ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
15 Cincinnati over 166 South Florida 52.5 to 14.0
1 Georgia over 67 Auburn 42.0 to 3.5
47 Holy Cross over 240 Bucknell 49.0 to 3.5
54 Incarnate Word over 258 Lamar 63.0 to 14.0
23 North Dakota State over 192 Indiana State 45.5 to 10.5
81 Princeton over 209 Lafayette 31.5 to 7.0
86 Liberty over 241 Massachusetts 42.0 to 14.0
63 Montana State over 219 Idaho State 52.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
3 Alabama over 34 Texas A&M 38.5 to 10.5
7 James Madison over 139 Arkansas State 52.5 to 21.0
10 Clemson over 125 Boston College 38.5 to 17.5
138 Columbia over 251 Wagner 45.5 to 7.0
224 Eastern Illinois over 254 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
102 Elon over 194 Towson 38.5 to 17.5
42 Florida over 66 Missouri 38.5 to 28.0
155 Pennsylvania over 232 Georgetown 31.5 to 14.0
5 Michigan over 94 Indiana 42.0 to 21.0
140 Kennesaw State over 205 North Alabama 42.0 to 17.5
91 Fordham over 223 Lehigh 49.0 to 31.5
71 Mercer over 150 Western Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
2 Ohio State over 46 Michigan State 45.5 to 21.0
196 Alcorn State over 259 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 14.0
141 Tennessee - Martin over 247 Murray State 35.0 to 14.0
62 Coastal Carolina over 170 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 24.5
176 Northern Arizona over 208 California Poly 35.0 to 21.0
169 Ohio over 213 Akron 42.0 to 24.5
6 Oklahoma State over 53 Texas Tech 49.0 to 28.0
50 Pittsburgh over 137 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 17.5
207 Valparaiso over 261 Presbyterian 52.5 to 21.0
57 Sacramento State over 243 Northern Colorado 56.0 to 10.5
130 Samford over 216 Wofford 38.5 to 17.5
134 San Diego State over 242 Hawaii 45.5 to 14.0
76 South Dakota State over 120 South Dakota 35.0 to 17.5
118 Southeast Missouri State over 236 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 14.0
27 Appalachian State over 174 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 17.5
55 Air Force over 162 Utah State 35.0 to 17.5
11 Mississippi over 83 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 21.0
135 East Tennessee State over 198 Virginia Military 35.0 to 21.0
20 Wake Forest over 97 Army 49.0 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
72 Harvard over 183 Cornell 35.0 to 17.5
143 Nevada - Reno over 172 Colorado State 35.0 to 21.0
133 Jackson State over 211 Alabama State 28.0 to 10.5
30 Oregon over 85 Arizona 42.0 to 31.5
28 Washington over 105 Arizona State 31.5 to 21.0
221 Texas Southern over 256 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 28.0
98 Boise State over 109 Fresno State 31.5 to 21.0
117 Buffalo over 164 Bowling Green 38.5 to 28.0
204 Dayton over 257 Butler 38.5 to 24.5
4 Utah over 31 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 28.0
151 Campbell over 201 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 24.5
193 Brown over 245 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 31.5
123 Central Michigan over 159 Ball State 38.5 to 31.5
222 Nicholls State over 260 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 17.5
13 Texas Christian over 52 Kansas 45.5 to 35.0
32 Kentucky over 59 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
110 Monmouth over 158 Albany 42.0 to 31.5
212 Morgan State over 249 Norfolk State 31.5 to 24.5
171 New Hampshire over 197 Stony Brook 28.0 to 17.5
106 Wyoming over 168 New Mexico 28.0 to 21.0
101 Northern Iowa over 163 Illinois State 28.0 to 14.0
37 Wisconsin over 146 Northwestern 31.5 to 14.0
185 Prairie View over 215 Southern 31.5 to 21.0
186 South Carolina State over 246 Florida A&M 38.5 to 21.0
9 Southern California over 36 Washington State 38.5 to 24.5
182 Southern Utah over 206 Tarleton State 38.5 to 28.0
35 Oregon State over 115 Stanford 42.0 to 28.0
181 Stephen F. Austin over 199 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 21.0
218 Tennessee State over 237 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 24.5
144 Furman over 202 The Citadel 28.0 to 14.0
99 Troy State over 154 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 17.5
60 Louisville over 93 Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
70 Weber State over 122 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 28.0
12 Notre Dame over 41 Brigham Young 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
58 Central Florida over 56 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 31.5
112 Rutgers over 127 Nebraska 35.0 to 28.0
95 Alabama - Birmingham over 82 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
152 Central Arkansas over 233 Lindenwood 63.0 to 42.0
195 Connecticut over 227 Florida International 31.5 to 24.5
68 Duke over 145 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
190 Maine over 210 Hampton 31.5 to 28.0
17 Illinois over 48 Iowa 17.5 to 10.5
167 Louisiana Tech over 173 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 28.0
40 Maryland over 43 Purdue 31.5 to 31.5
19 Mississippi State over 26 Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
116 Missouri State over 119 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
64 Tulsa over 128 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
29 North Carolina State over 44 Florida State 28.0 to 24.5
103 Toledo over 129 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
191 Gardner - Webb over 244 Robert Morris 28.0 to 24.5
180 Davidson over 231 Saint Thomas - Minnesota 42.0 to 31.5
253 Stetson over 255 Marist 28.0 to 21.0
75 Tulane over 77 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
160 Western Michigan over 157 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
88 William & Mary over 100 Delaware 28.0 to 21.0
121 Youngstown State over 111 North Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
84 Memphis over 87 Houston 35.0 to 35.0
69 Nevada - Las Vegas over 108 San Jose State 28.0 to 28.0
248 Alabama A&M over 238 Grambling 31.5 to 28.0
217 San Diego over 250 Drake 24.5 to 24.5
132 Georgia State over 124 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 31.5
38 Iowa State over 33 Kansas State 21.0 to 17.5
21 Louisiana State over 8 Tennessee 31.5 to 31.5
24 North Carolina over 51 Miami - Florida 45.5 to 42.0
131 Miami - Ohio over 96 Kent State 31.5 to 28.0
73 Western Kentucky over 78 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 38.5
104 Dartmouth over 113 Yale 31.5 to 28.0
16 Oklahoma over 18 Texas 31.5 to 31.5
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