139 Colorado State             38.5 to 17.5
 169 Western Carolina          over  261 Presbyterian               66.5 to 31.5
  23 Pittsburgh                over  102 Western Michigan           45.5 to 28.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  36 Air Force                 over   96 Wyoming                    42.0 to 31.5
  48 Appalachian State         over  147 Troy State                 42.0 to 17.5
  25 Arkansas                  over   93 Missouri State             42.0 to 28.0
  50 Boise State               over  133 Tennessee - Martin         35.0 to 21.0
  99 Boston College            over  153 Maine                      31.5 to 21.0
  63 Dartmouth                 over  225 Valparaiso                 52.5 to 14.0
  89 East Carolina             over  168 Campbell                   38.5 to 24.5
 155 Eastern Kentucky          over  187 Charleston Southern        38.5 to 24.5
 111 Elon                      over  192 Gardner - Webb             42.0 to 21.0
  47 Houston                   over  115 Kansas                     49.0 to 35.0
 128 Idaho State               over  173 Central Arkansas           45.5 to 31.5
 164 Jackson State             over  226 Grambling                  31.5 to 14.0
  32 Kansas State              over   97 Tulane                     35.0 to 17.5
 135 Kent State                over  249 Long Island                49.0 to 28.0
  26 Kentucky                  over  132 Youngstown State           42.0 to 21.0
 117 William & Mary            over  205 Lafayette                  28.0 to 14.0
 126 Richmond                  over  231 Lehigh                     31.5 to 14.0
  95 Memphis                   over  160 Arkansas State             45.5 to 31.5
 127 Middle Tennessee State    over  220 Tennessee State            35.0 to 21.0
  35 Minnesota                 over  116 Colorado                   35.0 to 14.0
 134 Monmouth                  over  213 Georgetown                 42.0 to 24.5
 179 Sacred Heart              over  247 Morgan State               28.0 to 10.5
 145 New Hampshire             over  219 North Carolina Central     38.5 to 17.5
 162 New Mexico                over  214 Texas - El Paso            28.0 to 14.0
  30 North Carolina State      over   58 Texas Tech                 38.5 to 28.0
   7 Notre Dame                over   68 California                 35.0 to 14.0
 103 Incarnate Word            over  200 Prairie View               45.5 to 31.5
 112 Southeast Louisiana       over  209 Central Connecticut        42.0 to 24.5
 165 Southeast Missouri State  over  183 Nicholls State             38.5 to 28.0
  43 Southern California       over   66 Fresno State               42.0 to 28.0
 188 Southern Mississippi      over  251 Northwestern State         38.5 to 21.0
  67 Princeton                 over  257 Stetson                    56.0 to 14.0
 124 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  190 North Alabama              38.5 to 21.0
 193 Saint Francis - Pennsylv  over  258 Wagner                     38.5 to 17.5
  74 West Virginia             over  157 Towson                     31.5 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  92 Alabama - Birmingham      over  154 Georgia Southern           35.0 to 24.5
  61 Villanova                 over   73 Army                       31.5 to 28.0
 158 Ball State                over  230 Murray State               31.5 to 21.0
 109 California - Davis        over  204 San Diego                  38.5 to 21.0
 241 Delaware State            over  256 Houston Baptist            28.0 to 17.5
 148 Duke                      over  177 North Carolina A&T         28.0 to 24.5
  72 Central Florida           over  104 Florida Atlantic           31.5 to 28.0
 146 Fordham                   over  166 Albany                     42.0 to 31.5
 240 Duquesne                  over  244 Hawaii                     31.5 to 28.0
 171 Idaho                     over  250 Drake                      28.0 to 21.0
 239 Northern Colorado         over  255 Lamar                      28.0 to 21.0
  42 Louisiana State           over   38 Mississippi State          35.0 to 28.0
 140 Columbia                  over  248 Marist                     38.5 to 21.0
 195 McNeese State             over  221 Alcorn State               28.0 to 21.0
 113 North Dakota              over  167 Northern Arizona           28.0 to 21.0
  64 Vanderbilt                over  122 Northern Illinois          38.5 to 35.0
  70 Northern Iowa             over   98 Sacramento State           28.0 to 21.0
 107 Southern Illinois         over  174 Northwestern               35.0 to 21.0
  11 Oregon                    over   27 Brigham Young              45.5 to 42.0
  44 Montana State             over   46 Oregon State               35.0 to 31.5
 161 Pennsylvania              over  197 Colgate                    31.5 to 17.5
 129 Rhode Island              over  136 Delaware                   28.0 to 24.5
  37 Purdue                    over   82 Syracuse                   28.0 to 24.5
 149 Samford                   over  236 Tennessee Tech             42.0 to 31.5
  28 Texas A&M                 over   40 Miami - Florida            28.0 to 24.5
  75 Jacksonville State        over   79 Tulsa                      31.5 to 24.5
  14 Michigan State            over   53 Washington                 28.0 to 21.0
 176 Western Illinois          over  203 Southern Utah              38.5 to 31.5
 218 Southern                  over  246 Texas Southern             45.5 to 31.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  69 Louisville                over   57 Florida State              28.0 to 28.0
  29 Auburn                    over   16 Penn State                 28.0 to 24.5
 185 Brown                     over  199 Bryant                     42.0 to 38.5
 121 East Tennessee State      over  137 Furman                     31.5 to 24.5
 101 Holy Cross                over  100 Yale                       35.0 to 35.0
  87 Indiana                   over   90 Western Kentucky           38.5 to 38.5
  55 Maryland                  over   51 Southern Methodist         38.5 to 38.5
 196 Hampton                   over  206 Norfolk State              38.5 to 35.0
 186 Cornell                   over  172 Virginia Military          31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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