ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
142 Eastern Michigan over 248 Massachusetts 49.0 to 21.0
44 Montana over 243 Idaho State 49.0 to 7.0
4 James Madison over 196 Texas State - San Marcos 59.5 to 3.5
2 Ohio State over 120 Rutgers 56.0 to 10.5
24 Pittsburgh over 162 Georgia Tech 45.5 to 14.0
59 South Dakota State over 207 Western Illinois 49.0 to 14.0
70 Southeast Louisiana over 239 Murray State 52.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
39 Brigham Young over 181 Utah State 45.5 to 10.5
37 Air Force over 144 Navy 38.5 to 14.0
38 Appalachian State over 206 The Citadel 49.0 to 14.0
3 Alabama over 17 Arkansas 42.0 to 24.5
64 Army over 154 Georgia State 38.5 to 21.0
75 Sacramento State over 211 California Poly 45.5 to 21.0
71 Fresno State over 210 Connecticut 45.5 to 21.0
104 Delaware over 192 Towson 35.0 to 14.0
121 Fordham over 226 Georgetown 49.0 to 28.0
148 Idaho over 242 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 17.5
68 Incarnate Word over 203 McNeese State 49.0 to 21.0
76 Marshall over 186 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 21.0
85 Memphis over 188 Temple 38.5 to 17.5
1 Georgia over 84 Missouri 45.5 to 10.5
40 North Carolina over 118 Virginia Tech 49.0 to 31.5
20 North Dakota State over 124 Youngstown State 45.5 to 17.5
94 Northern Iowa over 187 Indiana State 35.0 to 10.5
26 Oregon over 108 Stanford 45.5 to 24.5
5 Penn State over 165 Northwestern 45.5 to 7.0
185 Sacred Heart over 240 Norfolk State 31.5 to 14.0
164 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 231 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5
67 South Carolina over 184 South Carolina State 38.5 to 17.5
14 Southern California over 110 Arizona State 42.0 to 21.0
47 Syracuse over 254 Wagner 52.5 to 10.5
127 Tennessee - Martin over 241 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 10.5
11 Utah over 31 Oregon State 38.5 to 24.5
35 Western Kentucky over 131 Troy State 42.0 to 21.0
89 Mercer over 208 Wofford 31.5 to 14.0
112 Yale over 246 Howard 49.0 to 14.0
116 Sam Houston State over 200 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
74 Dartmouth over 168 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 10.5
93 Nevada - Las Vegas over 161 New Mexico 38.5 to 24.5
163 Bowling Green over 214 Akron 35.0 to 28.0
103 Arizona over 160 Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
21 Louisiana State over 57 Auburn 28.0 to 21.0
219 Lafayette over 249 Bucknell 17.5 to 10.5
111 Austin Peay over 171 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 17.5
55 Central Florida over 60 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 28.0
13 Clemson over 41 North Carolina State 35.0 to 21.0
54 Coastal Carolina over 126 Georgia Southern 42.0 to 28.0
179 Davidson over 259 Butler 49.0 to 24.5
209 Dayton over 247 Drake 38.5 to 24.5
139 Eastern Kentucky over 193 Southern Utah 38.5 to 24.5
49 Florida over 98 Eastern Washington 45.5 to 35.0
133 Furman over 140 Samford 35.0 to 24.5
6 Michigan over 50 Iowa 28.0 to 17.5
95 Jacksonville State over 129 Kennesaw State 35.0 to 21.0
29 Iowa State over 66 Kansas 38.5 to 28.0
36 Kansas State over 61 Texas Tech 31.5 to 21.0
96 Kent State over 157 Ohio 42.0 to 31.5
115 Monmouth over 216 Lehigh 38.5 to 24.5
106 Villanova over 167 Maine 35.0 to 28.0
10 Minnesota over 48 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0
15 Mississippi over 32 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
58 Montana State over 113 California - Davis 38.5 to 24.5
250 Morehead State over 261 Presbyterian 59.5 to 42.0
224 Morgan State over 260 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 10.5
136 Florida Atlantic over 183 North Texas 38.5 to 28.0
198 Nicholls State over 257 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
138 Rhode Island over 178 Brown 45.5 to 35.0
92 Alabama - Birmingham over 149 Rice 31.5 to 24.5
212 San Diego over 255 Stetson 35.0 to 17.5
90 East Carolina over 156 South Florida 35.0 to 28.0
222 Southern over 251 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 28.0
101 William & Mary over 182 Stony Brook 31.5 to 17.5
25 Texas over 45 West Virginia 38.5 to 28.0
9 Oklahoma over 53 Texas Christian 38.5 to 31.5
7 Cincinnati over 65 Tulsa 42.0 to 24.5
87 Wyoming over 137 San Jose State 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
99 Boise State over 117 San Diego State 24.5 to 17.5
72 Middle Tennessee State over 82 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 31.5
234 Bethune - Cookman over 244 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 31.5
151 Arkansas State over 172 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 31.5
51 Louisville over 132 Boston College 28.0 to 21.0
81 Princeton over 130 Columbia 31.5 to 28.0
79 Virginia over 109 Duke 31.5 to 28.0
253 Florida A&M over 252 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 24.5
18 Florida State over 27 Wake Forest 45.5 to 38.5
63 Harvard over 69 Holy Cross 31.5 to 24.5
146 Illinois State over 135 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
258 Lamar over 260 Houston Baptist 21.0 to 17.5
125 Southeast Missouri State over 230 Lindenwood 63.0 to 49.0
78 Louisiana - Lafayette over 86 South Alabama 28.0 to 24.5
225 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 256 Marist 35.0 to 28.0
62 Indiana over 145 Nebraska 38.5 to 31.5
215 New Mexico State over 235 Florida International 35.0 to 28.0
173 Texas - El Paso over 190 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 28.0
180 North Carolina A&T over 194 Bryant 31.5 to 24.5
91 Liberty over 141 Old Dominion 28.0 to 21.0
105 Toledo over 100 Central Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
46 Washington State over 56 California 28.0 to 21.0
153 Western Carolina over 176 Virginia Military 42.0 to 38.5
23 Wisconsin over 22 Illinois 21.0 to 14.0
191 Prairie View over 232 Grambling 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
30 Washington over 42 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 35.0
80 Houston over 77 Tulane 31.5 to 31.5
152 Ball State over 122 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0
12 Oklahoma State over 19 Baylor 31.5 to 31.5
114 Buffalo over 123 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 28.0
174 Campbell over 166 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 31.5
195 Colgate over 189 Cornell 21.0 to 21.0
236 Delaware State over 233 Robert Morris 28.0 to 24.5
97 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 128 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
83 Richmond over 102 Elon 28.0 to 24.5
43 Maryland over 34 Michigan State 31.5 to 31.5
28 Texas A&M over 33 Mississippi State 21.0 to 21.0
107 Missouri State over 143 North Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
169 Portland State over 175 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
227 Stonehill over 220 Duquesne 56.0 to 49.0
238 Alabama State over 223 Texas Southern 24.5 to 24.5
158 New Hampshire over 150 Western Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
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