ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
54 Appalachian State over 257 Robert Morris 52.5 to 7.0
70 Princeton over 175 Cornell 38.5 to 14.0
69 South Dakota State over 187 Indiana State 42.0 to 14.0
68 Mercer over 235 Virginia Military 49.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
31 North Carolina State over 134 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 10.5
9 Southern California over 102 Arizona 49.0 to 31.5
89 Boise State over 188 Colorado State 35.0 to 10.5
99 Pennsylvania over 198 Brown 38.5 to 24.5
227 Butler over 245 Morehead State 35.0 to 24.5
79 California - Davis over 213 California Poly 49.0 to 17.5
214 Florida A&M over 256 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 17.5
33 Florida State over 138 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 10.5
101 Wyoming over 200 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
127 Tennessee - Martin over 261 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 10.5
49 Iowa over 135 Northwestern 28.0 to 7.0
87 Richmond over 184 Maine 35.0 to 21.0
255 Marist over 260 Presbyterian 38.5 to 17.5
60 Southeast Louisiana over 221 McNeese State 49.0 to 21.0
5 Michigan over 50 Michigan State 42.0 to 17.5
21 Minnesota over 115 Rutgers 31.5 to 10.5
159 Missouri State over 230 Western Illinois 42.0 to 21.0
122 Monmouth over 207 Towson 45.5 to 21.0
108 Navy over 197 Temple 31.5 to 10.5
51 North Dakota State over 160 Illinois State 38.5 to 10.5
1 Ohio State over 13 Penn State 42.0 to 28.0
196 Prairie View over 248 Bethune - Cookman 38.5 to 21.0
123 Rice over 202 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 28.0
32 Sacramento State over 107 Idaho 49.0 to 28.0
3 Tennessee over 37 Kentucky 45.5 to 24.5
113 Samford over 205 The Citadel 35.0 to 21.0
129 Villanova over 211 Hampton 42.0 to 17.5
61 Western Kentucky over 171 North Texas 49.0 to 24.5
2 Georgia over 45 Florida 42.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
12 Utah over 40 Washington State 31.5 to 24.5
174 Louisiana Tech over 223 Florida International 35.0 to 28.0
153 Miami - Ohio over 193 Akron 31.5 to 17.5
170 Albany over 225 Stony Brook 35.0 to 21.0
75 South Alabama over 140 Arkansas State 35.0 to 28.0
183 Colgate over 238 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
17 Oregon over 95 California 35.0 to 24.5
34 California - Los Angeles over 76 Stanford 38.5 to 28.0
158 Central Arkansas over 194 North Alabama 42.0 to 28.0
104 Arizona State over 163 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
114 Boston College over 168 Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
151 North Carolina Central over 236 Delaware State 38.5 to 24.5
206 Duquesne over 253 Long Island 31.5 to 10.5
84 Toledo over 154 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
186 Eastern Washington over 191 Portland State 42.0 to 35.0
85 Alabama - Birmingham over 146 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 21.0
165 Gardner - Webb over 217 Bryant 35.0 to 24.5
199 Alcorn State over 244 Grambling 31.5 to 24.5
52 Holy Cross over 88 Fordham 52.5 to 38.5
83 Houston over 145 South Florida 42.0 to 28.0
96 Jackson State over 162 Southern 38.5 to 21.0
182 Kennesaw State over 224 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 24.5
203 Lafayette over 239 Georgetown 28.0 to 14.0
237 Nicholls State over 258 Lamar 38.5 to 24.5
66 Marshall over 86 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
189 Tennessee State over 247 Murray State 31.5 to 17.5
15 Illinois over 111 Nebraska 35.0 to 17.5
215 Howard over 249 Norfolk State 35.0 to 28.0
20 North Carolina over 53 Pittsburgh 45.5 to 38.5
125 North Dakota over 192 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 21.0
80 San Jose State over 179 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 14.0
43 South Carolina over 58 Missouri 31.5 to 24.5
120 Southeast Missouri State over 164 Eastern Kentucky 42.0 to 28.0
150 Sam Houston State over 195 Tarleton State 38.5 to 24.5
48 Weber State over 72 Montana 31.5 to 21.0
6 Texas Christian over 63 West Virginia 42.0 to 31.5
144 East Tennessee State over 209 Wofford 28.0 to 21.0
142 Youngstown State over 166 South Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
77 Louisiana - Lafayette over 126 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 17.5
71 Brigham Young over 57 East Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
23 Arkansas over 62 Auburn 35.0 to 28.0
251 Central Connecticut over 241 Wagner 31.5 to 28.0
234 Eastern Illinois over 229 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
106 Fresno State over 139 San Diego State 24.5 to 17.5
78 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 121 Furman 24.5 to 21.0
130 Georgia State over 117 Old Dominion 28.0 to 24.5
8 Oklahoma State over 28 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
10 Wake Forest over 42 Louisville 35.0 to 31.5
212 New Mexico State over 242 Massachusetts 31.5 to 24.5
201 South Carolina State over 231 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
133 Campbell over 176 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 28.0
141 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 185 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 17.5
250 Stetson over 254 Drake 28.0 to 21.0
118 Middle Tennessee State over 167 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
16 Mississippi over 46 Texas A&M 28.0 to 24.5
81 William & Mary over 94 Rhode Island 35.0 to 28.0
222 Alabama State over 243 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
152 Columbia over 137 Yale 28.0 to 24.5
112 Jacksonville State over 149 Austin Peay 28.0 to 28.0
25 Cincinnati over 41 Central Florida 31.5 to 31.5
119 Harvard over 161 Dartmouth 28.0 to 24.5
240 Dayton over 208 Valparaiso 31.5 to 31.5
90 Delaware over 124 Elon 24.5 to 21.0
39 Iowa State over 22 Oklahoma 24.5 to 24.5
219 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 218 San Diego 31.5 to 28.0
136 Southern Illinois over 110 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 28.0
27 Notre Dame over 19 Syracuse 24.5 to 24.5
30 Texas Tech over 26 Baylor 31.5 to 31.5
73 Southern Methodist over 92 Tulsa 38.5 to 38.5
93 Miami - Florida over 103 Virginia 24.5 to 24.5
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