ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
4 Michigan over 112 Nebraska 52.5 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 98 Indiana 59.5 to 14.0
36 Sacramento State over 193 Portland State 52.5 to 21.0
74 Southeast Louisiana over 249 Northwestern State 63.0 to 17.5
184 Southern over 257 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 10.5
8 Southern California over 177 Colorado 56.0 to 14.0
3 Tennessee over 47 Missouri 45.5 to 17.5
53 Weber State over 230 Idaho State 45.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
69 Air Force over 199 New Mexico 35.0 to 3.5
219 Alcorn State over 250 Bethune - Cookman 42.0 to 28.0
191 Prairie View over 259 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 17.5
153 Arkansas State over 241 Massachusetts 42.0 to 17.5
26 California - Los Angeles over 82 Arizona 52.5 to 35.0
67 Montana State over 227 California Poly 52.5 to 24.5
77 Coastal Carolina over 130 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 21.0
62 Liberty over 162 Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
226 Dayton over 253 Morehead State 42.0 to 21.0
49 Duke over 125 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 21.0
109 Southeast Missouri State over 242 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
134 Florida Atlantic over 220 Florida International 35.0 to 17.5
66 Fordham over 211 Lafayette 49.0 to 24.5
99 Georgia State over 166 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 24.5
108 Elon over 207 Hampton 28.0 to 14.0
131 Utah State over 209 Hawaii 38.5 to 21.0
51 Holy Cross over 189 Bryant 49.0 to 17.5
84 Houston over 173 Temple 42.0 to 21.0
212 McNeese State over 260 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 14.0
39 Kentucky over 101 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 17.5
42 Michigan State over 127 Rutgers 31.5 to 14.0
135 Middle Tennessee State over 192 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 28.0
31 Minnesota over 110 Northwestern 31.5 to 10.5
1 Georgia over 19 Mississippi State 38.5 to 17.5
59 Montana over 204 Eastern Washington 49.0 to 14.0
81 Boise State over 172 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 17.5
144 North Carolina Central over 255 Norfolk State 49.0 to 21.0
167 North Carolina A&T over 221 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 24.5
40 North Carolina State over 140 Boston College 31.5 to 10.5
170 Northern Arizona over 243 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
30 Oregon State over 79 California 35.0 to 17.5
7 Penn State over 46 Maryland 38.5 to 21.0
54 South Alabama over 151 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 14.0
64 South Dakota State over 174 Illinois State 35.0 to 14.0
61 Southern Methodist over 163 South Florida 49.0 to 35.0
75 Texas - San Antonio over 165 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 31.5
206 The Citadel over 260 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 10.5
10 Utah over 96 Stanford 42.0 to 14.0
21 Washington State over 116 Arizona State 38.5 to 17.5
86 Western Kentucky over 160 Rice 42.0 to 21.0
187 Wofford over 239 Virginia Military 35.0 to 17.5
76 Jackson State over 247 Alabama A&M 49.0 to 10.5
15 Notre Dame over 111 Navy 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
155 Eastern Michigan over 201 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
87 Toledo over 142 Ball State 35.0 to 21.0
41 Cincinnati over 57 East Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
89 Fresno State over 137 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 28.0
100 Alabama - Birmingham over 119 North Texas 35.0 to 24.5
152 Albany over 188 Maine 38.5 to 28.0
169 Columbia over 200 Brown 35.0 to 24.5
146 Campbell over 161 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 31.5
103 Wyoming over 190 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
198 Butler over 252 Drake 28.0 to 17.5
150 East Tennessee State over 183 Western Carolina 45.5 to 35.0
32 Florida over 45 South Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
28 Illinois over 60 Purdue 28.0 to 21.0
105 Jacksonville State over 122 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 28.0
70 Mercer over 120 Furman 35.0 to 21.0
5 Alabama over 18 Mississippi 38.5 to 31.5
244 Murray State over 258 Robert Morris 28.0 to 14.0
213 New Mexico State over 254 Lamar 35.0 to 21.0
118 North Dakota over 171 South Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
58 James Madison over 126 Old Dominion 31.5 to 21.0
17 Oregon over 33 Washington 42.0 to 31.5
123 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 205 Duquesne 31.5 to 14.0
185 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 246 Stetson 45.5 to 24.5
139 Sam Houston State over 181 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 14.0
176 Davidson over 225 San Diego 35.0 to 28.0
52 North Dakota State over 136 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
149 Tennessee - Martin over 228 Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
196 Sacred Heart over 256 Wagner 28.0 to 10.5
94 William & Mary over 164 Villanova 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
124 Kent State over 157 Bowling Green 35.0 to 31.5
117 Buffalo over 147 Central Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
95 Memphis over 115 Tulsa 42.0 to 35.0
12 Louisiana State over 43 Arkansas 35.0 to 28.0
14 Clemson over 13 Louisville 31.5 to 24.5
179 Dartmouth over 182 Cornell 24.5 to 21.0
88 Delaware over 90 Richmond 28.0 to 24.5
224 Georgetown over 238 Bucknell 28.0 to 21.0
208 Howard over 222 South Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
63 California - Davis over 83 Idaho 38.5 to 31.5
197 Stonehill over 245 Long Island 59.5 to 45.5
236 Valparaiso over 251 Marist 28.0 to 24.5
210 North Alabama over 223 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 35.0
27 Oklahoma State over 35 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
114 Pennsylvania over 133 Harvard 28.0 to 24.5
72 San Jose State over 145 San Diego State 21.0 to 14.0
180 Towson over 235 Stony Brook 28.0 to 21.0
22 Florida State over 48 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
93 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 97 Samford 35.0 to 28.0
9 Texas over 6 Texas Christian 38.5 to 35.0
203 Texas Southern over 234 Grambling 31.5 to 24.5
73 Troy State over 104 Army 24.5 to 17.5
34 Central Florida over 50 Tulane 28.0 to 24.5
55 Pittsburgh over 102 Virginia 28.0 to 21.0
20 Wake Forest over 23 North Carolina 45.5 to 42.0
214 Indiana State over 240 Western Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
85 Princeton over 92 Yale 28.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
141 Miami - Ohio over 113 Ohio 28.0 to 28.0
143 Northern Illinois over 175 Western Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
107 Louisiana - Lafayette over 91 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 31.5
195 Florida A&M over 217 Alabama State 21.0 to 21.0
56 Texas A&M over 71 Auburn 28.0 to 24.5
16 Baylor over 11 Kansas State 28.0 to 24.5
216 Morgan State over 231 Delaware State 28.0 to 24.5
138 Georgia Tech over 121 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 24.5
37 Iowa over 24 Wisconsin 21.0 to 17.5
158 Kennesaw State over 154 Austin Peay 31.5 to 31.5
218 Lehigh over 194 Colgate 21.0 to 21.0
80 Marshall over 68 Appalachian State 24.5 to 24.5
128 Youngstown State over 156 Missouri State 35.0 to 31.5
132 New Hampshire over 106 Rhode Island 28.0 to 28.0
159 Central Arkansas over 178 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 31.5
44 Texas Tech over 25 Kansas 38.5 to 35.0
29 Oklahoma over 65 West Virginia 35.0 to 35.0
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