2022 Week 13 (22-26 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   4 Alabama                   over   57 Auburn                     45.5 to 14.0
  11 Utah                      over  177 Colorado                   49.0 to 10.5
   1 Georgia                   over  131 Georgia Tech               49.0 to  0.0
  78 Liberty                   over  196 New Mexico State           45.5 to 14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  92 Ohio                      over  162 Bowling Green              38.5 to 24.5
 214 Alabama State             over  259 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      38.5 to 10.5
  67 Boise State               over  111 Utah State                 35.0 to 21.0
  28 Iowa                      over   98 Nebraska                   31.5 to 10.5
  42 Central Florida           over  166 South Florida              45.5 to 24.5
   7 Texas                     over   20 Baylor                     38.5 to 21.0
  15 Clemson                   over   34 South Carolina             38.5 to 21.0
 126 Middle Tennessee State    over  239 Florida International      38.5 to 17.5
   9 Kansas State              over   40 Kansas                     42.0 to 21.0
  52 Maryland                  over  130 Rutgers                    35.0 to 17.5
  97 Army                      over  224 Massachusetts              38.5 to 14.0
 129 North Texas               over  181 Rice                       42.0 to 28.0
 146 Northern Illinois         over  205 Akron                      42.0 to 24.5
   2 Ohio State                over    6 Michigan                   42.0 to 28.0
   8 Penn State                over   56 Michigan State             42.0 to 17.5
  94 San Jose State            over  190 Hawaii                     42.0 to 21.0
  60 Texas - San Antonio       over  152 Texas - El Paso            42.0 to 21.0
   5 Texas Christian           over   45 Iowa State                 31.5 to 14.0
   3 Tennessee                 over   83 Vanderbilt                 52.5 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  37 California - Los Angeles  over   88 California                 35.0 to 28.0
 178 Colorado State            over  204 New Mexico                 24.5 to 14.0
  12 Florida State             over   27 Florida                    38.5 to 24.5
  69 Fresno State              over  124 Wyoming                    35.0 to 21.0
  30 North Carolina            over   53 North Carolina State       35.0 to 28.0
 100 Toledo                    over  170 Western Michigan           28.0 to 21.0
  91 Troy State                over  161 Arkansas State             31.5 to 17.5
  68 Syracuse                  over  136 Boston College             28.0 to 21.0
  17 Wake Forest               over   55 Duke                       38.5 to 31.5
  58 Houston                   over  121 Tulsa                      45.5 to 31.5
  50 Purdue                    over   85 Indiana                    35.0 to 31.5
  48 James Madison             over   76 Coastal Carolina           38.5 to 28.0
  14 Louisville                over   49 Kentucky                   24.5 to 17.5
 105 Alabama - Birmingham      over  183 Louisiana Tech             38.5 to 24.5
  61 Marshall                  over  104 Georgia State              31.5 to 17.5
  44 Pittsburgh                over  114 Miami - Florida            28.0 to 21.0
 155 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  187 Nevada - Reno              35.0 to 28.0
  31 Illinois                  over  118 Northwestern               24.5 to 10.5
  33 Oklahoma State            over   63 West Virginia              42.0 to 31.5
  46 South Alabama             over  157 Old Dominion               31.5 to 17.5
  87 East Carolina             over  164 Temple                     35.0 to 21.0
  13 Louisiana State           over   79 Texas A&M                  28.0 to 17.5
 197 Southern                  over  235 Grambling                  31.5 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 147 Miami - Ohio              over  150 Ball State                 24.5 to 17.5
  26 Mississippi               over   23 Mississippi State          38.5 to 35.0
  71 Arizona                   over  113 Arizona State              38.5 to 31.5
 137 Eastern Michigan          over  149 Central Michigan           31.5 to 28.0
 125 Buffalo                   over  127 Kent State                 31.5 to 28.0
  47 Cincinnati                over   36 Tulane                     28.0 to 24.5
  86 Western Kentucky          over  133 Florida Atlantic           31.5 to 28.0
  74 Appalachian State         over  115 Georgia Southern           38.5 to 31.5
 132 Southern Mississippi      over  153 Northeast Louisiana        31.5 to 28.0
  19 Oregon State              over   18 Oregon                     31.5 to 28.0
  73 Air Force                 over  107 San Diego State            21.0 to 17.5
  10 Southern California       over   16 Notre Dame                 42.0 to 35.0
  72 Southern Methodist        over   90 Memphis                    45.5 to 38.5
 110 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  142 Texas State - San Marcos   28.0 to 24.5
 116 Virginia Tech             over  123 Virginia                   24.5 to 21.0
  21 Washington State          over   22 Washington                 31.5 to 28.0
  35 Wisconsin                 over   29 Minnesota                  24.5 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  38 Arkansas                  over   54 Missouri                   31.5 to 28.0
  81 Brigham Young             over  106 Stanford                   28.0 to 28.0
  25 Texas Tech                over   24 Oklahoma                   31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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