ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
76 Princeton over 188 Brown 49.0 to 21.0
2 Georgia over 87 Vanderbilt 52.5 to 7.0
107 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 210 Virginia Military 38.5 to 14.0
116 Yale over 245 Bucknell 45.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
45 Central Florida over 190 Temple 38.5 to 7.0
70 Texas - San Antonio over 234 Florida International 49.0 to 17.5
130 Central Michigan over 216 Akron 42.0 to 24.5
77 Alabama - Birmingham over 187 North Carolina - Charlot 49.0 to 21.0
220 Alabama State over 259 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 7.0
155 Austin Peay over 246 Murray State 35.0 to 7.0
112 California - Davis over 175 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 17.5
145 Campbell over 256 Robert Morris 42.0 to 10.5
56 Coastal Carolina over 158 Old Dominion 42.0 to 21.0
114 Dartmouth over 176 New Hampshire 35.0 to 17.5
186 Davidson over 253 Morehead State 49.0 to 24.5
54 Sacramento State over 201 Eastern Washington 56.0 to 28.0
10 James Madison over 113 Georgia Southern 45.5 to 21.0
161 Nevada - Reno over 226 Hawaii 38.5 to 21.0
72 Harvard over 224 Howard 45.5 to 17.5
94 Buffalo over 238 Massachusetts 45.5 to 17.5
59 Mercer over 133 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 17.5
11 Mississippi over 61 Auburn 38.5 to 17.5
55 Montana over 135 Idaho 42.0 to 21.0
57 Incarnate Word over 236 Nicholls State 56.0 to 24.5
46 North Dakota State over 68 South Dakota State 35.0 to 21.0
74 Montana State over 243 Northern Colorado 52.5 to 14.0
15 Notre Dame over 108 Stanford 42.0 to 14.0
38 Purdue over 128 Nebraska 42.0 to 24.5
205 San Diego over 261 Presbyterian 52.5 to 14.0
78 South Alabama over 169 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 17.5
206 South Carolina State over 260 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 10.5
115 Southern Illinois over 215 Western Illinois 45.5 to 21.0
5 Texas over 37 Iowa State 31.5 to 14.0
90 Troy State over 157 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 17.5
196 Valparaiso over 251 Butler 35.0 to 21.0
36 Washington over 103 Arizona 45.5 to 28.0
141 Youngstown State over 185 Indiana State 35.0 to 21.0
111 Jackson State over 247 Bethune - Cookman 45.5 to 14.0
84 Jacksonville State over 208 North Alabama 49.0 to 21.0
240 Alabama A&M over 257 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
163 Albany over 209 Hampton 38.5 to 24.5
117 Army over 184 Colgate 31.5 to 21.0
148 Ball State over 180 Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
129 Miami - Ohio over 173 Bowling Green 31.5 to 24.5
198 Bryant over 212 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 28.0
62 California over 168 Colorado 31.5 to 14.0
177 Cornell over 218 Lehigh 28.0 to 17.5
21 North Carolina over 79 Duke 49.0 to 31.5
89 Fordham over 204 Stony Brook 49.0 to 31.5
139 Furman over 167 Western Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
49 Maryland over 95 Indiana 31.5 to 24.5
149 Kennesaw State over 166 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
83 Liberty over 172 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 24.5
162 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 241 Long Island 42.0 to 24.5
102 Monmouth over 195 Maine 38.5 to 24.5
4 Michigan over 14 Penn State 35.0 to 24.5
65 Air Force over 106 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
170 New Mexico over 227 New Mexico State 31.5 to 17.5
33 Oklahoma over 40 Kansas 42.0 to 31.5
63 Weber State over 164 Portland State 38.5 to 21.0
66 Tulane over 147 South Florida 35.0 to 24.5
179 Stephen F. Austin over 192 Tarleton State 42.0 to 31.5
92 Toledo over 105 Kent State 38.5 to 28.0
165 Western Michigan over 150 Ohio 35.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
75 Marshall over 85 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
19 Baylor over 47 West Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
67 Southern Methodist over 100 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
34 Brigham Young over 31 Arkansas 38.5 to 31.5
143 Utah State over 171 Colorado State 31.5 to 24.5
81 East Carolina over 88 Memphis 35.0 to 31.5
138 Eastern Michigan over 140 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 38.5
144 Florida Atlantic over 142 Rice 35.0 to 28.0
8 Clemson over 35 Florida State 31.5 to 24.5
211 Florida A&M over 242 Grambling 31.5 to 24.5
197 California Poly over 235 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
156 Illinois State over 160 South Dakota 24.5 to 17.5
237 Dayton over 252 Marist 31.5 to 28.0
27 Wisconsin over 58 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5
244 Norfolk State over 239 Delaware State 28.0 to 28.0
178 North Carolina Central over 213 Morgan State 35.0 to 24.5
159 Louisiana Tech over 182 North Texas 42.0 to 38.5
39 Oregon State over 28 Washington State 31.5 to 28.0
93 Richmond over 96 Villanova 31.5 to 31.5
189 Sacred Heart over 230 Stonehill 52.5 to 42.0
232 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 250 Drake 31.5 to 24.5
3 Alabama over 6 Tennessee 38.5 to 31.5
207 Tennessee State over 231 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 24.5
7 Oklahoma State over 13 Texas Christian 42.0 to 38.5
16 Utah over 9 Southern California 35.0 to 31.5
64 Miami - Florida over 131 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
193 Abilene Christian over 181 Southern Utah 28.0 to 24.5
221 Eastern Illinois over 202 Lindenwood 52.5 to 49.0
154 Eastern Kentucky over 146 Sam Houston State 28.0 to 28.0
48 Florida over 24 Louisiana State 28.0 to 24.5
69 San Jose State over 124 Fresno State 28.0 to 24.5
255 Northwestern State over 260 Houston Baptist 28.0 to 28.0
18 Illinois over 20 Minnesota 21.0 to 17.5
17 Mississippi State over 41 Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
73 Western Kentucky over 98 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 35.0
125 Pennsylvania over 136 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
101 Elon over 119 Rhode Island 28.0 to 28.0
194 Southern over 191 Alcorn State 28.0 to 28.0
137 Southern Mississippi over 126 Arkansas State 35.0 to 31.5
25 North Carolina State over 42 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
217 Wofford over 200 The Citadel 21.0 to 17.5
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