ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Georgia over 127 Kent State 63.0 to 3.5
73 Liberty over 227 Akron 49.0 to 14.0
38 North Carolina State over 204 Connecticut 49.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
48 Air Force over 151 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 14.0
47 Boise State over 207 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 7.0
3 Alabama over 75 Vanderbilt 52.5 to 14.0
28 Brigham Young over 102 Wyoming 42.0 to 24.5
59 Central Florida over 159 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 17.5
6 Cincinnati over 87 Indiana 42.0 to 14.0
65 Houston over 157 Rice 45.5 to 24.5
146 Jackson State over 251 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 10.5
99 Kennesaw State over 217 Wofford 38.5 to 10.5
24 Kentucky over 130 Northern Illinois 49.0 to 21.0
35 Louisiana State over 155 New Mexico 42.0 to 10.5
69 Louisville over 137 South Florida 42.0 to 24.5
92 Memphis over 183 North Texas 42.0 to 21.0
37 Miami - Florida over 120 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 17.5
4 Michigan over 50 Maryland 45.5 to 21.0
18 Mississippi over 72 Tulsa 38.5 to 21.0
33 Mississippi State over 168 Bowling Green 49.0 to 17.5
54 Montana over 167 Portland State 45.5 to 14.0
98 Jacksonville State over 187 Nicholls State 35.0 to 17.5
53 Louisiana - Lafayette over 178 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 17.5
2 Ohio State over 19 Wisconsin 42.0 to 21.0
7 Penn State over 112 Central Michigan 49.0 to 21.0
22 Pittsburgh over 138 Rhode Island 42.0 to 21.0
177 Davidson over 261 Presbyterian 63.0 to 28.0
66 Princeton over 218 Lehigh 45.5 to 7.0
36 Purdue over 142 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 21.0
79 South Carolina over 189 North Carolina - Charlot 49.0 to 21.0
25 North Dakota State over 115 South Dakota 38.5 to 17.5
145 Southeast Missouri State over 171 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 24.5
203 Temple over 244 Massachusetts 31.5 to 21.0
85 Texas - San Antonio over 243 Texas Southern 52.5 to 21.0
68 Tulane over 163 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 17.5
32 Washington over 111 Stanford 38.5 to 17.5
100 Northern Iowa over 188 Western Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
84 Western Kentucky over 215 Florida International 52.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
56 Coastal Carolina over 140 Georgia State 38.5 to 28.0
172 Albany over 235 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 21.0
206 Alcorn State over 252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 21.0
8 Utah over 80 Arizona State 35.0 to 21.0
46 Auburn over 88 Missouri 38.5 to 24.5
61 Harvard over 182 Brown 52.5 to 28.0
60 California over 108 Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
128 Furman over 196 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 21.0
83 Holy Cross over 192 Colgate 35.0 to 14.0
44 California - Los Angeles over 133 Colorado 35.0 to 21.0
97 Sacramento State over 161 Colorado State 38.5 to 21.0
124 Delaware over 193 Hampton 38.5 to 17.5
78 East Carolina over 148 Navy 35.0 to 21.0
224 Alabama A&M over 260 Florida A&M 42.0 to 28.0
41 Florida State over 95 Boston College 35.0 to 21.0
96 Mercer over 185 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 17.5
136 Columbia over 220 Georgetown 38.5 to 17.5
198 Bryant over 248 Long Island 38.5 to 28.0
180 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 225 Norfolk State 28.0 to 17.5
200 North Carolina Central over 259 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 10.5
12 Oklahoma over 39 Kansas State 35.0 to 17.5
165 Pennsylvania over 210 Lafayette 28.0 to 10.5
107 Richmond over 162 Stony Brook 31.5 to 14.0
43 Iowa over 109 Rutgers 24.5 to 14.0
62 Dartmouth over 199 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 10.5
118 South Alabama over 160 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 28.0
10 Tennessee over 45 Florida 42.0 to 28.0
175 Texas State - San Marcos over 259 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 14.0
21 Texas over 64 Texas Tech 38.5 to 31.5
58 Nevada - Las Vegas over 176 Utah State 38.5 to 24.5
77 Villanova over 125 Monmouth 42.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
31 Illinois over 103 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 14.0
55 Syracuse over 81 Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
11 James Madison over 40 Appalachian State 38.5 to 28.0
106 Austin Peay over 143 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5
104 Yale over 184 Cornell 38.5 to 24.5
249 Drake over 253 Marist 24.5 to 17.5
122 Eastern Michigan over 131 Buffalo 35.0 to 31.5
135 Georgia Southern over 139 Ball State 31.5 to 28.0
93 Kansas over 121 Duke 38.5 to 35.0
67 South Dakota State over 86 Missouri State 35.0 to 31.5
190 North Alabama over 222 Tarleton State 42.0 to 31.5
164 Northern Arizona over 158 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
129 Fordham over 156 Ohio 45.5 to 38.5
134 Old Dominion over 154 Arkansas State 35.0 to 31.5
144 East Tennessee State over 212 Robert Morris 31.5 to 21.0
150 Samford over 152 Western Carolina 49.0 to 42.0
110 Western Michigan over 149 San Jose State 28.0 to 24.5
82 Southeast Louisiana over 89 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 42.0
132 Tennessee - Martin over 237 Lindenwood 63.0 to 45.5
70 Marshall over 141 Troy State 31.5 to 24.5
13 Clemson over 20 Wake Forest 38.5 to 35.0
5 Oregon over 42 Washington State 35.0 to 28.0
105 William & Mary over 116 Elon 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
90 Virginia Tech over 52 West Virginia 28.0 to 28.0
219 Alabama State over 201 Prairie View 21.0 to 21.0
233 Bethune - Cookman over 226 Grambling 31.5 to 28.0
74 Weber State over 114 California - Davis 28.0 to 28.0
57 Montana State over 71 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 35.0
17 Iowa State over 15 Baylor 24.5 to 24.5
30 Michigan State over 29 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5
238 Murray State over 236 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
240 New Mexico State over 239 Hawaii 31.5 to 31.5
14 Notre Dame over 34 North Carolina 45.5 to 42.0
179 South Carolina State over 194 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 24.5
211 Idaho State over 247 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
119 Miami - Ohio over 170 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
256 Northwestern State over 254 Lamar 28.0 to 28.0
26 Oregon State over 23 Southern California 42.0 to 38.5
101 San Diego State over 94 Toledo 28.0 to 24.5
123 Southern Illinois over 113 North Dakota 31.5 to 31.5
49 Southern Methodist over 51 Texas Christian 38.5 to 35.0
257 Stetson over 245 Morehead State 42.0 to 35.0
174 Towson over 169 New Hampshire 28.0 to 24.5
209 San Diego over 216 Valparaiso 31.5 to 28.0
27 Texas A&M over 16 Arkansas 24.5 to 24.5
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