ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
54 Missouri over 209 New Mexico State 45.5 to 10.5
19 North Carolina over 141 Georgia Tech 49.0 to 21.0
51 Incarnate Word over 247 Northwestern State 63.0 to 21.0
62 Texas A&M over 234 Massachusetts 45.5 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
88 Toledo over 174 Bowling Green 38.5 to 21.0
98 Southeast Louisiana over 240 Nicholls State 49.0 to 21.0
129 San Diego State over 202 New Mexico 24.5 to 10.5
66 Air Force over 186 Colorado State 35.0 to 7.0
5 Alabama over 149 Austin Peay 52.5 to 14.0
90 Jackson State over 230 Alcorn State 35.0 to 14.0
73 Appalachian State over 144 Old Dominion 35.0 to 17.5
130 Buffalo over 197 Akron 38.5 to 17.5
29 Central Florida over 106 Navy 38.5 to 17.5
14 Clemson over 105 Miami - Florida 42.0 to 17.5
169 Dartmouth over 206 Brown 35.0 to 21.0
154 Campbell over 242 Delaware State 38.5 to 21.0
13 Florida State over 97 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 10.5
61 Fordham over 199 Colgate 56.0 to 31.5
101 Furman over 187 Wofford 35.0 to 14.0
65 Holy Cross over 224 Georgetown 52.5 to 21.0
85 Idaho over 227 Idaho State 45.5 to 21.0
172 Illinois State over 250 Western Illinois 35.0 to 10.5
49 James Madison over 112 Georgia State 38.5 to 21.0
1 Georgia over 52 Kentucky 38.5 to 10.5
12 Louisiana State over 95 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 10.5
3 Ohio State over 58 Maryland 49.0 to 21.0
219 McNeese State over 254 Lamar 42.0 to 17.5
93 Memphis over 220 North Alabama 52.5 to 28.0
4 Michigan over 36 Illinois 35.0 to 10.5
41 Michigan State over 100 Indiana 35.0 to 21.0
26 Mississippi State over 165 East Tennessee State 45.5 to 21.0
192 Prairie View over 256 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 21.0
136 Monmouth over 233 Stony Brook 42.0 to 21.0
213 San Diego over 255 Morehead State 42.0 to 24.5
77 Fresno State over 185 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 21.0
60 North Dakota State over 119 North Dakota 42.0 to 21.0
43 Weber State over 180 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 14.0
18 Notre Dame over 116 Boston College 38.5 to 10.5
86 Princeton over 135 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 17.5
46 Purdue over 120 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
67 Texas - San Antonio over 167 Rice 42.0 to 28.0
183 Bryant over 259 Robert Morris 38.5 to 17.5
7 Penn State over 122 Rutgers 38.5 to 10.5
2 Tennessee over 64 South Carolina 49.0 to 24.5
228 South Carolina State over 257 Norfolk State 35.0 to 17.5
102 Southeast Missouri State over 244 Murray State 42.0 to 7.0
248 Stetson over 260 Presbyterian 42.0 to 21.0
215 Tarleton State over 261 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 21.0
44 Cincinnati over 162 Temple 38.5 to 14.0
147 Tennessee - Martin over 243 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 14.0
163 Texas - El Paso over 229 Florida International 31.5 to 14.0
83 Troy State over 158 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 14.0
20 Florida over 89 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 24.5
23 Wake Forest over 71 Syracuse 38.5 to 24.5
27 Washington over 166 Colorado 49.0 to 17.5
191 Florida A&M over 251 Bethune - Cookman 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
139 Central Michigan over 168 Western Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
108 Kent State over 150 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
143 Northern Illinois over 157 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
127 Tulsa over 170 South Florida 42.0 to 28.0
155 Abilene Christian over 189 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 24.5
24 Washington State over 68 Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
21 Oregon State over 109 Arizona State 38.5 to 24.5
104 Army over 151 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
160 Columbia over 177 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
196 Davidson over 222 Dayton 38.5 to 28.0
214 Duquesne over 253 Wagner 31.5 to 14.0
55 East Carolina over 84 Houston 42.0 to 35.0
208 Eastern Washington over 237 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 28.0
145 Nevada - Las Vegas over 198 Hawaii 38.5 to 31.5
153 Missouri State over 212 Indiana State 35.0 to 24.5
10 Texas over 35 Kansas 38.5 to 28.0
70 Liberty over 131 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 21.0
15 Louisville over 47 North Carolina State 28.0 to 17.5
125 New Hampshire over 184 Maine 31.5 to 24.5
30 Wisconsin over 113 Nebraska 35.0 to 21.0
115 Rhode Island over 164 Albany 38.5 to 31.5
32 Sacramento State over 45 California - Davis 38.5 to 31.5
193 Sacred Heart over 239 Long Island 35.0 to 17.5
161 Sam Houston State over 188 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
48 South Alabama over 133 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
140 North Carolina Central over 217 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 24.5
176 Towson over 194 Hampton 31.5 to 21.0
225 Valparaiso over 246 Drake 31.5 to 21.0
182 The Citadel over 241 Virginia Military 31.5 to 21.0
8 Kansas State over 59 West Virginia 35.0 to 21.0
99 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 181 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
69 Boise State over 123 Wyoming 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
94 Ohio over 137 Ball State 31.5 to 28.0
53 Tulane over 56 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 35.0
195 Texas Southern over 245 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 28.0
16 Mississippi over 50 Arkansas 38.5 to 35.0
76 Auburn over 75 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
6 Texas Christian over 22 Baylor 35.0 to 31.5
238 Bucknell over 252 Marist 24.5 to 17.5
91 California over 110 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
11 Southern California over 38 California - Los Angeles 45.5 to 38.5
200 Portland State over 236 California Poly 38.5 to 31.5
114 Jacksonville State over 138 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0
132 Eastern Kentucky over 156 Kennesaw State 38.5 to 31.5
148 Gardner - Webb over 171 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 31.5
74 Marshall over 103 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 24.5
37 Iowa State over 34 Texas Tech 24.5 to 21.0
216 Lafayette over 207 Lehigh 17.5 to 14.0
28 Minnesota over 33 Iowa 17.5 to 14.0
31 Oklahoma over 25 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 31.5
40 Pittsburgh over 42 Duke 31.5 to 28.0
72 Richmond over 79 William & Mary 31.5 to 28.0
82 Samford over 87 Mercer 35.0 to 31.5
124 Northern Iowa over 173 South Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
203 Stonehill over 249 Central Connecticut 52.5 to 35.0
152 Texas State - San Marcos over 159 Arkansas State 31.5 to 28.0
92 San Jose State over 128 Utah State 28.0 to 24.5
96 Delaware over 175 Villanova 28.0 to 21.0
134 Youngstown State over 146 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
178 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 210 Butler 31.5 to 28.0
121 Harvard over 81 Yale 31.5 to 28.0
142 Middle Tennessee State over 117 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 28.0
57 Montana State over 39 Montana 35.0 to 35.0
211 Morgan State over 201 Howard 31.5 to 31.5
190 North Carolina - Charlot over 179 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 38.5
9 Utah over 17 Oregon 35.0 to 31.5
80 Coastal Carolina over 126 Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
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